Ginx snewx Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 54 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: It is... pretty potently at that... But I was commiserating with Kevina for more like after the ides of the month I knew that, just adding to your teleconnections point. I am skiing on vacation in Maine 17th to 26th, bluebird skies and 40s after a couple of dumpers oh baby there's my dancing and prancing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Siker Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 Euro with 978mb over the Cape on the 12th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 3 minutes ago, Siker said: Euro with 978mb over the Cape on the 12th. Yeah-ha...just amusing darkly in that other thread how it seems like every third run is an apocalypse these days... Course, as Steve and I were discussing a bit ago, this thing has more of a large mass-field correction appeal to it - .... look up H. Archembault... I wonder if her work is still even published to the web. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 7 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Yeah-ha...just amusing darkly in that other thread how it seems like every third run is an apocalypse these days... Course, as Steve and I were discussing a bit ago, this thing has more of a large mass-field correction appeal to it - .... look up H. Archembault... I wonder if her work is still even published to the web. She has her own website Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 Yeah...with the caveat that the system is still 7-8 days out, the synoptic look supports something very large in that timeframe and probably a much wider area affected. This is one of those system that prob tracks out of northern Alabama over to Cape Hatteras before making the sharper left turn. The vestigial remnants of the NAO block should provide some resistance to make the wintry outcome more favorable than our unmanned firehose track possibilities earlier this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 Snow aside the EPS depiction is horrible news to many who are hurting from our Winter hurricane Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Snow aside the EPS depiction is horrible news to many who are hurting from our Winter hurricane Tucky tucky yucky yucky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 20 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Snow aside the EPS depiction is horrible news to many who are hurting from our Winter hurricane One more blowdown . Then we Morch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 1 hour ago, NorEastermass128 said: Tucky tucky yucky yucky Cept EPS snow distribution mean matches the Op pretty much to a tee Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 52 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: One more blowdown . Then we Morch EPS has normal ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 Morch? Days 11 to 16? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 The good thing with the March 12th system is that we would be in the low tide cycle. At least this will help some if this system came to fruition. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 GFS was close to something special on day 10 storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted March 4, 2018 Share Posted March 4, 2018 Hate to get ahead of ourselves here since we are staring at a 6-12"+ snow storm on Wednesday, but that Day 7-8 system looks like it should have all the potential in the world. Classic set-up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Geez just noticing that day 8-9. That's got high end written all over it potentially. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Uh guys......the 0z GFS was run out of my basement....lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Euro looks like a beast for that next one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 5 hours ago, ice1972 said: Uh guys......the 0z GFS was run out of my basement....lol 6z was even better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 ... March ... to think that for many, if things break right this week and then again with that big event next (and it would not take a lot to get either to do so...), a lot of locales would essentially double their seasonal snow totals from where they stand before these two event take place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 35 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: ... March ... to think that for many, if things break right this week and then again with that big event next (and it would not take a lot to get either to do so...), a lot of locales would essentially double their seasonal snow totals from where they stand before these two event take place. Wasn't that the case in March/April 1997 as well? One big dog doubled what had previously fallen prior? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Better chance of this one slipping east then being more west is my thinking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 38 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Wasn't that the case in March/April 1997 as well? One big dog doubled what had previously fallen prior? 1996-1997 was an interesting year for winter enthusiasts... We were off to the races with this beautiful double whack ...almost like the same storm with two chapters, between the 15th and 20th of December '96. That was the infamous setting where Jim Cantore was standing outside in Worcester when there was a double pulse of lightning followed shortly cacophonic booms ..and he's jumping around unprofessionally giddy with emotion. The first of the two was an overproducer ... we were supposed to get cat paws and 1-3" in the elevations, but ended up with a solid 6" thumb. Then, 18 hour lull in calm wind, gray sky with snow grains, and all that sticky snow still clung and gradually froze .. such that when the bigger 9-12" of the two struck with thundersnow intensity the next night, there were quite a bit of power failures in the interior. So we're thinking great year... but... not really much happened after the double-whammy. It was pretty quiet. Not a lot of cold, but not really really warm.. Some snow threats here and there, but manageable and light. Then, April 1 came the Fools Day Blizzard and the 20-30" in 15 hours. So yeah... that season probably ended up closer to normal or even succeeding that by a little, even though there was lower frequency. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Wow...I totally forgot the Cantore / ORH storm was 1996 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 1 hour ago, dryslot said: Better chance of this one slipping east then being more west is my thinking. Interesting to note that while the OP GFS was flatter than 6z, the GEFS actually have many more tucked members than 6z. Some ridiculous ones peppered in there, it looks like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Just now, JC-CT said: Interesting to note that while the OP GFS was flatter than 6z, the GEFS actually have many more tucked members than 6z. Some ridiculous ones peppered in there, it looks like. Definitely go the route of ensembles for now, But it seems like when we don't get a run up the coast we get them slipping east not trying to cut inland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Just now, dryslot said: Definitely go the route of ensembles for now, But it seems like when we don't get a run up the coast we get them slipping east not trying to cut inland Yeah, too far out to know yet. Meanwhile, what the heck is all this talk of winter being over in a week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 6 minutes ago, JC-CT said: Yeah, too far out to know yet. Meanwhile, what the heck is all this talk of winter being over in a week? Warm temps and folks move on to spring apparently..........lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 18 minutes ago, JC-CT said: Yeah, too far out to know yet. Meanwhile, what the heck is all this talk of winter being over in a week? I am thinking after these next two events (if they materialize), things will settle down as far as storminess goes. Temps might still be BN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 How does the EURO look for next week? I know it's early but I fly out on Wed to Beijing through Detroit so hoping for no storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 5, 2018 Share Posted March 5, 2018 Euro is a whiff for next week....but it isn't hard to see how it could be a hit. Pretty different H5 look at D6 vs last night...I was thinking it might do it this run, but too much interference from the arctic s/w diving in late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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