Enigma Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Mid 90s...we'd bring home 100 fish...no lie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Look at the soundings during the heavy precip and you'll see why the GFS is GFSing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 On 3/1/2018 at 4:42 AM, Enigma said: Mid 90s...we'd bring home 100 fish...no lie. Expand Yes we did. Even more in Boston. But Raritan was loaded. I remember sitting in an 18 footer in a northeast wind anchored on the clam beds on Round Shoal catching doubleheaders with two other guys on the boat. We almost sank on the way back to S Amboy. But it wasn't hook and line guys that did them in, it was trawlers and possibly warmer water temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Enigma Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Btw...why follow this storm when the real event is in 140 hr? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 00z UKMET looks great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 On 3/1/2018 at 4:50 AM, Enigma said: Btw...why follow this storm when the real event is in 140 hr? Expand What are you expecting? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Ccb anyone? Developing and strengthening in the 2nd frame. Mature in the 3rd frame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 On 3/1/2018 at 4:50 AM, Enigma said: Btw...why follow this storm when the real event is in 140 hr? Expand Slow moving coastal snowstorm on the GFS On 3/1/2018 at 4:50 AM, NJwx85 said: 00z UKMET looks great. Expand Big ccb over the whole ares Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Enigma Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 I've always been more optimistic with the system that occurs with breakdown of our -NAO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Gotta get to bed, I'm a school social worker and one of my elementary schools has been closed all week because they decided to remove mold and in the process disturbed asbestos, so the kids have to go to the middle school on split sessions so its all hands on deck with angry parents. We could use a snow day as it would be one less to make up. Keep up hope. 3-6 will do it for us. Thanks to everyone for keeping my winters interesting here over the years, I've learned a lot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 On 3/1/2018 at 4:50 AM, Enigma said: Btw...why follow this storm when the real event is in 140 hr? Expand I fully expect another stalled bomb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Enigma Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 On 3/1/2018 at 4:57 AM, Rjay said: I fully expect another stalled bomb. Expand But with more cold air to work with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Oh man. Gem-lam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 0z HRDPS shows 12 + for NYC with alot more further north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherlogix Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 On 3/1/2018 at 5:04 AM, Snow88 said: 0z HRDPS shows 12 + for NYC with alot more further north Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 On 3/1/2018 at 5:04 AM, Snow88 said: 0z HRDPS shows 12 + for NYC with alot more further north Expand 15z seems like when things start flipping to snow around the city if these intense CCB models are correct. That should give a good 12 hour period or so if they're right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 It's still likely too warm with thermals in eastern NE. No way I buy NYC getting 10" of snow and Worcester managing 2". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherlogix Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 On 3/1/2018 at 5:04 AM, Snow88 said: 0z HRDPS shows 12 + for NYC with alot more further north Expand and based off of hour 48 there is plenty more to go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
golfer67 Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Best part is if you go to Upton winter forecast right now...the 1 in 10 chance high end snowfall is 3" IMBY lol...they have northwest Orange county with a 1 in 10 high end of 4" Unless recent models are dead wrong...the public will be in for a rude awakening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 On 3/1/2018 at 5:08 AM, weatherlogix said: and based off of hour 48 there is plenty more to go Expand Looks to be lightening up by then and a lot of us would prob be changing over to light rain in a few more hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 On 3/1/2018 at 5:08 AM, jm1220 said: It's still likely too warm with thermals in eastern NE. No way I buy NYC getting 10" of snow and Worcester managing 2". With this type of setup, it's not out if the question... Though I agr e with you. Highly unlikely. Sent from my SM-N950U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Enigma Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 On 3/1/2018 at 5:08 AM, jm1220 said: It's still likely too warm with thermals in eastern NE. No way I buy NYC getting 10" of snow and Worcester managing 2". Expand I disagree. The NE weenies wanted it both ways...they got their firehose, but firehoses from easterly flow rarely can sustain snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 On 3/1/2018 at 5:11 AM, Enigma said: I disagree. The NE weenies wanted it both ways...they got their firehose, but firehoses from easterly flow rarely can sustain snowfall. Expand Yup. Pretty sure Box stated earlier that the LLJ would counteract any dynamic cooling for eastern areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 On 3/1/2018 at 5:08 AM, jm1220 said: It's still likely too warm with thermals in eastern NE. No way I buy NYC getting 10" of snow and Worcester managing 2". Expand We've been living in a winter of extremes... maybe this is just another chapter in it? ¯\_(ツ)_/¯ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 I question the Ukie's bl on a north wind and heavy precup falling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 On 3/1/2018 at 5:08 AM, sn0w said: Best part is if you go to Upton winter forecast right now...the 1 in 10 chance high end snowfall is 3" IMBY lol...they have northwest Orange county with a 1 in 10 high end of 4" Unless recent models are dead wrong...the public will be in for a rude awakening Expand Thats my area and my p&c is for 1-3" lol.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 On 3/1/2018 at 5:08 AM, jm1220 said: It's still likely too warm with thermals in eastern NE. No way I buy NYC getting 10" of snow and Worcester managing 2". Expand It's not the norm but it happens. February 25-26 2010 NYC got 21" and Worcester mostly rain and I think 5" on the back end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 On 3/1/2018 at 5:11 AM, Enigma said: I disagree. The NE weenies wanted it both ways...they got their firehose, but firehoses from easterly flow rarely can sustain snowfall. Expand Yeap. Snowfall distribution may end up looking like 2/26/10 just with more love for areas along the NY/CT border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 On 3/1/2018 at 5:16 AM, CPcantmeasuresnow said: It's not the norm but it happens. February 25-26 2010 NYC got 21" and Worcester mostly rain and I think 5" on the back end. Expand Not terribly different from this but that low seems to have closed off a lot earlier and was less progressive, actually looped back north and west. That pulled a ton of warm air into New England. This one seems like it will keep moving east into the ocean. That should allow them to cool down as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swamplover56 Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 On 3/1/2018 at 5:16 AM, CPcantmeasuresnow said: It's not the norm but it happens. February 25-26 2010 NYC got 21" and Worcester mostly rain and I think 5" on the back end. Expand I was in Livingston for that storm just cold enough for the primary to stay all snow got 11” while nyc 20 miles east stayed mainly rain, they made up for it getting nailed by the coastal while I was just out of the death band. We both ended with 21” or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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