stormtracker Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 1 minute ago, yoda said: Ugh... 132 has h5 low in W IN Yeah, where it was at 138 on 12z. Da fuq? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 1 minute ago, yoda said: Ugh... 132 has h5 low in W IN Yep... Friday storm is flexing some muscle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestminsterSnowCapitalMA Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 THIS BETTER BE WORTH THE WAIT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Slower at 138 comparing 00z to 18z 144 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Just now, stormtracker said: Yeah, where it was at 138 on 12z It is def north at 132... not much but north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 slower and a good bit NW at 136 with the H5 Edit... I mean NE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Just now, Interstate said: It is def north at 132... not much but north Ok. 50 miles north. In W IND. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Transferring to obx at 147....snow over the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 i mean the difference so far in the runs are miniscule which is absurd for 7 days out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 I don't know if it's truly a bit north or just slower Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 People are picking details. For this range it's as identical as I've ever seen 2 runs through 144. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Just now, Ji said: i mean the difference so far in the runs are miniscule which is absurd for 7 days out I do not know if I would say minuscule at the H5 level though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: People are picking details. For this range it's as identical as I've ever seen 2 runs through 144. Agreed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Heh, we got 2 runs in a row with the same idea and it's under 7 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Just now, psuhoffman said: People are picking details. For this range it's as identical as I've ever seen 2 runs through 144. Especially given how much the GFS has jumped this year...the fact that this didn't completely dissipate after one run offers some hope, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 1 minute ago, Ji said: i mean the difference so far in the runs are miniscule which is absurd for 7 days out Yep I'm lol at the over reaction to minor changes at 144 hours. The general idea is the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Just now, stormtracker said: Agreed Are you a believer? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Ok, question. at 138 the closed h5 low is in W IN. At 150 the energy has moved SE but the closed h5 low is still in W IN per the maps... why is that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Just now, Bob Chill said: Heh, we got 2 runs in a row with the same idea and it's under 7 days. Exactly. This far out, the runs are almost identical...ok, the upper low is 50 miles North. Not HUUUUGE. Normally, we'd be seeing 500 mile jumps with features this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 1 minute ago, nj2va said: Are you a believer? Not quite Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Agreed the expectation was that tonights run would be a .15 qpf fropa. In general, though i like what I am seeing because these features should trend south in further runs #block Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 urg ...the miniscule differences made a huge difference. takes too long to get cooking..congrats NE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Just now, Ji said: the expectation was that tonights run would be a .15 qpf fropa. In general, though i like what I am seeing because these features should trend south in further runs #block Yup..this run won't be as good as 18z, but the features are all pretty much still there. Usually, we'd see a Bermuda High right there right about now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 I think the H5 at 156 looks more like the 12z than the 18z... to my eye at least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Gfs is jumping the surfave low way east when the upper support is just getting there. Probably wrong. Let's see if it redevelops. Either way this run has upside room to improve. I'm totally happy with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 1 minute ago, Ji said: urg ...the miniscule differences made a huge difference. takes too long to get cooking..congrats NE Imortant euro run coming up. We need at least a semi cave Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 well...its a disaster but its not the nuclear disaster. so much for the ensembles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Yup..this run won't be as good as 18z, but the features are all pretty much still there. Usually, we'd see a Bermuda High right there right about now. This run was slightly out of sync but that might just be the typical gfs nonsense of running the lead wave off too much and not consolidating around the upper support. Seen it do that a lot in this range. This could improve without changing the setup at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 the death of us came at 120. Instead of this going due east and south..it turned north some...there must of been some weakness in the block/ridge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: Imortant euro run coming up. We need at least a semi cave With the bass-ackwards script we've had this winter with the GFS schooling the Euro...lets hope that can continue, lol (but really, if the Euro really does move towards it, perhaps we do have something legit to watch! Now if they don't...then what? Lol) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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