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March Mid/Long Range Discussion 2


Cobalt

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5 minutes ago, MD Snow said:

Isn't it one of the GFS' biases to under-do precip on the western side of coastals? hehe...

I could see how if the GFS keeps this track that things could trend a little better over the next 48-72hrs. 

What you want to keep an eye on is the Lakes low. If we see see that feature come in weaker on future runs should be a sign we are getting a quicker transfer of energy from it to the coastal. Should see a quicker response of precip wrapping and expanding around to the western edge as a CCB forms. 

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32 minutes ago, Thanatos_I_Am said:

GEFS took a step back. Definitely does not inspire confidence. Sigh.   

Looks like most members still have the storm just keeps it south of us. The mean precip maps still have a huge precip signal just south of us. Im fine with that 7 days out. What I don't want to see is a move to the north of us

 

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2 minutes ago, Chris78 said:

Looks like most members still have the storm just keeps it south of us. The mean precip maps still have a huge precip signal just south of us. Im fine with that 7 days out. What I don't want to see is a move to the north of us

 

That’s the best news I have heard.  South is sweet for now with the op north.  We gots this fellas

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Just now, BristowWx said:

That’s the best news I have heard.  South is sweet for now with the op north.  We gots this fellas

Here's a couple of 24 hour precip panels form the mean. Plenty of juice down south. I'm good with this for the next few days.

gfs-ens_apcpn24_us_26.png

gfs-ens_apcpn24_us_27.png

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