J.Spin Posted March 28, 2018 Share Posted March 28, 2018 3 hours ago, tamarack said: Here in the foothills, where late season snow should be more common, 17 of our 19 Aprils here have failed to produce a snowfall greater than 4". 40 minutes ago, tamarack said: ...the odds aren't all that great; my area averages nearly 90"/year, and I've measured only 4 April storms over 4" in 19 years. (Though the top 3 ranged from 11.2" to 18.5", so biggies - though rare - have happened.) Well as usual, Tamarack is always offering up fun ways to use one’s snow data, in this case “April storms over 4 inches”. Our location isn’t particularly snowy in April with the low elevation, but that frequency does seem surprisingly sparse for a place with that snowfall average (could just be a bad stretch I guess). Anyway, running the numbers I find seven storms of 4” or more in April in my 11 years of data. Two did fall in the same year, but in any event, the frequency of getting a ≥4” storm in April is around 64% with the data I have thus far. Interestingly, we’ve had a recent “better than average” run in that department, with April storms of 4” or greater in each of the past four seasons. We’re therefore probably not “due” this year, although of course the stats don’t really work that way. If we’re running at that rate down here in the valley though, the numbers for the higher elevations around here have to be up near 100% in frequency for those events. That’s not actually surprising really, but I’d say that, on top of the deep snowpack, is one of the reasons we like April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 28, 2018 Author Share Posted March 28, 2018 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: Seems a lot of CRS sufferers . April 4th 2016 6.8 inches It's information that I don't care to have occupy my brain. I can't even recall the storms this season without looking at the totals I entered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 28, 2018 Author Share Posted March 28, 2018 26 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Listen to me I have been right many times this winter It will snow again Pattern looks good I don't need to listen to anyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 28, 2018 Share Posted March 28, 2018 1 hour ago, tamarack said: Have not seen anyone claiming that. However, the odds aren't all that great; my area averages nearly 90"/year, and I've measured only 4 April storms over 4" in 19 years. (Though the top 3 ranged from 11.2" to 18.5", so biggies - though rare - have happened.) ORH has only seen 2 snowstorms over 4 inches in the past 15 years in April. April 3, 2016 and then April 4, 2016. Two back to back events. Though Mar 31-Apr 1, 2017 and the same dates in 2011 produced a snowstorm over 4 inches, but the actual snow on April 1st past midnight was under 4 inches. The period from 1982-1997 though saw 5 April events of 4"+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 28, 2018 Share Posted March 28, 2018 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: Hey Wolfie easy the man is a classic here and has some severe disabilities OK didn't realize that...in that case he gets a pass. Thanks for the heads up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 28, 2018 Share Posted March 28, 2018 12 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: I don't need to listen to anyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 28, 2018 Author Share Posted March 28, 2018 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Wear it proudly. I'm on the "not caring what falls from the sky". Just make sure the 13th is clear. I have a trans-Atlantic flight to catch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 28, 2018 Share Posted March 28, 2018 2 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Wear it proudly. I'm on the "not caring what falls from the sky". Just make sure the 13th is clear. I have a trans-Atlantic flight to catch. You will be Posting "the srefs are looking better at 12z "in 5 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 28, 2018 Share Posted March 28, 2018 9 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Wear it proudly. I'm on the "not caring what falls from the sky". Just make sure the 13th is clear. I have a trans-Atlantic flight to catch. Say hi to Hans? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 28, 2018 Share Posted March 28, 2018 15 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: You will be Posting "the srefs are looking better at 12z "in 5 days you mean 15z. get it right noob. the srefs are serious business Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HimoorWx Posted March 28, 2018 Share Posted March 28, 2018 26 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Wear it proudly. I'm on the "not caring what falls from the sky". Just make sure the 13th is clear. I have a trans-Atlantic flight to catch. Sorry, but you have to wait your turn in line - I put in my request for all clear on the 5th first! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 28, 2018 Share Posted March 28, 2018 lmao @CoastalWx @CT Rain my man BB with the NB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 28, 2018 Share Posted March 28, 2018 1 hour ago, Baroclinic Zone said: I don't need to listen to anyone. Grandpa! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 28, 2018 Author Share Posted March 28, 2018 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Grandpa! sup! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted March 28, 2018 Share Posted March 28, 2018 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Say hi to Hans? Gruber? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 28, 2018 Author Share Posted March 28, 2018 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Say hi to Hans? St James Gate most likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HimoorWx Posted March 28, 2018 Share Posted March 28, 2018 22 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: St James Gate most likely. Enjoy the Guinness! I'll be downing a few pints and pies in the pubs of Manchester in between football matches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted March 28, 2018 Share Posted March 28, 2018 2 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: ORH has only seen 2 snowstorms over 4 inches in the past 15 years in April. April 3, 2016 and then April 4, 2016. Two back to back events. Though Mar 31-Apr 1, 2017 and the same dates in 2011 produced a snowstorm over 4 inches, but the actual snow on April 1st past midnight was under 4 inches. The period from 1982-1997 though saw 5 April events of 4"+. Three of my 4 came in 2007, the 2 biggies noted above plus the Patriots' Day storm (5.2") - the only event bringing 5" snow AND 5" rain. The 2011 April Fools storm was 15.1". April top 10: (And I discovered another >4" event, late month in 2002) 18.5" 4-5/07 15.1" 1-2/11 (only 0.1" on the 2nd) 11.2" 12-13/07 5.2" 15-17/07 4.2" 28-29/02 4.0" 5/04 3.6" 17/10 (After getting only 0.6" in March.) 3.5" 9/15 3.5" 1/17 3.3" 5-6/03 Nothing else bigger than 2.5". However, the #5-10 storms all occurred in different years, making it 8 of 19 with something 3"+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 28, 2018 Share Posted March 28, 2018 38 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: St James Gate most likely. Nice have a blast! Ireland is great. I'm leaving for Tokyo on the 14th. Hoping for some northern lights over the North Pole on the flight over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 28, 2018 Share Posted March 28, 2018 One tiny caterpillar by the billions, 5 exceptional Noreasters since Oct has equalled catastrophic woodland damage. Now that the snow is gone the forests around here can be seen clearly and its not pretty. Thousands of broken trees, branches, also with small shrubs split in two. Have to hope for a wet spring and fall, fire forest danger is going to be huge for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 28, 2018 Author Share Posted March 28, 2018 Crocuses in bloom here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 28, 2018 Share Posted March 28, 2018 I should have never cancelled my stormvista subscription lol Euro shows next week's storm cold and suppressed . I like the setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 28, 2018 Share Posted March 28, 2018 13 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Crocuses in bloom here. Late Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 28, 2018 Author Share Posted March 28, 2018 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Late Yup, everything is. When the month of March runs colder than the month of February, natures gonna react. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 28, 2018 Share Posted March 28, 2018 15 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Yup, everything is. When the month of March runs colder than the month of February, natures gonna react. if the Euros correct they will be frozen solid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 28, 2018 Share Posted March 28, 2018 EPS says no to suppression Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 28, 2018 Share Posted March 28, 2018 24 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: EPS says no to suppression EPS is not out yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 28, 2018 Share Posted March 28, 2018 Just came out. Very weak next week day 5.5. Seems light. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 28, 2018 Share Posted March 28, 2018 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: EPS is not out yet. Only out to 117 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 28, 2018 Share Posted March 28, 2018 Just now, Snow88 said: Only out to 117 So Kevin basically made it up lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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