NJwx85 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 HRRR has a deformation band sitting right over the area tonight for a few hours. Previous runs had everyone shutting off by 5-6PM. That's why the HRRR is only useful when you know how to use it, especially when it disagrees with other guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 4 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: You still don't understand that Rockland and Orange Counties are part of the NYC metro area, or you just choose to ignore it, one or the other. no they are not their upstate ....wow that means buffalo and watertown ny are also part of the nyc metro with your logic.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Ugh what could've been. Had the airmass been just slightly colder this would've been a MECS. I guess any snow is a win considering it wasn't even in the discussion a few days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Rockland is upstate? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Just now, nycwinter said: no they are not their upstate ....wow that means buffalo and watertown ny are also part of the nyc metro with your logic.... Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 1 minute ago, nycwinter said: no they are not their upstate ....wow that means buffalo and watertown ny are also part of the nyc metro with your logic.... You've got to be kidding me. Rockland and Orange Counties aren't part of upstate. Upstate NY is Rochester, Binghampton, Buffalo, Syracuse, Albany... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 1 minute ago, Stormlover74 said: Rockland is upstate? Lol He lives in Manhattan, and then he would get offended if I called him a typical. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 "Albany’s working definition of upstate New York is based on what lies outside the Metropolitan Transportation Authority’s commuter rail area. Besides New York City and Long Island, it excludes Westchester, Rockland, Orange, Putnam and Dutchess Counties."https://mobile.nytimes.com/2014/02/16/nyregion/what-area-is-considered-upstate-new-york.htmlSent from my SM-N950U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 5 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Ugh what could've been. Had the airmass been just slightly colder this would've been a MECS. I guess any snow is a win considering it wasn't even in the discussion a few days ago. How is this not a MECS? I realize that this won't end up being that big of a deal for the major cities, but just the coastal flooding and impacts from the winds alone make this a major storm. Any many, many areas are receiving significant snow accumulations and others significant flooding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 6 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Ugh what could've been. Had the airmass been just slightly colder this would've been a MECS. I guess any snow is a win considering it wasn't even in the discussion a few days ago. Hecs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Enough. If you dont know how to read a map, just ask. rockland is part of the nyc metro area, this is not in dispute. End of discussion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 HecsWe have a thread yet for later this week? Sent from my SM-N950U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 1 minute ago, USCG RS said: We have a thread yet for later this week? Sent from my SM-N950U using Tapatalk Not yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 HRDPS have 6 + now for the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 By looking at the radar that CCB is getting ready to park itself right over the area..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard-on-GFS Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 3 minutes ago, Snow88 said: HRDPS have 6 + now for the area. It seems like it’s on it’s own with this but it has been verifying thus far. Crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 16 hours ago, NorthShoreWx said: With the occluding low, there are going to be "bubbles" of air wrapping around so that 850s could be all over the place with little regard to north- south. The 3k is trying to depict this and you can see the result on the 850charts and in some of the NAM p-type charts (blob of snow over the ocean south of LI while LI and NYC rain, etc ), but queue the butterfly effect. It may be correct in a general sense, but if it pins the details down, it's a heckofa model. And so it comes to pass... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friedmators Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 These rates ain't cutting it here around the 78/287 intersection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 17 minutes ago, friedmators said: These rates ain't cutting it here around the 78/287 intersection. Same at the 80/287 intersection...white rain. Winter storm warning in effect back home; received a text from family in Randolph, looks like a winter wonderland. Should be a fun ride home up the mountain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 I kinda like windmageddon The weather pattern that helped to deliver the bomb cyclone, nicknamed windmageddon due to widespread damage and power outages, on Friday, March 2, will weaken slightly but not go away in the short term. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said: Ugh what could've been. Had the airmass been just slightly colder this would've been a MECS. I guess any snow is a win considering it wasn't even in the discussion a few days ago. it probably would have been our biggest march storm of all time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 1 hour ago, ForestHillWx said: Same at the 80/287 intersection...white rain. Winter storm warning in effect back home; received a text from family in Randolph, looks like a winter wonderland. Should be a fun ride home up the mountain. Quote * WHAT...Heavy wet snow. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 8 inches with locally higher amounts to 10 inches at elevations above 700 feet and two inches or less in the valleys near Interstates 287 and 78. I'm surprised at the bolded section. I'm not far below 700ft, but don't expect anything near that. Coming up the hill from Riverdale you could see a bit more accumulation, and closer to home the snow is more noticeable on the grass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 22 minutes ago, forkyfork said: it probably would have been our biggest march storm of all time Yeah but Marches aren't as cold as they used to be. This airmass a few weeks ago would have given us a HECS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 1 hour ago, NorthShoreWx said: And so it comes to pass... its been snowing here since before 9am but not sticking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 1 hour ago, Snow88 said: HRDPS have 6 + now for the area. The snow actually has to stick for that to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 10 minutes ago, JerseyWx said: I'm surprised at the bolded section. I'm not far below 700ft, but don't expect anything near that. Coming up the hill from Riverdale you could see a bit more accumulation, and closer to home the snow is more noticeable on the grass. Stony Brook Road/Kinnelon Road should be getting popped pretty good I would think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 The radar presentation off Wunderground is pretty good looking. There are waves off precip rotating into North Jersey from CT...what could have been for all! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 The mid-level centers are still decoupled, but you can see the progress that the 500mb low has made since this morning. I would think the peak intensity should be realized early this afternoon before the slow weakening trend begins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 8 minutes ago, ForestHillWx said: Stony Brook Road/Kinnelon Road should be getting popped pretty good I would think. Should be yeah. Elevation is really the key for this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 The 500mb jet hasn't even really started cranking yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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