poolz1 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Just now, yoda said: I believe the 00z Euro is a paste bomb for the region... snow map is incredible lol Yeah...looks great. Def a past bomb for the region...h5 looks very much like the gfs. The 2 major globals with very similar results. Only 7 more days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Euro actually starts storm at 120 hours. We will be in nam range by tuesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 4 minutes ago, Ji said: Euro actually starts storm at 120 hours. We will be in nam range by tuesday Dude I think this looks legit this time. I don’t want to jinx it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 If the GFS doesn't destroy us in these next few panels, somethin' aint right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: If the GFS doesn't destroy us in these next few panels, somethin' aint right Looks close, doesn't it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 1 minute ago, showmethesnow said: Looks close, doesn't it? 168, decent, but looks like i-95 is the rain snow line. Living on the edge down here...we know how to do that well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Going for the capture at 168. Going out on a limb here but this looks to be an epic run for the cities N and E. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 And at 174 we switch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Just now, showmethesnow said: Going for the capture at 168. Going out on a limb here but this looks to be an epic run for the cities N and E. Yeah, much better than 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Just now, stormtracker said: 168, decent, but looks like i-95 is the rain snow line. Living on the edge down here...we know how to do that well That rain/snow line should quickly move east as the upper level support races in. As I said this should be epic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 1 minute ago, showmethesnow said: That rain/snow line should quickly move east as the upper level support races in. As I said this should be epic. Yup..180 is nice. I wish this was like 84 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Just now, stormtracker said: Yup..180 is nice. I wish this was like 84 hours Got to admit. Pulls that low right into the mouth of the bay so yeah it could get hairy for the cities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 1 minute ago, showmethesnow said: Got to admit. Pulls that low right into the mouth of the bay so yeah it could get hairy for the cities. Well, we know this is all wrong, because we're the only cities (Balt/Wash) that make out well with this. Toss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Well Have to check but does that even cover the full period of snowfall? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 1 minute ago, showmethesnow said: Have to check but does that even cover the full period of snowfall? Nope. Two more panels of light stuff after Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 4 minutes ago, showmethesnow said: Have to check but does that even cover the full period of snowfall? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Nope. Two more panels of light stuff after That's 2-2.5 inches of precip for the entire region around Balt/DC. Can you imagine if this was just a month sooner with the colder temps and the dynamics that would be in play? With ratios of 12 to one if not a little better? But I am getting greedy. I'll take my foot and a half+ and be happy with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Thing of beauty watching that all come together at 500's. Doesn't get much better for our region with how that evolves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Here are the totals using the more realistic Kuchera method. First map is from our Wed storm so subtract that from the totals show below that to get an idea of what the snow totals are for your region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thanatos_I_Am Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 @showmethesnow any reason why the EPS hasn’t begun to increase at all some? Really would like to see that get on board here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 20 minutes ago, stormtracker said: So wait. The Euro and the GFS are giving us an epic March snowstorm less than 10 days out ?!!!???? OMG. Please do not pull the football! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 1 minute ago, Thanatos_I_Am said: @showmethesnow any reason why the EPS hasn’t begun to increase at all some? Really would like to see that get on board here. You know I haven't really had a chance to even glance at the EPS yet. So much else going on with the Wed storm and then the 06Z spit out a beast. I'll start looking into it shortly though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 11 minutes ago, showmethesnow said: You know I haven't really had a chance to even glance at the EPS yet. So much else going on with the Wed storm and then the 06Z spit out a beast. I'll start looking into it shortly though. Go back a page. Yoda posted a pretty colorful Euro Op map for next week! I don’t know about the Ensembles. I can’t wait to read your take on them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Well, we know this is all wrong, because we're the only cities (Balt/Wash) that make out well with this. TossDude alot of neg nao event's are focused on our area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 The 5H loop on the 6z is drool worthy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Climate175 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Well, this is getting interesting... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 21 minutes ago, Thanatos_I_Am said: @showmethesnow any reason why the EPS hasn’t begun to increase at all some? Really would like to see that get on board here. WE do see a decrease on the snowfall means on the 00z from the 12z. Probably because we are seeing less dig in the trough in the east and less ridging out in front of it for our storm. We are also seeing a more progressive and southerly solution with our surface low. These two make me think we are seeing less ensemble members capturing the southern low and drawing it north. Still a good look over all just not as good as we saw at 12Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Climate175 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 I'll wait until Wednesday/Thursday to jump on board though if things are still going in our favor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 8 minutes ago, nj2va said: It’s a nice tick upwards from 12z which basically had nothing for DC. It’s now ~2” on the mean. Though the OP is on its own at least in DC with the foot+ (10:1 ratios). DC stayed roughly the same but everywhere else we saw a decrease. 00Z EPS was a little more aggressive with our WED storm so maybe you are seeing that as well? eta: At least from looking at Weatherbells 10:1 maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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