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March or BUST! - Pattern & Model Discussion


Baroclinic Zone

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57 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

We are one or 2 ticks nw and a quicker bombing out from a blizzard, it's really close to that on both 

Totally agree!  Unfortunately,  I'm in Rhode Island driving back home from documenting the last two Nor'easter's.  No way my wife allows me to stay another week here in SNE, sadly. 

Regardless,  I'll be pulling for you guys to will and reel this one in.  If it (Blizzard or big snow storm) does come to fruition, I'll be with you in spirit! :)

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This is the threat that will make or break this idiot winter......if we can make it 3 for 3 in Morch (I know I got hosed on the first one but still) then this season will have redeemed itself proudly with some late heroics.....anything else - some idiot inside runner or OTS - and this season sucked......despite some late heroics.....

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4 minutes ago, ice1972 said:

Never mind.....I checked Trop Tidbits.....Euro way OTS......starting to think maybe its out to lunch too.....lol

OTS yes, but I thought it had started to come around a bit in subtle ways looking at 5H and the better surface low that goes out under Hatteras. The 12Z was so utterly sheared.  Let a trained met here dissect it.

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3 hours ago, Logan11 said:

OTS yes, but I thought it had started to come around a bit in subtle ways looking at 5H and the better surface low that goes out under Hatteras. The 12Z was so utterly sheared.  Let a trained met here dissect it.

Definitely better vs 12z.   Now more of an ivt look but it’s slowly coming around.

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Still has a chance but gotta get some better phasing with the two streams. There's not a lot of room to do it and the time is beginning to run a little thin. The 00z GFS was doing a partial phase...it sort of runs the southern out far enough to ride up the east side of the northern as it dives down. 

Again, not much room to do this. It can work...Jan '15 did this...but it's obviously not going to happen all the time. If 12z gets worse it's prob time to punt. 

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