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March Mid/Long Range Discussion 2


Cobalt

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  On 3/1/2018 at 4:41 AM, Bob Chill said:

Heh, we got 2 runs in a row with the same idea and it's under 7 days. 

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Exactly.  This far out, the runs are almost identical...ok, the upper low is 50 miles North.  Not HUUUUGE.  Normally, we'd be seeing 500 mile jumps with features this winter.

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  On 3/1/2018 at 4:43 AM, Ji said:

the expectation was that tonights run would be a .15 qpf fropa. In general, though i like what I am seeing because these features should trend south in further runs #block

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Yup..this run won't be as good as 18z, but the features are all pretty much still there.   Usually, we'd see a Bermuda High right there right about now.

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  On 3/1/2018 at 4:45 AM, stormtracker said:

Yup..this run won't be as good as 18z, but the features are all pretty much still there.   Usually, we'd see a Bermuda High right there right about now.

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This run was slightly out of sync but that might just be the typical gfs nonsense of running the lead wave off too much and not consolidating around the upper support. Seen it do that a lot in this range. This could improve without changing the setup at all. 

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  On 3/1/2018 at 4:46 AM, Bob Chill said:

Imortant euro run coming up. We need at least a semi cave 

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With the bass-ackwards script we've had this winter with the GFS schooling the Euro...lets hope that can continue, lol (but really, if the Euro really does move towards it, perhaps we do have something legit to watch! Now if they don't...then what? Lol)

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