WeatherFeen2000 Posted March 2, 2018 Author Share Posted March 2, 2018 I guarantee you guys this is a 6-12 inch snow event for nyc well except central park because they under measure but generally speaking this will be a blizzard after 12pm NYC areawide. Long island is going to change once the low starts moving south after looping towards the city. People give up too fast! This is a beautiful storm so far. And it's definitely colder than modeled. Edit: John nyc will beat boston in this setup we are in the better side of the low pressure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 If somehow the NYC area beats Boston for snow in this one, it'll definitely be worth a laugh. I still don't think that happens, but we crossed "who knows" with this a while ago. It'll be a race between how fast the CCB can cool NYC down/banding vs how crazy Boston's firehose is and how long that lasts/how fast that can cool Boston down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 No changes at all to my previous thoughts from earlier. The Euro is a mirage, don’t fall for it. The HRRR doesn’t even change me over here. Rainstorm, had we had cold, this would have been one for the record books Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 The Euro is basically a rehash of 12/25/02 more or less although not that many areas saw that much snow near NYC. Because the air mass is so marginal I don't think its right but I could see 2-4 inches possibly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 18 minutes ago, jm1220 said: If somehow the NYC area beats Boston for snow in this one, it'll definitely be worth a laugh. I still don't think that happens, but we crossed "who knows" with this a while ago. It'll be a race between how fast the CCB can cool NYC down/banding vs how crazy Boston's firehose is and how long that lasts/how fast that can cool Boston down. It's quite possible. This reminds me of the retrogading storm of 2010. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Just now, snowman19 said: Didn’t you just tell us not to use the globals anymore?? You must have meant unless they show snow. This is a rainstorm, end to end, nothing has changed. It's a hi res model Be smart for a minute The Nam is leading the way here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 1 minute ago, SnowGoose69 said: The Euro is basically a rehash of 12/25/02 more or less although not that many areas saw that much snow near NYC. Because the air mass is so marginal I don't think its right but I could see 2-4 inches possibly I had 5 inches in the chiristmas storm. I was supposed to get mostly rain. The heavy rain quickly turned to heavy wind driven snow and caught people offguard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 28 minutes ago, WeatherFeen2000 said: I guarantee you guys this is a 6-12 inch snow event for nyc well except central park because they under measure but generally speaking this will be a blizzard after 12pm NYC areawide. Long island is going to change once the low starts moving south after looping towards the city. People give up too fast! This is a beautiful storm so far. And it's definitely colder than modeled. Edit: John nyc will beat boston in this setup we are in the better side of the low pressure That's way too high lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 2” down with snow +++ I’m in southern Vermont so this is nothing like the 2010 retrograde storm. It was rain even here for most of that. This is another animal (congrats again me and animal) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Seeing alot of high wind gusts and power outages being reported across portions of Maryland/Virginia in the mid-atlantic thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Mt.Holly updated my High Wind Warning which now goes in effect at 10 am until 6 am Saturday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 42 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: The Euro is basically a rehash of 12/25/02 more or less although not that many areas saw that much snow near NYC. Because the air mass is so marginal I don't think its right but I could see 2-4 inches possibly Got 6" in the Edison area from that and most of NENJ, including just across the river from Manhattan, so I would've thought they got that much too. Good comparison, which I was thinking about also. I vividly recall that changeover on Christmas afternoon and then a wall of white. http://www.raymondcmartinjr.com/weather/2003/25-Dec-02.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Wow the Nam is colder with a big CCB right over the area. SREF increased with 2-4 inches now for the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 3 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Wow the Nam is colder with a big CCB right over the area. SREF increased with 2-4 inches now for the area. Yeah that's a sizable cool down, I think that along with the Euro makes me think people are gonna be caught off guard big time. However it's still a very close call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 6z Nam 3-6 for NYC 6+ for central and south NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Yeah that's a sizable cool down, I think that along with the Euro makes me think people are gonna be caught off guard big time. However it's still a very close call. Yeah, I think the area has a good shot at some substantial snow. Sent from my SM-N950U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 NYC jackpot on the 3k Nam ( metro area ) 6+ Long Island and SNJ get 2-4 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizz Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 1 minute ago, Blizz said: I looked at tropical tidbits lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 5 minutes ago, Snow88 said: NYC jackpot on the 3k Nam ( metro area ) 6+ Long Island and SNJ get 2-4 inches Then you have the HRRR which is a dud, so we'll just have to wait and see. Low expectations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Just now, SnoSki14 said: Then you have the HRRR which is a dud, so we'll just have to wait and see. Low expectations. Hrrr has been a dud for every event. Not a good model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 1 minute ago, Snow88 said: Hrrr has been a dud for every event. Not a good model. Mets fan..if I am not snowing i 2 hrs.....it's a different song I want & expect storms.....total BS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Albany had this as largely a rain event and they've had 4 inches in the past 3 hours now. They did not anticipate a full changeover to snow in their 00Z forecast til 13Z and then had it going back to RASN at 17Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Albany had this as largely a rain event and they've had 4 inches in the past 3 hours now. They did not anticipate a full changeover to snow in their 00Z forecast til 13Z and then had it going back to RASN at 17ZThinking the area is in for a surprise? Sent from my SM-N950U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 28 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: Albany had this as largely a rain event and they've had 4 inches in the past 3 hours now. They did not anticipate a full changeover to snow in their 00Z forecast til 13Z and then had it going back to RASN at 17Z I have just flipped to snow here in the high ground in Harriman Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 H7 is closed Courtesy Undertakerson via AccuWeather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophisticated Skeptic Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Moderate snow, 31 degrees , 1/2 inch so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 HPN is currently 9 degrees colder than the GFS/NAM had at 10Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophisticated Skeptic Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Another reason to completely throw out the gfs guys, it’s been wrong the whole time and is still wrong. NAM has been the closest the whole time with precip and temps ,and is accurate right now for temps here as well. Gfs says I just still be 40 right now...and it’s 31. NAM says around 33 ..close enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Have flipped over here. Ground white temp. 33. Elevation 125' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.