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March Forecast Discussion


IWXwx

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The good rain event failed to materialize here.  The initial surge of rain was robbed by the big convection in Missouri and then the evening surge veered off to the east.  I only picked up 0.12".

After full sun and some good melting the day following the snowstorm, the last two days have been cloudy and continued cool, leading to a slower melt.  Tomorrow's sunny 50s will certainly take care of the remaining snow.

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This will go down as the most boring March in weather history for me.  Lots of sun and that's been nice, but just nothing to follow.  I've resorted to tracking the ice melt/movement and wind shifts.  Also there has been no "spring" days to speak of really.  My average high this month has been 30 and the low 10 (which isn't too far off normal).  The warmest temp so far was 44 on the 17th and the coldest -4 on the 14th.  Snow has been very slow to melt this year.  Even with the large deficit (a whopping 50+"), there's still well over 2 feet of seasonal snow on the ground.  Today should be a fairly decent melt day with a forecasted high of 52, which will be the warmest temp since October 23rd... then back in the freezer with AT LEAST snow chances. 

Haven't seen a deer since sometime in January but did happen to see a porcupine up in the trees while out snowshoeing, so there is movement in the woods starting... spring isn't far off.

IMG_4780.thumb.JPG.b0d74a4021c344e79aea36a956c4d5bb.JPG

 

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16 hours ago, cyclone77 said:

Snow is toast here.  Just scattered piles now.  The grass really greened up beneath the snow, which was surprising.  

I've still got scattered patches of up to 3" depth. But there's also quite a bit of bare ground. But I expect today's 50s to promptly dispose of that.

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51 for a high here as well, but persistent cloud cover, which made it feel not as warm. Here we are, heading into April without one 70 degree reading, not even sure if we have tagged 65 yet. For comparison by this time last year Champaign had already recorded six 70 degree readings, thanks in large part to a blowtorch February. 

 

April in in the extended doesn’t look to warm. Hope we get payback and have a stellar May. This spring so far has reminded me a lot of 2013, wet and cold. 

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1 hour ago, Chambana said:

51 for a high here as well, but persistent cloud cover, which made it feel not as warm. Here we are, heading into April without one 70 degree reading, not even sure if we have tagged 65 yet. For comparison by this time last year Champaign had already recorded six 70 degree readings, thanks in large part to a blowtorch February. 

 

April in in the extended doesn’t look to warm. Hope we get payback and have a stellar May. This spring so far has reminded me a lot of 2013, wet and cold. 

Interesting. It’s  been dry and cold here. Missed out on most of the moisture this month. Similar to Bo, lots of sunshine here as well this month yet few instances of above normal temps. Numerous sunny days have been slightly spoiled by a chilly NW wind. Nonetheless one of the driest Marches in recent memory, and with our big melt occurring in late Feb this year, there’s been little of the usual mud which has been a plus. 

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34 minutes ago, harrisale said:

Interesting. It’s  been dry and cold here. Missed out on most of the moisture this month. Similar to Bo, lots of sunshine here as well this month yet few instances of above normal temps. Numerous sunny days have been slightly spoiled by a chilly NW wind. Nonetheless one of the driest Marches in recent memory, and with our big melt occurring in late Feb this year, there’s been little of the usual mud which has been a plus. 

I was walking by the Humber last weekend. It looks like it would look during the middle of summer. Lots of the riverbed showing.

Obviously not going to snow here but we could sure use some rain.

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Dull and dreary weather to end March here at CMH. Haven't seen the sun since late Monday afternoon as clouds, fog, and rain have taken over. 1.20" since Tuesday mornings. Not much temperature variation either. Dipped into the mid-40s early Tuesday morning after tagging 58F on Monday, but it has since been in the 50s for 50+ hours.

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Last day of March is def going out with a roar in the north woods. Quick moving but potent system this morning with some pretty impressive rates currently... 5" of snow since yesterday afternoon.  Snow depth is back over 30" on my snow stick in the front yard and 27" on the one out in the woods.  Cold and snowy pattern for early April in the offing, but I've always felt if it's gonna be cold might as well snow... then a quick flip to spring in a few weeks (hopefully)!

 

:) MQT:

9:45 AM EDT: A quick-hitting snowstorm continues across the area with increasingly heavy snowfall. Snowfall rates may approach 2 to 3 inches per hour in the heaviest snow bands. Snow will continue through the afternoon and early evening hours, ending from west to east. Gusty winds will increase this afternoon as well, strongest across eastern Upper Michigan. Travel is strongly discouraged across Upper Michigan. 

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The last minute southern shift put us right in the game for a little snow. Saw the HRRR nudging things south yesterday evening but it really was a nowcast as the radar blossomed. 3” is about what I finished with and it’s blowing a bit. Temperature has steadily dropped all morning so the slush on roads has become solid ice and looks like a deep freeze (for April standards) this next week. Record lows in play here.

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Snow starting to wind down a bit after 7" of new snow today.  With 34"  otg and more snow likely this coming week, should easily keep the seasonal snowpack a few more weeks.  If so, it will mark 6 months straight with snow on the ground.  Even with an underperforming season, it's still been hardcore winter here.  Spring will no doubt be sweet!

IMG_4931.thumb.JPG.324ff88a720bf9654e2efb3886f30015.JPG

 

 

 

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4 hours ago, weatherbo said:

Snow starting to wind down a bit after 7" of new snow today.  With 34"  otg and more snow likely this coming week, should easily keep the seasonal snowpack a few more weeks.  If so, it will mark 6 months straight with snow on the ground.  Even with an underperforming season, it's still been hardcore winter here.  Spring will no doubt be sweet!

IMG_4931.thumb.JPG.324ff88a720bf9654e2efb3886f30015.JPG

 

 

 

Impressive. I'm trying to find a place in northern Wisconsin around Tomahawk or Rhinlander. 

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13 hours ago, Met1985 said:

Impressive. I'm trying to find a place in northern Wisconsin around Tomahawk or Rhinlander. 

That's a  really beautiful area of Wisconsin.  If you could make it another 30 miles or so north of there, it puts you in another ballgame snow wise. What kind of work is found there?  I'm assuming logging is pretty big like here.

A cold low of 3 after clearing late afternoon yesterday, then snow moved back in around midnight and snowed at a good clip off and on until around 6 this morning... another 2" or so.  Snow depth just over 3' now.  The 2 day total of 10" averaged 20:1 ratios and even with a high today of only 26 forecasted, with mostly sun, I'm sure they'll be plenty of dripping in a few hours...loving winter's last gasp! Bug season will be here before ya know it.

April 1st snow depth

IMG_4948.thumb.JPG.17ef7b8d71acc7f75d99139b5b19dc1f.JPG

 

 

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000
CXUS51 KILN 010548
CF6DAY
PRELIMINARY LOCAL CLIMATOLOGICAL DATA (WS FORM: F-6)

                                          STATION:   DAYTON OH
                                          MONTH:     MARCH
                                          YEAR:      2018
                                          LATITUDE:   39 54 N
                                          LONGITUDE:  84 12 W

  TEMPERATURE IN F:       :PCPN:    SNOW:  WIND      :SUNSHINE: SKY     :PK WND
================================================================================
1   2   3   4   5  6A  6B    7    8   9   10  11  12  13   14  15   16   17  18
                                     12Z  AVG MX 2MIN
DY MAX MIN AVG DEP HDD CDD  WTR  SNW DPTH SPD SPD DIR MIN PSBL S-S WX    SPD DR
================================================================================

 1  57  36  47  12  18   0 0.71  0.0    0 15.5 33 320   M    M  10 128    42 310
 2  44  30  37   2  28   0 0.00  0.0    0 12.2 23 330   M    M   4        27 330
 3  44  26  35  -1  30   0 0.00  0.0    0  8.1 16  30   M    M   0        19  20
 4  46  23  35  -1  30   0 0.00  0.0    0  8.6 15  50   M    M   0        26  80
 5  44  25  35  -1  30   0    T    T    0 12.4 21 120   M    M   6        28 110
 6  55  33  44   7  21   0    T    T    0 11.0 31 290   M    M   6        42 270
 7  37  24  31  -6  34   0    T    T    0 16.0 29 270   M    M   9 1      38 280
 8  30  23  27 -10  38   0 0.15  1.6    1 14.0 25 260   M    M   9 12     30 260
 9  39  19  29  -9  36   0 0.00  0.0    0 10.1 20 250   M    M   7        23 250
10  44  21  33  -5  32   0 0.00  0.0    0  5.8 14  20   M    M   2        17 360
11  43  22  33  -5  32   0 0.00  0.0    0 10.9 21  30   M    M   6        26  30
12  38  20  29 -10  36   0 0.01  0.3    0 10.7 24 310   M    M   7 1      30 300
13  37  23  30  -9  35   0 0.03  0.5    T 11.3 29 350   M    M   5 18     36 350
14  38  24  31  -9  34   0    T  0.1    T 14.4 26 270   M    M   7 1      32 270
15  49  28  39  -1  26   0 0.00  0.0    0 13.7 24 270   M    M   2        32 290
16  41  20  31  -9  34   0 0.00  0.0    0  8.4 22 350   M    M   5        27 340
17  45  30  38  -3  27   0 0.22  0.0    0 10.3 20  30   M    M  10 16     23  20
18  55  22  39  -2  26   0 0.00  0.0    0  2.8  8 360   M    M   3 1      10 130
19  58  31  45   3  20   0 0.00  0.0    0 11.6 28  50   M    M   7 1      33  50
20  43  29  36  -6  29   0 0.08  1.2    0 19.2 28  20   M    M  10 16     38  20
21  35  27  31 -11  34   0 0.08  2.1    3 14.0 22 350   M    M  10 1      28  10
22  41  21  31 -12  34   0 0.00  0.0    1  7.8 14 310   M    M   2        21 280
23  44  26  35  -8  30   0 0.00  0.0    0  8.1 16 340   M    M   2        22 350
24  39  28  34  -9  31   0 0.00  0.0    0 12.7 25  60   M    M   9        30  50
25  45  23  34 -10  31   0 0.00  0.0    0 13.9 24  60   M    M   4        30  70
26  50  32  41  -3  24   0    T  0.0    0 15.3 22 130   M    M   7        27 120
27  53  46  50   6  15   0 0.44  0.0    0 12.7 21 180   M    M   8 18     26 180
28  51  45  48   3  17   0 0.27  0.0    0  5.3 13 330   M    M  10 12     14 320
29  59  41  50   5  15   0 1.36  0.0    0 10.9 22  20   M    M  10 12     26  10
30  49  36  43  -3  22   0 0.21  0.0    0  7.7 22  20   M    M   7 1      26  20
31  55  33  44  -2  21   0    T  0.0    0 14.9 35 220   M    M   6 1      43 220
================================================================================
SM 1408  867       870   0  3.56     5.8 350.3          M      190
================================================================================
AV 45.4 28.0                              11.3 FASTST   M    M   6    MAX(MPH)
                                 MISC ---->  # 35 220               # 43  220
================================================================================
NOTES:
# LAST OF SEVERAL OCCURRENCES

COLUMN 17 PEAK WIND IN M.P.H.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL CLIMATOLOGICAL DATA (WS FORM: F-6) , PAGE 2

                                          STATION:  DAYTON OH
                                          MONTH:    MARCH
                                          YEAR:     2018
                                          LATITUDE:   39 54 N
                                          LONGITUDE:  84 12 W

[TEMPERATURE DATA]      [PRECIPITATION DATA]       SYMBOLS USED IN COLUMN 16

AVERAGE MONTHLY: 36.7   TOTAL FOR MONTH:   3.56    1 = FOG OR MIST
DPTR FM NORMAL:  -3.7   DPTR FM NORMAL:    0.22    2 = FOG REDUCING VISIBILITY
HIGHEST:    59 ON 29    GRTST 24HR  1.36 ON 29-29      TO 1/4 MILE OR LESS
LOWEST:     19 ON  9                               3 = THUNDER
                        SNOW, ICE PELLETS, HAIL    4 = ICE PELLETS
                        TOTAL MONTH:   5.8 INCHES  5 = HAIL
                        GRTST 24HR   2.1 ON 21-21  6 = FREEZING RAIN OR DRIZZLE
                        GRTST DEPTH:   3 ON 21     7 = DUSTSTORM OR SANDSTORM:
                                                       VSBY 1/2 MILE OR LESS
                                                   8 = SMOKE OR HAZE
[NO. OF DAYS WITH]      [WEATHER - DAYS WITH]      9 = BLOWING SNOW
                                                   X = TORNADO
MAX 32 OR BELOW:   1    0.01 INCH OR MORE:  11
MAX 90 OR ABOVE:   0    0.10 INCH OR MORE:   7
MIN 32 OR BELOW:  24    0.50 INCH OR MORE:   2
MIN  0 OR BELOW:   0    1.00 INCH OR MORE:   1

[HDD (BASE 65) ]
TOTAL THIS MO.   870    CLEAR  (SCALE 0-3)   7
DPTR FM NORMAL   106    PTCLDY (SCALE 4-7)  15
TOTAL FM JUL 1  4978    CLOUDY (SCALE 8-10)  9
DPTR FM NORMAL   -61

[CDD (BASE 65) ]
TOTAL THIS MO.     0
DPTR FM NORMAL     0    [PRESSURE DATA]
TOTAL FM JAN 1     3    HIGHEST SLP 30.54 ON  3
DPTR FM NORMAL     3    LOWEST  SLP 29.48 ON  1

[REMARKS]
#FINAL-03-18#

As expected, temperatures at DAY failed to reach 60 degrees in March for the first time since 2001 and only the 6th time on record.

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Here's how March faired at YYZ with averages in brackets; 

High: 39.3F (39.3F)

Mean: 32.1F (31.5F)

Low: 25.1F (23.5F)  

Total snow: 3.5" (7.0") 

Total Precipitation: 1.27" (2.1") 

Overall the month faired average temperature wise, but well below normal precipitation and snow wise. Don't even get me started on snow. That 3.5" of snow is literally 98% LES. Screw this winter!

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4 minutes ago, Snowstorms said:

Here's how March faired at YYZ with averages in brackets; 

High: 39.3F (39.3F)

Mean: 32.1F (31.5F)

Low: 25.1F (23.5F)  

Total snow: 3.5" (7.0") 

Total Precipitation: 1.27" (2.1") 

Overall the month faired average temperature wise, but well below normal precipitation and snow wise. Don't even get me started on snow. That 3.5" of snow is literally 98% LES. Screw this winter!

Wasn't really LES. More of a convective heavy snowshower generated by a trough of low pressure. But it's true that most areas of the GTA saw less than 3.5" of snow in March.

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I got all of .71" for the month of March. That is extremely dry for March. If April keeps the dryness going we are going to run into drought concerns pretty quickly. Snow-wise we got a couple good snows in the beginning of the month,but after the 10th its been day in and day out of cold and dry. We haven't even hit 60 yet! Normally we at least one or two 60's by this point. I guess the biggest weather highlight for me was going through last week's blizzard in central Illinois and experiencing 70's and 80's in Tennessee. Its weird how green it gets as soon as you cross the Ohio.

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On 4/1/2018 at 7:59 AM, weatherbo said:

That's a  really beautiful area of Wisconsin.  If you could make it another 30 miles or so north of there, it puts you in another ballgame snow wise. What kind of work is found there?  I'm assuming logging is pretty big like here.

A cold low of 3 after clearing late afternoon yesterday, then snow moved back in around midnight and snowed at a good clip off and on until around 6 this morning... another 2" or so.  Snow depth just over 3' now.  The 2 day total of 10" averaged 20:1 ratios and even with a high today of only 26 forecasted, with mostly sun, I'm sure they'll be plenty of dripping in a few hours...loving winter's last gasp! Bug season will be here before ya know it.

April 1st snow depth

IMG_4948.thumb.JPG.17ef7b8d71acc7f75d99139b5b19dc1f.JPG

 

 

Very nice! Yeah I'm trying to get as far north as I can. I'm in conductor training with a railroad up here so I'm trying to get stationed as far north as I can. Thanks for the info. 

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