78Blizzard Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Can anyone post the extended RGEM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 2 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said: Lol. 40/70 says, "I think your screwed". JT CT says, "congrats Dendrite". That narrows it right down!!! He was joking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 nothing is happening till the Euro says it's happening, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Just now, JC-CT said: I was joking Poor Gene. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Poor dendrite. He should be fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 @dryslot will enjoy his rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 17 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I think you're screwed. Strong -NAO is never good for north of RT 2... <enter Will with stats to prove that wrong> Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 11 minutes ago, JC-CT said: He was joking Eh....we'll see what happens. I wasn't totally joking, but I won't be surprised if he gets whacked, either. Probably do first call tomorrow night, and Final call Thursday night......I wanted to do it tonight, but guidance is still really divergent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 7 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Strong -NAO is never good for north of RT 2... <enter Will with stats to prove that wrong> Reason why the big ones are so rare up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 3 minutes ago, dryslot said: Reason why the big ones are so rare up here. It's something in the water Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 I have a pretty good idea of my qualitative thoughts, but still trying to get a feel for the numbers....guidance should coalesce tonight. I'll bet the Euro goes nuclear tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I have a pretty good idea of my qualitative thoughts, but still trying to get a feel for the numbers....guidance should coalesce tonight. Unless we see gfs dive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I have a pretty good idea of my qualitative thoughts, but still trying to get a feel for the numbers....guidance should coalesce tonight. lol, can you give us a teaser! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Just now, 512high said: lol, can you give us a teaser! He has. See 12z ggem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Just now, 512high said: lol, can you give us a teaser! I'll draw up a little something.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 4 minutes ago, JC-CT said: It's something in the water Or in this case not in the water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 30 minutes ago, dryslot said: Hey, But that blocking. We will still get mocked for being fearful of it too. And yet it would seem we are on the outside looking in again when it appears. Luckily I’ll be in Toronto and will be able to ignore the entire thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 28 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said: Lol. 40/70 says, "I think your screwed". JT CT says, "congrats Dendrite". That narrows it right down!!! I wish I could be of help. I’ll be in the southern greens starting Thursday night. Luckly Stratton faces due east and is the highest point on the southern spine. So I think we do well (chance of 12”+ 50/50) honestly though as of right now the best place for 12”+ looks to be the eastern Catskills ridge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 First call final call, you ready lol Let's start with the tides. 3 high tide cycles if not more with moderate to severe coastal flooding. Surge 3 to 4 feet East facing coasts. Waves 15 to 25 ft. Severe erosion, new inlets cut on the Cape. Winds gusts to 70 on the coast 45 inland Rain/qpf 2 to 4 inches EMA 2 to 3 all of SNE 2 plus CNE 1 NNE Snow Berks Monads ORH Hills 15 to 25 NE Mass 12 to 18 NE NW CT highest elevations 8 to 16 . Whites Greens Maine interior 8 to 12 Every other flatlander under 750 ft 6 to 12, coastal plain 4 to 8 except immediate EMA coasts south of PYM trace to 1 Southern ECT RI 1 to 3 SWCT coast 3 to 6. Power outages 200K plus. That's all I got models be damn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: First call final call, you ready lol Let's start with the tides. 3 high tide cycles if not more with moderate to severe coastal flooding. Surge 3 to 4 feet East facing coasts. Waves 15 to 25 ft. Severe erosion, new inlets cut on the Cape. Winds gusts to 70 on the coast 45 inland Rain/qpf 2 to 4 inches EMA 2 to 3 all of SNE 2 plus CNE 1 NNE Snow Berks Monads ORH Hills 15 to 25 NE Mass 12 to 18 NE NW CT highest elevations 8 to 16 . Whites Greens Maine interior 8 to 12 Every other flatlander under 750 ft 6 to 12, coastal plain 4 to 8 except immediate EMA coasts south of PYM trace to 1 Southern ECT RI 1 to 3 SWCT coast 3 to 6. Power outages 200K plus. That's all I got models be damn Boldly going... plausible.... Wow at the winds...not doubting, just beefy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: First call final call, you ready lol Let's start with the tides. 3 high tide cycles if not more with moderate to severe coastal flooding. Surge 3 to 4 feet East facing coasts. Waves 15 to 25 ft. Severe erosion, new inlets cut on the Cape. Winds gusts to 70 on the coast 45 inland Rain/qpf 2 to 4 inches EMA 2 to 3 all of SNE 2 plus CNE 1 NNE Snow Berks Monads ORH Hills 15 to 25 NE Mass 12 to 18 NE NW CT highest elevations 8 to 16 . Whites Greens Maine interior 8 to 12 Every other flatlander under 750 ft 6 to 12, coastal plain 4 to 8 except immediate EMA coasts south of PYM trace to 1 Southern ECT RI 1 to 3 SWCT coast 3 to 6. Power outages 200K plus. That's all I got models be damn How much for kjc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 6-12 I should learn to read Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 2 minutes ago, mreaves said: We will still get mocked for being fearful of it too. And yet it would seem we are on the outside looking in again when it appears. Luckily I’ll be in Toronto and will be able to ignore the entire thing. It happens more then not up here, Tough position to be in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 2 minutes ago, JC-CT said: How much for kjc 6 plus? Watch modeling give us .1 qpf now that I did this. Basically spent the last 2 hrs looking at everything except my wife. I probably am smoking Meth but it's my best guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncforecaster89 Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 1 hour ago, CT Rain said: Well I'm not sure if I added any value to the forecasts I did tonight on-air. Extremely tough to convey the uncertainty and sound like you know what you're talking about. Although I didn't watch your forecast, I have no doubt that you certainly added much value in it. That level of humility is most appreciated by myself. Please forgive me for going somewhat off-topic in order to give a little background that informs my own humble opinion. Back in the day, 25 years ago, my professor told us we can either have humility or we will learn it thorough the profession. Of course, being a very confident, borderline-cocky 22 year old (Like many of us were at that age) it took some time to truly appreciate what he meant. In doing so, I learned to develop a more conservative approach to operational forecasting during the subsequent years that followed. Much has changed since I left the field, at my ex-wife's urging only three years after obtaining my degree, but the inexact nature of the science and those wise words have not; despite the impressive advances in numerical modeling. In short, I, for one, feel it's a sign of an excellent meteorologist/forecaster (like yourself and the others I see posting on this forum-not simply limited to degreed mets) who provides the public (or their clients) with all reasonable scenarios still in play and conveys the degree of difficulty contained in that forecast. By doing so, one minimizes the relative error involved...while assuring the public isn't inadvertently given a false sense of security, one way or the other, when dealing with a prospective forecast that has a higher probability of error than otherwise might be the case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: 6 plus? Watch modeling give us .1 qpf now that I did this. Basically spent the last 2 hrs looking at everything except my wife. I probably am smoking Meth but it's my best guess. It's not terrible. I think higher terrain will have a big advantage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: 6 plus? Watch modeling give us .1 qpf now that I did this. Basically spent the last 2 hrs looking at everything except my wife. I probably am smoking Meth but it's my best guess. I heard smoking meth gives you grandiose visions. I agree with the coastal impacts. East facing beaches are going to be battered by enormous waves containing tremdous energy. We have the chance of a fully developed sea. Something that’s very rare for the east coast. So waves will have much higher periods then your run of the mill nor’easter. Something like 15-17 seconds instead of 12-13. That makes a tremendous difference in damage potential Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Hull, MA going to be fun...not so fun They got it bad in January, this might be worse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 This may be one of the few storms, where the wind and CF have me interested moreso than usual. I have Friday off so was hoping to head to my usual spots to check it out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 51 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: Can anyone post the extended RGEM? keep in mind this is just snow qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.