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March or BUST! - Pattern & Model Discussion


Baroclinic Zone

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10 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

How anyone could possibly say that with any confidence with 3 weeks left in the month is crazy.

Weve had storms go from a whiff to a blizzard in less than 50 hours in the last couple years. 

This could easily come back

Whoosh....

I am thinking that Monday might miss...    I posted a few days back that that storm might be it for big snow events.  Hope I’m wrong...Time is ticking though 

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I think we can pretty much close the book on the Monday threat.  Overall the long wave trough axis is way too far to our east and the energy traversing the US is not picked up.  Why it stays flat.  The energy diving down from Hudson Bay is way too late.

Our best chance is probably for something around the 15th.  The energy diving down from Hudson Bay that misses the Monday system works to establish a new long wave trough over the Eastern US.  Will have to keep an eye on the location of the trough axis as it establishes and on the energy rounding the bend Wed-Thu of next week.

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