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March or BUST! - Pattern & Model Discussion


Baroclinic Zone

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2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

I’m sure that’s coming at some point lol... given what I have seen... probsbly the best shot coastal areas have had so far 

Tougher down your way this time of year in marginal temps but not impossible.

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Obviously we all know where to find the following but ...for ease. 

 

MUCH OF THE FORECAST WAS BASED ON PROPER HANDLING OF THE EASTERN U.S. TROUGH EVOLUTION. DID NOT FEEL COMFORTABLE PUTTING MUCH STOCK INTO THE SOUTHWESTWARD DISPLACED 00Z ECMWF/UKMET GIVEN ONLY MARGINAL ENSEMBLE SUPPORT. ...

....DEPENDING ON THE SURFACE LOW TRACK AND EXTENT OF COLD AIR AT THE SURFACE...WINTRY PRECIPITATION REMAINS POSSIBLE ANYWHERE FROM AREAS OF THE LOWER MID-ATLANTIC UP ACROSS THE APPALACHIAN MOUNTAIN CHAIN AND INTO THE NORTHEASTERN U.S. STATES. CANNOT REALLY COMMENT ANY FURTHER ON DETAILS GIVEN HIGH-END UNCERTAINTY. ACROSS THE WESTERN U.S...

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Just now, CoastalWx said:

 I could be wrong but I kind of like the look for Monday. It has some key players we all look for. 

I'd be balls to wall if the trough axis was just a shade west...but perhaps that will be overcome anyway with time. At least this is a decent setup to get the precip shield pretty far NW of the low.

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