Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,586
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    LopezElliana
    Newest Member
    LopezElliana
    Joined

March or BUST! - Pattern & Model Discussion


Baroclinic Zone

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 2.8k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

EAST... A COMPLEX EVOLUTION WILL BRING A SERIES OF SURFACE LOWS OFF THE EAST COAST THAT WILL LIFT NORTHEASTWARD NEXT TUE-FRI. THE MODELS HAVE HAD A TOUGH TIME WITH HOW (AND WHERE) THE MANY PLAYERS IN THE FORECAST INTERACT BUT THE ENSEMBLE SIGNAL REMAINS QUITE LOUD FOR AT LEAST AN INTERIOR AND HIGHER ELEVATION HEAVY SNOW THREAT TO THE MID-ATLANTIC (AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS) INTO THE NORTHEAST OVER THE COURSE OF SEVERAL DAYS. FOR AREAS NEAR THE COAST, A RAIN/SNOW MIX IS LIKELY FOR MOST AREAS FROM NORTHERN NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

19 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

As long as the ensembles have it, it’s coming. And they do. Should they lose it today and continue tonight.. then it’s over. 12 z should start the reverse 

Ensembles will always have a few weenie members. Bit of a weak signal. Stll give it a day, but if it does not come back at 12z, we may be cooked.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Ensembles will always have a few weenie members. Bit of a weak signal. Stll give it a day, but if it does not come back at 12z, we may be cooked.

There's a decent signal on the GEFS for the second wave, and that's 5 days out. 12z isn't going to provide much more clarity on that one. Wave one, sure.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

There's a decent signal on the GEFS for the second wave, and that's 5 days out. 12z isn't going to provide much more clarity on that one. Wave one, sure.

The wave spacing kinda sucks. There isn’t a lot of room for the 2nd one to amplify. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

We want the first wave to slow down/deepen out west. That will bring this north and allow wave 2 to catch up to it enough...the other option is to have it weaken so much that is doesn't really inhibit wave 2 but I think that is quite unlikely. It's a bowling ball so the chances of it becoming weakened/sheared out are much lower than it slowing down and amplifying. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Dont think we really know until 0z tonight or even 12z tomorrow.   It is kind of funny watching the up and down emotions on here though... The past few storms have been duds here... So expect this to be no different.. I still got a few inches on the ground though and can drive 3 miles and theres almost nothing.so i guess i should atleast be grateful for that :)

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...