mattie g Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 On 3/19/2018 at 2:01 PM, North Balti Zen said: It's not like I was picking a fight. My comment was literally banter on preference (even obvious preference) so I put it in here. Expand I’m here to throw down, so F all y’all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 On 3/19/2018 at 3:36 PM, nw baltimore wx said: Pittsburgh office just issued watches for the usual suspects in Garrett and Tucker counties. Expand Wish I was spending this week out there instead of last week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 On 3/19/2018 at 3:35 PM, WxWatcher007 said: I’m not quite sure what people look for around here. Peer reviewed posts from mets and old timers about the Zeroth law of thermodynamics every time the NAM runs? You’re going to have redundancy and amateur hour when you have amateurs comment on something as complicated as wx. Mods do their best to cut the real crap (I should be a mod btw ). We fight the same battles every single time and we don’t even have a real solution to what grinds everyone’s gears. Expand I don't know... It sometimes rubs me the wrong way... when a storm mode threat is started... and certain people ask to keep it clean, to only have the same people ask for IMBY forecasts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 I’m not being sarcastic, I really hope psu-mappyland gets a solid storm. Their seasonal totals are too close to mine. That should never happen. I’m pulling for an 8-10” solid deal up there. hoping for 5.2” here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 On 3/19/2018 at 4:03 PM, T. August said: I’m not being sarcastic, I really hope psu-mappyland gets a solid storm. Their seasonal totals are too close to mine. That should never happen. I’m pulling for an 8-10” solid deal up there. hoping for 5.2” here. Expand I have a feeling they're gonna get dumped on. For me, I hope I top 3.6" in this event. May be a tall order, but that would bring me to double digits Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 This stupid storm is coming in at exactly the right time to screw everyone. sleet starts after everyone is at work ???? ????? 15 hour delays, cars abandoned Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeathermanB Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Me thinks school is let out early because of snow. JK weathermanB, noone cares about school That DE is gonna get a precip bomb like the GFS because of the strengthening 2nd coastal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 On 3/19/2018 at 4:07 PM, Cobalt said: I have a feeling they're gonna get dumped on. For me, I hope I top 3.6" in this event. May be a tall order, but that would bring me to double digits Expand My gut says you top that. I’m thinking I see 3” (of snow) but room for more as the finer details get worked out with Wave 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Folks are going to lose their **** when LWX goes with WWAs for the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 hard to believe it's 60 degrees outside in March and we're tracking the best winter event of (the last 2) winter(s) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 On 3/19/2018 at 4:17 PM, PhineasC said: Folks are going to lose their **** when LWX goes with WWAs for the area. Expand Yea, the whole "forecasting LWX advisory" things always baffles me. If you've spent any amount of time reading (and learning) from this sub, you can do really well with your yard and never even read a single thing from LWX. I'm not knocking LWX at all. They prepare for MILLIONS of people. But wrangling over warnings/advisories is just absolutely silly in my mind. With that being said, LWX does a damn good job like 90% of the time. And they should...they are all very experienced and highly educated. We're just a bunch of weenies. There's a big difference. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 My call for Leesburg is an inch of sleet followed by 3" of snow. We get stuck in some sore of subsidence hole. Still a fine storm all total Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 On 3/19/2018 at 4:21 PM, leesburg 04 said: My call for Leesburg is an inch of sleet followed by 3" of snow. We get stuck in some sore of subsidence hole. Still a fine storm all total Expand The biggest thing I think is likely with this is the "hot and heavy" mega-precip never really shows up and it just sort of snizzles for a long, long time. There will be talk of RAP/HRRR showing a "possible band" and pivot that never really materializes. A lot of these storms that require copious precipitation to work out seem to bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 On 3/19/2018 at 4:24 PM, PhineasC said: The biggest thing I think is likely with this is the "hot and heavy" mega-precip never really shows up and it just sort of snizzles for a long, long time. There will be talk of RAP/HRRR showing a "possible band" and pivot that never really materializes. A lot of these storms that require copious precipitation to work out seem to bust. Expand what also is typical is that they come in sooner than modeled and also end quicker. This will probably not be a 30 hour storm if I were a betting man Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 On 3/19/2018 at 4:26 PM, leesburg 04 said: what also is typical is that they come in sooner than modeled and also end quicker. This will probably not be a 30 hour storm if I were a betting man Expand Agreed. Back-edge will show up right away. It isn't going to snow in Winchester for 30 hours. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 On 3/19/2018 at 4:28 PM, PhineasC said: Agreed. Back-edge will show up right away. It isn't going to snow in Winchester for 30 hours. LOL Expand I think you are gonna nail this storm to a T. I still think someone not far from the corridor scores an 8”+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 poor fozz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichmondTarHeel Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Just once I want to be surprised in a good way when it comes to accumulations. I see it all the time in other locations, like down in Norfolk or Richmond last storm. Just once I want to report in on Tuesday night with "We've already got 5", and they were only calling for a sloppy inch!". It's always the opposite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 I wish we could have a separate obs thread with no HRRR posting - that thing has ruined unfolding storm threads for years now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 On 3/19/2018 at 4:38 PM, Amped said: Still a north trend on all models 24hrs out. Gotta wonder how much longer it lasts. Expand Congrats State College? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Worst things to read on this board: 1. My point and click still says...... 2. Looks like Boston gets blitzed again while we get screwed again 3. I really hope psu-mappyland gets shellacked 4. When are we getting a watch or warning? 5. Models are having a hard time handling the complicated details. 6. Wow. I should just stay at the Beach in Delaware for this one. 7. Any reference to stick-ability at any point, any time. So many more... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 On 3/19/2018 at 4:40 PM, Stormpc said: Worst things to read on this board: 1. My point and click still says...... 2. Looks like Boston gets blitzed again while we get screwed again 3. I really hope psu-mappyland gets shellacked 4. When are we getting a watch or warning? 5. Models are having a hard time handling the complicated details. 6. Wow. I should just stay at the Beach in Delaware for this one. 7. Any reference to stick-ability at any point, any time. So many more... Expand Dude the **** you here for then? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichmondTarHeel Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 On 3/19/2018 at 4:40 PM, Stormpc said: Worst things to read on this board: 1. My point and click still says...... 2. Looks like Boston gets blitzed again while we get screwed again 3. I really hope psu-mappyland gets shellacked 4. When are we getting a watch or warning? 5. Models are having a hard time handling the complicated details. 6. Wow. I should just stay at the Beach in Delaware for this one. 7. Any reference to stick-ability at any point, any time. So many more... Expand Yeah, discussing weather on a forum for discussing weather really chaps my hide too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 On 3/19/2018 at 4:39 PM, T. August said: Congrats State College? Expand I often wonder if it is simply bad analysis or if he is trolling or if he has this desire to be the first to point out some strange odd anomaly that nobody else has noticed or picked up on so he can chest thump later. Odd fellow for many years now in obs threads Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 On 3/19/2018 at 3:34 PM, C.A.P.E. said: @Bob Chill Are you still in Cambridge? Expand Yes, I have to stay most of the day. I'll pm you some details. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 On 3/19/2018 at 4:43 PM, leesburg 04 said: I often wonder if it is simply bad analysis or if he is trolling or if he has this desire to be the first to point out some strange odd anomaly that nobody else has noticed or picked up on so he can chest thump later. Odd fellow for many years now in obs threads Expand It is weird. Like he isn’t not knowledgeable. I know he knows weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 On 3/19/2018 at 4:45 PM, T. August said: It is weird. Like he isn’t not knowledgeable. I know he knows weather. Expand He's just a low key Jebman I guess...It's a cry for help. Somebody call 411 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 On 3/19/2018 at 4:43 PM, NovaTarHeel said: Yeah, discussing weather on a forum for discussing weather really chaps my hide too. Expand Didn't mean for it to sound curmudgeon. It's just the same stuff all the time by the same 12 people or so. While the majority of the folks provide good enough analysis. Regardless it's still a great place to be most of the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 On 3/19/2018 at 4:47 PM, Stormpc said: Didn't mean for it to sound curmudgeon. It's just the same stuff all the time by the same 12 people or so. While the majority of the folks provide good enough analysis. Regardless it's still a great place to be most of the time. Expand you are free to log out and not log back on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 My mom is scheduled to fly out from DC tomorrow morning. How well do the airports there handle winter weather? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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