SnoSki14 Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 4 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: Given the preponderance of the guidance, that's reasonable. It still remains to be seen how close that secondary is to us. For coastal flooding the more south it is, the more impactful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Definitely colder for those NW of the city so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Just now, SnoSki14 said: It still remains to be seen how close that secondary is to us. For coastal flooding the more south it is, the more impactful. That is true. There's still quite a bit of uncertainty. Hopefully, the guidance will move into consensus tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 18z NAM... Oh my Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Just now, snywx said: 18z NAM... Oh my Yeah, closes off later, so more time for the CCB to develop. This run is going to be one for the ages. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mike1984 Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Eastern PA and NNJ crushed at hour 42 with heavy snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Look at that LLJ. Destroyed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Nyc getting blasted at hr 45! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Now that’s what I call a CCB... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Almost hurricane force winds just above the surface, and still strengthening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neblizzard Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Just now, NJwx85 said: Almost hurricane force winds just above the surface, and still strengthening Goes from a driving rainstorm to a blizzard region wide. You knew this run was coming . Just a beauty at H5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Storm still deepening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Just now, Neblizzard said: Goes from a driving rainstorm to a blizzard region wide. You knew this run was coming . Just a beauty at H5 That's why I said this would be epic. Unfortunately it was a shift towards the Euro and others. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Down to 970mb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Sustained 10m winds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neblizzard Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Just now, NJwx85 said: That's why I said this would be epic. Unfortunately it was a shift towards the Euro and others. Agreed. I never bought the tucked in solutions these models were showing previously . The block over Greenland won’t allow that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Incredible, closed off 3 times Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 LOL and its not even done yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 What is it about that NAM that it sometimes takes until 18z to go to Euro and EPS instead of the 12z run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Just now, Stormlover74 said: LOL This map misses the last third of the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Just now, bluewave said: What is it about that NAM that it sometimes takes until 18z to go to Euro and EPS instead of the 12z run? This is much snowier than the Euro...especially for inland folk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Just now, NJwx85 said: This map misses the last third of the storm. yep i edited to say its not done yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Storm finally stacks Friday night and slowly begins to fill and weaken, snowing itself out over most of the Western 2/3rds of the region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 You can see how the freezing line retreats back to the NW as soon as the heavy precip shuts off. 2-3" liquid equivalent over most of the region. Of course some of that is lost to rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 2 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: This is much snowier than the Euro...especially for inland folk. The Euro tends to be too dry and suppressed with it's precip shields a day or two out. But the NAM can be too juiced on off hour runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 That’s how you get snow along the coast in a warmish airmass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 I believe 2/10/10 was also an analog. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 That's why I said this would be epic. Unfortunately it was a shift towards the Euro and others.Honestly, I would not discount this solution. Synoptically it makes sense, and it is one of those runs that shows what happens if the SLP closes off in the correct area. That being said, of course, i would not put too much stock in it unless 00z spits out something similar Sent from my SM-N950U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 1 minute ago, SnoSki14 said: I believe 2/10/10 was also an analog. How about the retrogading storm ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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