LP08 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: This is good. At this lead, I'm ok with this. Legit threat still on the table Heavy is a loose term during this season but yes pretty good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Driest fastest moving hecs ever Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 5 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Everybody just wait.... Thank you Obi-Wan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Why will no storm precipitate over us????? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cae Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 It's a good run, especially compared to 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Trough is very positively oriented? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 2 minutes ago, Ji said: Driest fastest moving hecs ever It really is drier than...... But maybe it's the GFS handling things wrong..who knows. It's 174 hours out. From now until say 120 hours, all we want is a storm still on the map for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 3 minutes ago, Thanatos_I_Am said: Such light precip. Any of the really smart guys explain why it's so paltry? It's not that light. And because it's the gfs at range. It's been good at general track but expecting the gfs to nail banding and precip intensity outside 100 hours is lol. Good track. Good h5 pass. Good run. Not worried about surface details like qpf yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 3 minutes ago, Ji said: Why will no storm precipitate over us????? It gives you 10" of snow stfu Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Ill take my 13 and shut up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 It gives you 10" of snow stfu 10 is 4 and u know it. Need way more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 8 minutes ago, Ji said: Why will no storm precipitate over us????? Dude...why do ya get so upset at a Day 7/8 look? Would ya rather it lose the storm? Now if it looks like that at Day 4...then we can drown in misery (although we'd still be getting a great consolation prize even with that, lol) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Im out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 4 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: It's not that light. And because it's the gfs at range. It's been good at general track but expecting the gfs to nail banding and precip intensity outside 100 hours is lol. Good track. Good h5 pass. Good run. Not worried about surface details like qpf yet. I was going to say something, but I figured someone else would take care of it. I literally have no quarrels with this run. It was pretty clean with a great vort pass. If the H5 vort could've closed off a little stronger, then we could've seen widespread 12+, but overall, that was a really good run. GFS is paltry on precip at leads anyway as you mentioned. Give me that H5 presentation and surface will iron itself out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 2 minutes ago, Ji said: 3 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: It gives you 10" of snow stfu 10 is 4 and u know it. Need way more The 12z had it stall at the mouth of the Chesapeake bay for 12 hours hence the higher totals. This run doesn't have it stall but it does slow down a bit off the coast. 00z still is an 18 to 24 hour storm verbatim. 1 to 1.5 inchs of precip. Not bad. But your right. No way we would get 10 to 1 ratios. More like 6 to 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 9 minutes ago, Ji said: 11 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: It gives you 10" of snow stfu 10 is 4 and u know it. Need way more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 I like the fact that it seems to be speeding up. Started as a Monday into Tuesday thing. It now starts Sunday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 10 minutes ago, Ji said: 11 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: It gives you 10" of snow stfu 10 is 4 and u know it. Need way more Seriously? You get a foot and you are fooking complaining? Dear God... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 15 minutes ago, stormtracker said: It really is drier than...... But maybe it's the GFS handling things wrong..who knows. It's 174 hours out. From now until say 120 hours, all we want is a storm still on the map for us I've seen it do this a lot. If that h5 presentation and surface track/intensity is right it will work out. The gfs is often funky with qpf at range. But normally we don't parse details on it from this far out. We're just desperate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 10 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: I was going to say something, but I figured someone else would take care of it. I literally have no quarrels with this run. It was pretty clean with a great vort pass. If the H5 vort could've closed off a little stronger, then we could've seen widespread 12+, but overall, that was a really good run. GFS is paltry on precip at leads anyway as you mentioned. Give me that H5 presentation and surface will iron itself out. My thoughts exactly. Some people I understand, JI should know better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 This is sounding very close to Leesburg during 6z time frame Monday. This is a very solid snow signature with heavy precip at that. Ratios could very well be 9/10:1 during this look. DGZ wasn't half bad either. Seen a heck of a lot worse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 8 minutes ago, yoda said: Seriously? You get a foot and you are fooking complaining? Dear God... If the rest of us get 8" we will be dancing in the streets. JI will be complaining it didn't hit full HECS potential and 8" wasn't enough to save the season from failure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Nobody can derail a thread like JI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 5 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: If the rest of us get 8" we will be dancing in the streets. JI will be complaining it didn't hit full HECS potential and 8" wasn't enough to save the season from failure. He definitely has taken it to a new level even for him these past several weeks. Heck, just give me 4 so we can break 20 inches for the season and I'll be thrilled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Just now, HighStakes said: He definitely has taken it to a new level even for him these past several weeks. Heck, just give me 4 so we can break 20 inches for the season and I'll be thrilled. We only need 3 to break 20. Don't short me an inch. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 This is a great sign! People already losing their s*%t on totals. Either way, we’re heading for a straight up shellacking. Just ask @Jebman He always comes through in the end. Storm should be named after him. He called for it day after day, week after week, month after month. Put it in lights: ”The Jeb Shellacker” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thanatos_I_Am Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Beautiful at the H5. 24 HR definitely went juicier! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 I believe the 00z Euro is a paste bomb for the region... snow map is incredible lol... i81 corridor is the winner Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thanatos_I_Am Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 2 minutes ago, yoda said: I believe the 00z Euro is a paste bomb for the region... snow map is incredible lol... i81 corridor is the winner Best Euro run since Jan ‘16 no doubt. Lock that up in a second. Wow. Uniform 12-18” across the region. 24”+ out by i81. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Accums start at hr 168... here is final snow accumulation map per WB (Yes, I know it says 10 to 1 ratio and yadda yadda) just enjoy it till Ji comes and complains about it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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