psuhoffman Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 4 minutes ago, Ji said: despite ensembles.....the operational has been the best model this year. How many weenie ensemble runs have we had....where the OP was like "wtf..you talking about" and in the end...look how much snow we have gotten. The OP GFS except for a few runs has been extremely stingy with digital snow this winter I'll call TOD when I think it's time. Yea we're on life support but there is still some brain activity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 42 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Well...if this really is it and we end up going two consecutive winters without a WSW...you gotta think we're due next winter...I don't know the records, but...when was the last time we went three straight without a WSW event? Didn't we have a WSW last March with the Sleetfest for most of us... excluding Carroll and Very Northern Baltimore County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 ironic for me at least that the best snow i saw this winter(2 weekends ago) came in the worst pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 17 minutes ago, Interstate said: Didn't we have a WSW last March with the Sleetfest for most of us... excluding Carroll and Very Northern Baltimore County. Well, perhaps I should say...WSW storms that actually panned out, lol That one doesn't count!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 32 minutes ago, Interstate said: Didn't we have a WSW last March with the Sleetfest for most of us... excluding Carroll and Very Northern Baltimore County. That didn’t verify in the beltways. We haven’t had a verified warning level snow event in those areas since the blizzard of 2016. It has been two years one month and counting. Hell, we haven’t even been close to such an event since then. This stretch has sucked hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 11 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Well, perhaps I should say...WSW storms that actually panned out, lol That one doesn't count!! Indeed it does not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cae Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 To the extent we can analyze an op run 5+ days out, I'm not sure the 18z GFS was all bad. Clearly it wasn't great, but it looks like the ridging in northern Canada was stronger, and the troughs over CONUS are farther south. My understanding is that we want a system to amplify south of us, so doesn't that help us to some extent? For example, the H5 anomalies on March 11 from the 12z and 18z runs are below. ETA: This is actually 06z vs 18z, but a similar southward shift can be see earlier in the run when you compare 18z with 12z. The wave in the midwest comes closer to snowing on us at 18z than 06z. Of course it's too early to analyze individual waves, but all things considered aren't there some advantages to the 18z look around that time? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 NAM says you may need to cancel your chase to MA and head to either NNE or upstate NY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted February 28, 2018 Author Share Posted February 28, 2018 Lol 10-30" of snow in upstate NY we need to rent a charter bus and head out there on Friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 11 minutes ago, Cobalt said: Lol 10-30" of snow in upstate NY we need to rent a charter bus and head out there on Friday Or just head to Ocean City, the new snow capital of the mid Atlantic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 The next winter olympics might want to consider Delaware Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 The March 2-3 storm keeps getting weaker and more west with every run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 41 minutes ago, RedSky said: The next winter olympics might want to consider Delaware Ji would definitely go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Gfs is a disaster. For march 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Just now, Ji said: Gfs is a disaster. For march 2 3 Didn’t need the 2-3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 4 minutes ago, Ji said: Gfs is a disaster. For march 2 3 lol that storm has been gone for a week, other than a sprinkle or maybe a mangled wet flake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 March 2-3 storm just hanging there in the Atlantic at H138 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 3 minutes ago, Interstate said: March 2-3 storm just hanging there in the Atlantic at H138 Keep wondering if that storm hanging around will screw us later for any potential with the second one...hope not! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Just now, Maestrobjwa said: Keep wondering if that storm hanging around will screw us later for any potential with the second one...hope not! Oh no it will Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Just now, Interstate said: Oh no it will Don't say that, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 3 minutes ago, Interstate said: Oh no it will Yeah it would be a shame if it messed up that beautiful cutter for early next week. I will be pissed if we cant make it into the mid 50s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 3 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: Yeah it would be a shame if it messed up that beautiful cutter for early next week. I will be pissed if we cant make it into the mid 50s. I had middle of the week in mind (but I almost forgot that, if anything, we'd be looking at late week) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestminsterSnowCapitalMA Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 looks like that michigan low wants to play now. is that whats called a ULL? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Just now, WestminsterSnowCapitalMA said: looks like that michigan low wants to play now. is that whats called a ULL? It’s a DBL...death blow low. Bad very bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestminsterSnowCapitalMA Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 but cant it hit the coast and intensify like feb 10 2010? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Remember that time the GFS crushed us all with snow? Now it just crushes weenie snow dreams...all day...every day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 3 minutes ago, WestminsterSnowCapitalMA said: but cant it hit the coast and intensify like feb 10 2010? Sure in Maine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 This Block is so damn anomalous, that the models can't begin to handle it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mordecai Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 21 minutes ago, Jebman said: This Block is so damn anomalous, that the models can't begin to handle it. But we’re all still going to get shellacked by snow, right? Just like the 37th euro member depicts it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 1 hour ago, Mordecai said: But we’re all still going to get shellacked by snow, right? Just like the 37th euro member depicts it If that is the best member then we are in trouble Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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