snywx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 1 minute ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: So I guess your having the party now instead of animal! lol.. That NAM run was a thing of beauty up here. A yardstick may not be enough to measure the snow in the Catskills. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 2 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: So I guess your having the party now instead of animal! 6-12" for us if it happens wouldn't be anything to sneeze at either- though as Enigma said cut NAM totals in half and you get 3-6" which is still respectable for March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Just now, snywx said: lol.. That NAM run was a thing of beauty up here. A yardstick may not be enough to measure the snow in the Catskills. Anyone have a snow map to post? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 2 minutes ago, hudsonvalley21 said: Anyone have a snow map to post? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 I’m telling everyone around here 6-10” of cement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 5 minutes ago, snywx said: Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard-on-GFS Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 The NAM has my attention. I was honestly puzzled how some of the globals had this an all rain event with a deep low cranking and rotting around the BM. I mean that’s close to a classic setup even without a cold air mass to start. No doubt this will end as snow for I-95, it’s just a matter of whether we get nailed with the CCB and get 6”+ or if we get some snow bands at the end for a few slushy inches on colder surfaces. The trend is our friend and the climo is our trend. For those north and west of I-95 who can cash in on the primary low moisture and the easternly fetch banding in New England I really like your chances for a 10”+ storm. No doubt someone is going to get clocked. This should be a lot of fun to track and the wind element could make it special. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 8 minutes ago, snywx said: Would be a typical March type storm for my area just west of the city, 3-6, very believable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 6+ for NYC with over a foot not too far away Tomorrow is going to be very interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 4 minutes ago, Snow88 said: 6+ for NYC with over a foot not too far away Tomorrow is going to be very interesting. Majority of the population in the area have heard nothing about snow for friday. This is gonna come as a shock to many. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 1 minute ago, Snow88 said: 6+ for NYC with over a foot not too far away Tomorrow is going to be very interesting. I'm getting interested. What a wild year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Just now, snywx said: Majority of the population in the area have heard nothing about snow for friday. This is gonna as a shock for many. NPR and CBS ( radio ) have merely mentioned the possibility of snow; they have been hawking rain and wind. We'll see what the latest updates are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Just now, weatherpruf said: NPR and CBS ( radio ) have merely mentioned the possibility of snow; they have been hawking rain and wind. We'll see what the latest updates are. Even up here very little mention of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Do I have to put my plow back on ? was told no snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 2 minutes ago, Dan76 said: Do I have to put my plow back on ? was told no snow. As an old sage once told me if it snows in March, nature takes care of it. Didn't work in March 93 though...but then, neither did the plows... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 3 minutes ago, snywx said: Even up here very little mention of snow. I have a flood watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 1 minute ago, snywx said: Even up here very little mention of snow. I don't understand this either. NWS Albany has me in a flood watch with barely a mention of snow yet Hi-res models such as Euro, nam and HRDPS all give me significant accums. I'm confused. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 4 minutes ago, Dan76 said: Do I have to put my plow back on ? was told no snow. March always comes in like a lion don't ya know? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 1 minute ago, Nibor said: March always comes in like a lion don't ya know? Anthony's my private weather forecaster now lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 4 minutes ago, Animal said: I have a flood watch. I have 3 - if you believe the NAM - I would have 4 FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT... ...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING... ...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 0z NAM hr 42.. gonna be fun to watch this unfold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Hopefully the other models follow suit with the robust CCB and closed low. They’ve been trending that way so that’s a plus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 1 minute ago, jm1220 said: Hopefully the other models follow suit with the robust CCB and closed low. They’ve been trending that way so that’s a plus. this is going to be the ultimate now casting event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Long Island; Eastern or Western for best snow potential? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 That said, the NAM is likely too heavy on accums given that ratios will likely be below 10-1 near the city and coast, and we will need the heavy rates to really accumulate. It would also be better for accums with snow at 32 rather than 34. I wouldn’t go higher than 8-1 for ratios in that area. Inland and elevated areas may be 10 or 11-1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swamplover56 Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 19 minutes ago, weatherpruf said: Would be a typical March type storm for my area just west of the city, 3-6, very believable. Um colonia/Woodbridge is 6-9 on that map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 2 minutes ago, sferic said: Long Island; Eastern or Western for best snow potential? Western, though judging by your locations you should be in Liberty for this one! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 12 minutes ago, swamplover56 said: Um colonia/Woodbridge is 6-9 on that map Well 7 or so, yes, but I was thinking Bernie Rayo as well, and I don't think we would see 9, haven't yet this year. March storms for this area are not big snowmakers. The 9 on that map is a bit north of here. This would be starting as rain right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 19 minutes ago, jm1220 said: That said, the NAM is likely too heavy on accums given that ratios will likely be below 10-1 near the city and coast, and we will need the heavy rates to really accumulate. It would also be better for accums with snow at 32 rather than 34. I wouldn’t go higher than 8-1 for ratios in that area. Inland and elevated areas may be 10 or 11-1. It's good to see the Nam colder I think 2-4 is a good call right now for the area. We still have the overnight models and at 12z tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Solid storm coming huh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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