40/70 Benchmark Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 First Call tonight. Regardless of how much snow falls, coastal devastation will take center stage. When will media get a clue regarding snow potential? Discuss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 weak opening , give us some deets young man Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tunafish Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 :: posts in potentially epic Obs thread :: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 28, 2018 Author Share Posted February 28, 2018 Just now, Ginx snewx said: weak opening , give us some deets young man Tonight....no time right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Right now WU has 1.12" of rain forecasted for Friday with 0 snowfall here in Enfield. NWS is calling for rain until late Friday night and then a chance of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 10 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Tonight....no time right now. Whizzinator's map , he cut my hood off but that cool Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 GFS with the snow bomb late afternoon onwards Friday! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 gfs is progressive. done by 6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: gfs is progressive. done by 6z shocking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Decent overall consensus emerging, first time in days I posted this in the other thread... below most recent Box AFD gave me pause... take this 18z GFS verbatim, I'd think rates are plenty for dynamic cooling 21z Fri onwards... Snow... Ageostropic flow turns from the northwest Thursday night and from the west Friday. This may tap some cold air over Ontario, but it does not look enough to overcome the 80-90 knot low level east-northeast jet screaming in from Mass Bay and the Gulf of Maine. Some snow is possible over the Berkshires, especially as the storm starts moving off to the east. Rain and snow may mix Friday and Friday night. We will look at an inch or two of snow accumulation, mainly in the higher elevations of the Berkshire east slopes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 42/34 on the sounding for the GFS at 00z Saturday. What a POS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Harvey hitting all points. lowest confidence in snow and amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 6 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Harvey hitting all points. lowest confidence in snow and amounts. As usual the best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 10 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Harvey hitting all points. lowest confidence in snow and amounts. It’s going to take time to sort all this out. 100+ pages in the other thread and still many questions. Every 6 or 12 hours another solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Like multiple forum threads, most guidance now shows multiple bobbling low centers as system captures and stacks... a key thing to watch going forward. Sometimes this is how guidance hints at a shift and ultimately consolidates onto one center... and/or it is a realistic depiction of how all that vorticity exiting NJ is handled... but will be a critical thing to trend tonight. It will also influence how coherent inflow is into the firehose, and how quickly this all drags southeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Our Western QPF queens need not worry Yes Hippy Chris and MPM you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Blizzard???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNurse Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 There’s still rain in the forecast for the white mtns but the way the forecast discussions are written sounds like we may hang onto all snow. The GYX winter weather site has most likely snowfall is 5-6” here in Jackson but on the high end 2’. I’d say low confidence indeed. Hoping for the wobble to go our way - we are seriously hurting for snowpack. 2’ would only bring us back to about a 2/15 level of snowpack. Dwindling fast without a stellar March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 51 minutes ago, WeatherNurse said: There’s still rain in the forecast for the white mtns but the way the forecast discussions are written sounds like we may hang onto all snow. The GYX winter weather site has most likely snowfall is 5-6” here in Jackson but on the high end 2’. I’d say low confidence indeed. Hoping for the wobble to go our way - we are seriously hurting for snowpack. 2’ would only bring us back to about a 2/15 level of snowpack. Dwindling fast without a stellar March. My local bump, Wachusett, really needs some love Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 1, 2018 Author Share Posted March 1, 2018 First Call: http://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2018/02/blizzard-of-2018-take-two-first-call.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 24 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: First Call: http://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2018/02/blizzard-of-2018-take-two-first-call.html Nice write up! Sorry for the IMBY question but is that 8-14" up into PSM area as well? Just curious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 1, 2018 Author Share Posted March 1, 2018 2 minutes ago, WxBlue said: Nice write up! Sorry for the IMBY question but is that 8-14" up into PSM area as well? Just curious. Probably closer to the lower end...I think you may be near a fairly sharp cut off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Probably closer to the lower end...I think you may be near a fairly sharp cut off. That's a fair call. Good luck with your final forecast tomorrow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolMike Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Observation: I saw a convoy of power company trucks out this morning getting into position for the storm in Dracut, MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Wow ...so here we go. This should be very interesting thread and hopefully, folks can stay connected - we have to consider pretty pan-dimensional losses. Charge your phones tonight! Anyway, I was poking around Wunder' for meso temps and many areas of central NE right down the Mass Boarder are coming in with 39 to 41 F this hour. Perhaps more importantly, enough DPs of 26 and 29F to suggest we might have had some sort of boundary or subtle air change move through. I looked at these same obs just three or four hours ago, and we were talking 55/37 ... Not sure of this significance, but, considering the mid level heights descending so deeply tomorrow ...if for any reason at all the low levels are being miss-assessed for cold air, this thing is only (marginal+ 1 or 2C) which isn't a whole hell of a lot of wiggle room. I think many would be happy to now-cast/ ob the snow and/or transitioning areas ... Also, what temperature that occurs might be interesting. The bigger threats for this are coastal flood, wind ... and I wonder if this could over perform in the latter. I mentioned in the other thread ... I've never seen a storm have trouble snowing amid CCBs when imploding 525 DAM in the core just underneath in the total cyclone structure. That's going to be neat... But what this system may lack in snow coverage...it may make up for in instability, and I wonder if we end up more proficiently/dynamically mixing momentum down than the standard model there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 8pm Down to 36.2/29 after a high this afternoon of 48.5F Late this afternoon temp started steadily falling and still is but at a slower pace.. Dew has been 28F late afternoon fell to 27F an hour ago but back up to 29F. Start as some snow up here at elevation? We shall see. Good luck to all south of me... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yukon Cornelius Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 44/32 in Barre, MA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 do we have 2 of these? 43/38 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 40/34 here atm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 43/36 Ayer. Northwest PA and all of Ohio on Southern York near Buffalo flashing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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