MJO812 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Wow the Nam is colder with a big CCB right over the area. SREF increased with 2-4 inches now for the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 3 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Wow the Nam is colder with a big CCB right over the area. SREF increased with 2-4 inches now for the area. Yeah that's a sizable cool down, I think that along with the Euro makes me think people are gonna be caught off guard big time. However it's still a very close call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 6z Nam 3-6 for NYC 6+ for central and south NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Yeah that's a sizable cool down, I think that along with the Euro makes me think people are gonna be caught off guard big time. However it's still a very close call. Yeah, I think the area has a good shot at some substantial snow. Sent from my SM-N950U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 NYC jackpot on the 3k Nam ( metro area ) 6+ Long Island and SNJ get 2-4 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizz Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 1 minute ago, Blizz said: I looked at tropical tidbits lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 5 minutes ago, Snow88 said: NYC jackpot on the 3k Nam ( metro area ) 6+ Long Island and SNJ get 2-4 inches Then you have the HRRR which is a dud, so we'll just have to wait and see. Low expectations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Just now, SnoSki14 said: Then you have the HRRR which is a dud, so we'll just have to wait and see. Low expectations. Hrrr has been a dud for every event. Not a good model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 1 minute ago, Snow88 said: Hrrr has been a dud for every event. Not a good model. Mets fan..if I am not snowing i 2 hrs.....it's a different song I want & expect storms.....total BS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Albany had this as largely a rain event and they've had 4 inches in the past 3 hours now. They did not anticipate a full changeover to snow in their 00Z forecast til 13Z and then had it going back to RASN at 17Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Albany had this as largely a rain event and they've had 4 inches in the past 3 hours now. They did not anticipate a full changeover to snow in their 00Z forecast til 13Z and then had it going back to RASN at 17ZThinking the area is in for a surprise? Sent from my SM-N950U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 28 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: Albany had this as largely a rain event and they've had 4 inches in the past 3 hours now. They did not anticipate a full changeover to snow in their 00Z forecast til 13Z and then had it going back to RASN at 17Z I have just flipped to snow here in the high ground in Harriman Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 H7 is closed Courtesy Undertakerson via AccuWeather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophisticated Skeptic Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Moderate snow, 31 degrees , 1/2 inch so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 HPN is currently 9 degrees colder than the GFS/NAM had at 10Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophisticated Skeptic Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Another reason to completely throw out the gfs guys, it’s been wrong the whole time and is still wrong. NAM has been the closest the whole time with precip and temps ,and is accurate right now for temps here as well. Gfs says I just still be 40 right now...and it’s 31. NAM says around 33 ..close enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Have flipped over here. Ground white temp. 33. Elevation 125' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 NEXRAD is showing Mt. Olive is transitioning to ice/snow. 7 miles north of me on route 206. No idea if it's accurate. Temp is now 35. Down 3 degrees in the hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Down to 38 here. 39 in Central Park Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 There is an obs thread guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Upton: .SHORT TERM /9 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/... Some changes made with the fcst this mrng. The first is the expansion of the high wind wrng to the entire area minus Putnam, Orange and wrn Passaic. In addition to this, peak gusts have been increased across ern LI and ern CT to 70 mph. The second change was to upgrade the winter weather advy for wrn Passaic to a wrng. Snowfall totals in general were increased for Orange and wrn Passaic. An approximately 975 low is progged to be roughly 50 to 100 miles w of the benchmark at 18z. The 00Z RGEM/GFS/ECMWF, 3Z SREF and 6Z NAM make up this grouping. The further wwd trend has increased the wind threat, but has not made the snow/rain fcst any less complicated. While the cooling airmass associated with the upr low evidenced by decreasing wet bulb zero heights remains a crucial component, the wwd trend brings warmer air aloft in as well. Because of these two factors, snowfall totals have been lowered from roughly the Hudson River ewd, and increased elsewhere. Over a foot of snow is now expected for some of the higher elevations in Orange county. Significant changes in snow amounts for the entire area are possible with such little room for error thermally. The time period thru noon will be critical for getting a handle of how the rain/snow line is progressing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 2 minutes ago, snywx said: Upton: .SHORT TERM /9 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/... Some changes made with the fcst this mrng. The first is the expansion of the high wind wrng to the entire area minus Putnam, Orange and wrn Passaic. In addition to this, peak gusts have been increased across ern LI and ern CT to 70 mph. The second change was to upgrade the winter weather advy for wrn Passaic to a wrng. Snowfall totals in general were increased for Orange and wrn Passaic. An approximately 975 low is progged to be roughly 50 to 100 miles w of the benchmark at 18z. The 00Z RGEM/GFS/ECMWF, 3Z SREF and 6Z NAM make up this grouping. The further wwd trend has increased the wind threat, but has not made the snow/rain fcst any less complicated. While the cooling airmass associated with the upr low evidenced by decreasing wet bulb zero heights remains a crucial component, the wwd trend brings warmer air aloft in as well. Because of these two factors, snowfall totals have been lowered from roughly the Hudson River ewd, and increased elsewhere. Over a foot of snow is now expected for some of the higher elevations in Orange county. Significant changes in snow amounts for the entire area are possible with such little room for error thermally. The time period thru noon will be critical for getting a handle of how the rain/snow line is progressing. Playing catch up, as always. 31.1 moderate snow, covering grass and starting to stick on the roads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 1 minute ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said: Playing catch up, as always. 31.1 moderate snow, covering grass and starting to stick on the roads. What's your elevation? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 7:00 am. Temp down to 33. Large flakes are mixing in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 6 minutes ago, ForestHillWx said: 7:00 am. Temp down to 33. Large flakes are mixing in. OK guys, largely forgot about this storm, and media WNYC is only talking about being grazed by a storm with rain and maybe a little snow. To read here some of you still expect snow out of this: I have family that have to drive today in the afternoon, what gives? Northern Middlesex Co/SI border area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marsh Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Little slush on the deck, temp 35, elevation 230, Greenwich,CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 HRRR now has 3-4 inches for NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 5 minutes ago, Snow88 said: HRRR now has 3-4 inches for NYC I don't know man... im in northwest orange county and I can't manage to hold onto snow for more than 5 mins without flipping back to rain. Managed a coating here since 330am. Currently all rain at 33° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 6 minutes ago, Snow88 said: HRRR now has 3-4 inches for NYC At this point I hopenot. People are going about with daily life and a sudden flip to heavy snow would be too hazardous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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