West Point, NY Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 1 hour ago, Animal said: 29F pouring snow out. Highland Lakes, NJ over a foot now Here also. Just went over a foot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Peak gust near 70 mph so far. ...Nassau County... Bayville 69 116 PM 3/02 WXFLOW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 29 minutes ago, weatherlogix said: LOL at the HRDPS model....just comical how bad a model can be even after the event had started What did it do Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 8.7" thus far with lots of tree damage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 2nd March in a row with a 20"+ interior jackpot. ...Delaware County... Hobart 24.0 100 PM 3/02 CoCoRaHS Davenport 19.0 218 PM 3/02 Trained Spotter Walton 18.0 1145 AM 3/02 Trained Spotter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 21 minutes ago, Rjay said: What did it do It gave the city a foot of snow in its morning run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nesussxwx Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 3 minutes ago, psv88 said: It gave the city a foot of snow in its morning run. Pretty accurate here.. but man for the city it busted badly. This was less than 24 hours in as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 3 minutes ago, psv88 said: It gave the city a foot of snow in its morning run. This was a somewhat rare case where the snow maps overdid totals in a marginal situation but I was honestly worried this morning seeing those temps with a north wind. I thought my 2 inch forecast was in big trouble. Earlier this winter the December snow event in the southeast the snow maps were disregarded for the same reason and ended up correct that time but that air mass was certainly colder than this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 1 hour ago, Rtd208 said: Winter Weather Advisory now in effect for my area until 4 am Saturday morning for 2-3" of snow expected. here in Northern most Middlesex County precip rates have really lightened up with light wind driven snow just a trace on some colder surfaces - interesting the Eastern Union doesn't have any advisories which I am closer to then most of the remaining portion of Middlesex County Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Just now, nesussxwx said: Pretty accurate here.. but man for the city it busted badly. This was less than 24 hours in as well. Meh it is what it is There will never be a bust like March 2001 was Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 You can sometimes toss the RGEM snow maps (or any model really) if the meteorogram or Ptype algorithm looks like this. If you see it indicating rain at the same time it’s typically overdone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 The wettest snow ever in Midtown, not quite rain, not quite snow...big slush balls falling off of buildings too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 7 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: This was a somewhat rare case where the snow maps overdid totals in a marginal situation but I was honestly worried this morning seeing those temps with a north wind. I thought my 2 inch forecast was in big trouble. Earlier this winter the December snow event in the southeast the snow maps were disregarded for the same reason and ended up correct that time but that air mass was certainly colder than this While the NAM does a good job with p-types, it can have a cold bias at 2m. But even it's 2m's this morning were in the mid 30's which suggested that much of the snow would melt. These model snow maps were never really made for marginal situations like this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 That stripe of green through western Morris County, up through Western Passaic has a chance to verify. The spotter indicated 8.7" at Green Pond at 1:15. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherlogix Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 33 minutes ago, Rjay said: What did it do this was the 12Z clown map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 8 minutes ago, nesussxwx said: Pretty accurate here.. but man for the city it busted badly. This was less than 24 hours in as well. There are some places in O.C that do not even have a trace on the ground lol.. Craziness! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 1 minute ago, bluewave said: While the NAM does a good job with p-types, it can have a cold bias at 2m. But even it's 2m's this morning were in the mid 30's which suggested that much of the snow would melt. These model snow maps were never really made for marginal situations like this. The odd thing is how they underdo snow totals in marginal situations 9 of 10 times. I’m not sure what causes the rare cases where it’s overdone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 1 hour ago, weatherlogix said: LOL at the HRDPS model....just comical how bad a model can be even after the event had started The 12z Euro today had 8” for me on the snowmap. I’ve had about that many flakes over the last 2 hours. All rain here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 7 minutes ago, snywx said: There are some places in O.C that do not even have a trace on the ground lol.. Craziness! Had about 3" OTG as of 7am. That has compacted down to around an inch. Mix of rain/snow all day and hasn't accumulated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 1 minute ago, jm1220 said: The 12z Euro today had 8” for me on the snowmap. I’ve had about that many flakes over the last 2 hours. All rain here. Upton NWS - who I said I was going with in this storm didn't buy into some of these clown models and maps with the high snow totals and their forecasts are close to what is actually happening in and around the city and immediate surrounding towns in NJ and Long Island Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 10 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: The odd thing is how they underdo snow totals in marginal situations 9 of 10 times. I’m not sure what causes the rare cases where it’s overdone The 0z Euro did the same exact thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 3 hours ago, NorthShoreWx said: Meanwhile, there is still some rain in parts of the HV as far north as Saugerties. Gotta be some kind of downsloping thing going on there. Winds seem to be mostly N, but maybe some kind of weird deflection off the Cats and Taconics. There has to be an interesting case study to be made of that. I saw that...very odd effect and I’d guess you are right about some sort of downsloping at play. Mid levels east of there are also juicy and mild. KALB was concerned about that yesterday and they’re forecasts for the valley areas were pretty low (3-4”)... and low confidence. Capital District escaped it as it turned out they’re getting rocked but not so much an hour south of there. Around 13” up here in the Cuse and still going. Fortunately the snow since dawn has been our more usual drier type. I had almost forgot how much it sucks snowblowing and shoveling 10” of boilerplate! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 11 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: Upton NWS - who I said I was going with in this storm didn't buy into some of these clown models and maps with the high snow totals and their forecasts are close to what is actually happening in and around the city and immediate surrounding towns in NJ and Long Island Kudos to you man You stuck with your forecast and was right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 2, 2018 Author Share Posted March 2, 2018 Light snow continues here, temp 33 Winds gusty Storm total precipitation is 1.97" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Jims Videos Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Out with News 12 this afternoon in Middlesex County and we came across this damage in South Amboy and Metuchen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Cars getting slushy in midtown. Tease. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 9 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Kudos to you man You stuck with your forecast and was right. Upton busted in Westchester...they had all rain and we got 2" or so of snow. Also, the forecast in some places was right for the wrong reasons: we changed over but all the precipitation was before. This afternoon has been pretty dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Basketball hoop 3 houses down just blew over and almost smashed a car. Don’t see any trees down but some are leaning over in the wind. Still all rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 4 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: Cars getting slushy in midtown. Tease. Still some more precip to go, wouldn’t count out an inch in the Park when all said and done, especially after sunset. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 54 minutes ago, psv88 said: It gave the city a foot of snow in its morning run. It didn't differentiate between non-accumulating snow and accumulating snow. I've never been in this situation. Is that a thing? 33 minutes ago, jm1220 said: The 12z Euro today had 8” for me on the snowmap. I’ve had about that many flakes over the last 2 hours. All rain here. Been snowing on the Ocean Parkway both times I was on it today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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