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March 2-4th ... first -NAO anchored storm perhaps in years


Typhoon Tip

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2 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Is there warmer air wrapping in to s nh and ne mass per that melted snow qpf

Thats showing more than just less overall qpf

Some of it is warm air wrapping in, but most of it is that they are too far north for good QPF once the column has cooled. A lot of it is down in E-C MA to RI/E CT. That's what I mean by the heavy qpf plume...I'll bet the firehose is a bit north of what the euro shows eventually just looking at the upper levels.

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14 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

Yea this isn't an east/west issue. Just need latitude. FWIW the euro has had a south/east bias inside 48 hrs. Not sure it will hold with this, but given where it is with respect to other major guidance it seems to be holding this time as well. 

Agree. This thing is coming in a bit low, but we could at least score few inches.

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