jm1220 Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 1 minute ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said: It's not the norm but it happens. February 25-26 2010 NYC got 21" and Worcester mostly rain and I think 5" on the back end. Not terribly different from this but that low seems to have closed off a lot earlier and was less progressive, actually looped back north and west. That pulled a ton of warm air into New England. This one seems like it will keep moving east into the ocean. That should allow them to cool down as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swamplover56 Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 2 minutes ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said: It's not the norm but it happens. February 25-26 2010 NYC got 21" and Worcester mostly rain and I think 5" on the back end. I was in Livingston for that storm just cold enough for the primary to stay all snow got 11” while nyc 20 miles east stayed mainly rain, they made up for it getting nailed by the coastal while I was just out of the death band. We both ended with 21” or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfreeeeak Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 32 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: 00z UKMET looks great. Can you post? What’s it show snowsise? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 20 minutes ago, Rjay said: Oh man. Gem-lam Bump bc the gem-lam is sick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 2 minutes ago, Rjay said: Bump bc the gem-lam is sick. Should be flagged for obscene content. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 euro anyone ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Just now, Brasiluvsnow said: euro anyone ? Out to hour 30. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 38 minutes ago, Rjay said: Bump bc the gem-lam is sick. Need to save for posterity. That’s how you get it done. I’m starting to think my Vermont plan is off the table and I may be doing snow removal in NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 The Euro looks east and warm (rainy). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Just now, Rjay said: The Euro looks east and warm (rainy). ugh say it ain so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Orange county and NWNJ look nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Damn Rjay looks like just me and you if thats possible,,,,,give me play by play and pic if u can ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 2 minutes ago, Rjay said: The Euro looks east and warm (rainy). Dr. No saying yes, no, maybe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Enigma Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 High rates or bust. This could easily be light rain for much of NJ/NYC with white rain by late afternoon. We needed the euro tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Hope the suspense is worth it,,I'm shot right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 3 minutes ago, Enigma said: High rates or bust. This could easily be light rain for much of NJ/NYC with white rain by late afternoon. We needed the euro tonight. We did? The Euro hasn't had a great track record either this season. The parts are still in motion, it's going to take another 24 hrs before things become clearer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Seems really progressive and SE of other models. The only area outside of upstate NY and maybe Berkshires that does well snowwise this run is SE Mass around the Cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 2 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Seems really progressive and SE of other models. The only area outside of upstate NY and maybe Berkshires that does well snowwise this run is SE Mass around the Cape. Its been consistent on 6-9" for NW NJ, NE PA & SE NY ( W of the Hudson). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 1 minute ago, snywx said: Its been consistent on 6-10" for extreme NW NJ, NE PA & SE NY ( W of the Hudson). This is the snow map on weather.us https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/new-york/acc-precipitation-snow-total/20180303-0900z.html You get maybe 0.6" liquid as snow this run. The NY/PA border from Erie to BGM is where it's at. Pretty much a suicide run for most in New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 The King Euro has become the Gomer Pyle of the models IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard-on-GFS Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 This is a huge weenie term. But this might just be a nowcasting event Between thermal issues, low strength, and a potential CCB there's a lot of undetermined variables at play. If the NAM constitutes to get more mesos onboard with the snowier solution that's going to be hard to discount. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Looks this run overall like everything gets squashed SE fast, maybe by confluence. Everything consolidates way offshore, and too late for anyone near the coast to see anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 18 minutes ago, Brasiluvsnow said: Damn Rjay looks like just me and you if thats possible,,,,,give me play by play and pic if u can ? Hr 36 is rain for all. The surface is torched at hours 42 and 48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Nam/Gem-lam vs euro, gfs, Ukie, rgem, Etc etc etc. Who's going to win the thermal profile war? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 meh, Dr. No Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Nam/Gem-lam vs euro, gfs, Ukie, rgem, Etc etc etc. Who's going to win the thermal profile war? GFS looked alot more like the NAM imo. Rgem is normally a reliable model, so this gives me a bit of pause (granted we are just outside its rather deadly range). The Euro has kept a progressive bias and I don't quite buy it. NAO will keep things slow, though confluence may play into this a bit. Furthermore, as far as confluence; there seems to be a ULL that is hanging around Maine that is really helping to create some of this confluence, and perhaps the Euro is picking up on this. But, that being said, I would stick to the meso models if that's the case as they seem to be picking up a bit more on the synoptical pattern. Sent from my SM-N950U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 It was more the thermals that killed it. The setup was actually borderline ideal for here if it was a bit colder. Actually better than it was for Boston Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swamplover56 Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 3 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: It was more the thermals that killed it. The setup was actually borderline ideal for here if it was a bit colder. Actually better than it was for Boston Goose hate to put you out there but your thoughts for nyc metro/nj Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 2 hours ago, jm1220 said: Not terribly different from this but that low seems to have closed off a lot earlier and was less progressive, actually looped back north and west. That pulled a ton of warm air into New England. This one seems like it will keep moving east into the ocean. That should allow them to cool down as well. It's going to be very difficult to get something like that in this kind of pattern, it's a semi-analog but not an altogether ideal one. And in that one NYC got 21" while we got about half that- do you see us getting much closer to what NYC gets this time? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEC Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Winter Storm Warning URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Binghamton NY 415 AM EST Thu Mar 1 2018 NYZ046-057-062-020915- /O.UPG.KBGM.WS.A.0003.180302T0500Z-180303T0500Z/ /O.NEW.KBGM.WS.W.0004.180302T0400Z-180303T0600Z/ Otsego-Delaware-Sullivan- Including the cities of Oneonta, Delhi, Walton, and Monticello 415 AM EST Thu Mar 1 2018 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 AM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 10 to 16 inches, with localized amounts up to 20 inches in the higher Catskill mountains, are expected. * WHERE...Otsego, Delaware and Sullivan Counties. * WHEN...From 11 PM this evening to 1 AM EST Saturday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel will be very difficult, including during the morning commute on Friday. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph Friday afternoon will cause areas blowing and drifting snow, along with scattered power outages. Snow could fall heavy at times after midnight tonight and into the day on Friday, with rates up to 2 inches per hour possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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