TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 17, 2018 Share Posted March 17, 2018 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: It's def a good sign that both the EPS and GEFS are NW of the OP runs. That signal has worked quite well over the years. We will need to see a real move though in the next 24 hours. If 00z tonight goes the wrong way then this one will be on life support...but if it bumps NW then we are right in the game. Wha days are we talking? I know it was Tuesday but are you talking wed thursday now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 17, 2018 Share Posted March 17, 2018 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Right now we're the team that has been hanging around all game...it's the 3rd quarter now and we're down a touchdown. Still in the game but the next score is big...whichever team it goes to has a huge impact. We know how first half leads, though nice to have, don’t mean all that much. As long as we in striking distance, the games are decided in the 4th qtr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 17, 2018 Share Posted March 17, 2018 11 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: It's def a good sign that both the EPS and GEFS are NW of the OP runs. That signal has worked quite well over the years. We will need to see a real move though in the next 24 hours. If 00z tonight goes the wrong way then this one will be on life support...but if it bumps NW then we are right in the game. The other option is for the first wave to just go to crap like the 18Z GFS Op shows. If that happens wave 2 can be huge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 17, 2018 Share Posted March 17, 2018 All the spread is NW of the mean Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 17, 2018 Share Posted March 17, 2018 Icey1929 left the stadium at halftime, burned his jersey, and sped off down the freeway in anger with beer cans flying out his windows.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 17, 2018 Share Posted March 17, 2018 Just get er done Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 The key to snow in this system is the high to the NW over Quebec Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 1st run of 0z, the NAM..looks good for wave 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 00z NAM wants to cripple the M/A Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 The confluence is the real issue with the first sw is it not. If its strong and north wouldn't it get put thru the grinder so to speak anyway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 One thing is becoming clearer as we head towards the 00z runs for Monday tell us the ultimate news, bit before that, the models are trending towards a much bigger event towards Wednesday and Thursday of this upcoming work week, one with a strong Quebec high pressure cell in place and a strong low that passes southeast of Nantucket, MA, the first shortwave and storm looks to get shredded I.e. the enormous block in the North Atlantic and PV lobe over the Canadian Maritimes, along with strong ridge to the west and a strong jet between the two. The event this weeks looks like a strong snowstorm signal all the way to NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 2 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: The confluence is the real issue with the first sw is it not. If its strong and north wouldn't it get put thru the grinder so to speak anyway Yes the large PV lobe doesn't get out of the way until the second shortwave hits the East Coast, and by all intents and purposes explodes upon going a negative tilt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 18 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: 00z NAM wants to cripple the M/A Nice snow hole over DC. I have a feeling they will finally score next week though. What does DCA and IAD have for snowfall this season? Less than 10in? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 Fwiw that ICON model came in much more amplified ; looks like an est +3 or 4 SD jet max ripping though the Gulf states around the southern arc of a closed H500 surface way back SW over the TV area. Just looks like a bad ass set up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 CMC interior crush job yikes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 Icon slice SNE in half at a 30 degree angle crush job, oh boy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 GFS bias in play otherwise same solution as Iconnic and Canuck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 CMC is a hellacious front end dump to blizzard, holy moly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 CMC nails Pennsylvania Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 1 hour ago, BombsAway1288 said: Nice snow hole over DC. I have a feeling they will finally score next week though. What does DCA and IAD have for snowfall this season? Less than 10in? DCA average not much more than 10 inches though. Roughly 15 while IAD averages 21-about the same as Philadelphia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 Track wise, a consensus between the GEM and GFS would be perfect.....thing that sucks is they both have it occluding by the time it gets near us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 CMC should be good for some laughs. definitely looks like we are focusing on the wed night and early Thursday deal now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 Gfs has another snowstorm next weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 28 minutes ago, weathafella said: DCA average not much more than 10 inches though. Roughly 15 while IAD averages 21-about the same as Philadelphia. Wow that's crazy. Didn't realize it was that low. I'm gonna guess that those 30 year averages will go up quite a bit in 2020 as they will in every east coast city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 Only looking at slp on metro centre The N mid Atlantic is crippled on icon and cmc thou the track sets up favorable for us as well. I could see a nice 6-12 plus w2feet well sw in n mid atl Ukie looked to be riding short bus I dont even care what euro op says, ens plz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 The GFS has come west, lets see what the EURO does, if it comes west as well, game is still on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 3 minutes ago, DavisStraight said: The GFS has come west, lets see what the EURO does, if it comes west as well, game is still on. The game is still on regardless Imo Euro can burp all it wants next run or two Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 Euro is the worst model Euro is a terrible model. Probably the worst model out of the Cmc, GfS and Ukie. It’s so inconsistent since it’s upgrade it just has a name. It’s like Chicago bulls they’re long gone but Jordan was around back than and it still keeps that logo for them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 6 minutes ago, WeatherFeen2000 said: Euro is the worst model Euro is a terrible model. Probably the worst model out of the Cmc, GfS and Ukie. It’s so inconsistent since it’s upgrade it just has a name. It’s like Chicago bulls they’re long gone but Jordan was around back than and it still keeps that logo for them Uhhh I wouldn't exactly call it the worst model among the big 4. CMC and GFS are definitely worse. Yeah it's had its struggles since it's "upgrade" but it is still one of the top. Not sure what you're smoking (or drinking I guess). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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