psuhoffman Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 It's still digging now at 60 and 66 hours through the mountains. That's already divergent from the euro camp. Of course lots can go wrong between there and snowing on us but the first hurdle is cleared. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 The GFS is moving tomorrow storm more east... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 We will see how it plays out but the heights are already higher at 78 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 going negative a little too early? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 hr 96 closed h5 low SE NE/NE KS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 On 3/1/2018 at 4:00 PM, yoda said: hr 96 closed h5 low SE NE/NE KS Expand it is slower then yesterday 18z run. My guess is that is going to let it come north more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 On 3/1/2018 at 4:00 PM, yoda said: hr 96 closed h5 low SE NE/NE KS Expand 108 in N MO/S IA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 SW at 114, more energy dropping in on the backside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Really nice thump for the Southern Shenandoah Valley this run. Snowshoe gets mauled. Actually the entire Valley gets hit nicely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Seeing slightly better heights riding over top of it which would tend to hinder a northward component to the movement but we are also seeing better ridging in front of it which would promote a more northerly component. Game of, which is the bigger bully. eta: in regards to what we are seeing at 500mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Jump starts at 135 off of Myrtle Beach. This could be good. 144 Richmond hammered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Cleaner transfer and slightly further south of of the NC/SC border at 138. Should have a better NW precip shield. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Thats alot of strong energy on the h5 coming down on the backside of the h5 low at 132, yes? which should be good? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Surface details still rather meaningless, but its better than 6z. At 147 tucked in right off of ORF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 I'm not going to over analyze details on day 5-6. By 60 hours it was still digging the h5 system coming off the Pacific instead of lifting it like the euro. From there the doninoes fall in our favor to have a favorable setup and a chance. Other things then need to work out also to make that chance become something we shovel but the important hurdle was passed imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Better look/setup imo. 500mb height anomaly says it all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 I will just shut up now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Man. What a storm that would be for the Richmond to Norfolk coridor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 On 3/1/2018 at 4:17 PM, psuhoffman said: I'm not going to over analyze details on day 5-6. By 60 hours it was still digging the h5 system coming off the Pacific instead of lifting it like the euro. From there the doninoes fall in our favor to have a favorable setup and a chance. Other things then need to work out also to make that chance become something we shovel but the important hurdle was passed imo. Expand So h5 at 150... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Barely is still good enough for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Trend friend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 On 3/1/2018 at 4:18 PM, yoda said: So h5 at 150... Expand This works Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Richmond in the bulls eye at day 5-6. I like that. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 On 3/1/2018 at 4:18 PM, yoda said: So h5 at 150... Expand Take that in a heartbeat for our region. I don't care what the surface is showing. That would probably be a flush hit for DC/Balt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 DC south and east gets crushed this run. Just crushed. Temps are iffy. But that is heavy precip for a very long time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 On 3/1/2018 at 4:18 PM, yoda said: So h5 at 150... Expand It's sweet. Slightly southeast of where I would want it. Perfect for D.C. Gfs still under doing precip on the west side with the system imo. Typical gfs problem. But it's still too far out to stress those kinds of details. This run is a win imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thanatos_I_Am Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 On 3/1/2018 at 4:20 PM, showmethesnow said: Let's see if it can turn the corner and give us a Take that in a heartbeat for our region. I don't care what the surface is showing. That would probably be a flush hit. Expand Yeah that’s my question. Sub 990 low off the Delmarva and such a weak precipitation field? Why? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 On 3/1/2018 at 4:20 PM, showmethesnow said: Take that in a heartbeat for our region. I don't care what the surface is showing. That would probably be a flush hit. Expand 156 h5 also decent before it moves eastward Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 On 3/1/2018 at 4:20 PM, clskinsfan said: DC south and east gets crushed this run. Just crushed. Temps are iffy. But that is heavy precip for a very long time. Expand Maybe I am looking at something wrong... but everything south and east of DC has temps in the mid 30's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 If the ensembles play follow the leader somewhat we are going to see some awesome snow totals show up on some members. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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