ajisai Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 hasn't the gfs been pretty garbage this season until the last minute for most systems? hope it can redeem itself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 Lawn approves. Seriously, water has been puddling up every time it rains. This will be pretty icky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Certainly better than last night when you talked all rain. My office couldn’t believe it It’s a good thing your clients have you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 Just now, ajisai said: hasn't the gfs been pretty garbage this season until the last minute for most systems? hope it can redeem itself. It's better than anything you've built Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 1 minute ago, ajisai said: hasn't the gfs been pretty garbage this season until the last minute for most systems? hope it can redeem itself. Its probably been the worst its been in any winter ever that I can remember. The last storm that brought a wet snow event here it was actually N and W of most models 3-4 days out and busted badly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Certainly better than last night when you talked all rain. My office couldn’t believe it Glad I've had rain/snow in the forecast since Sunday! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 1 minute ago, CT Rain said: Glad I've had rain/snow in the forecast since Sunday! Yeah, but which one and how much of each? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 Jk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 13 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yea, it has that borderline airmass feel where dynamics have to outweigh the warmth. We here at SWC have told our viewers to check in tomorrow night for finer details but r/s line who gets what may not happen until we nowcast. yeah I'm sure there will be details which are certainly nowcast...especially if we are talking about a major band of snow which would be likely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Just now, CT Rain said: Glad I've had rain/snow in the forecast since Sunday! 3 different people at 3 different times asked me my forecast and were shocked when I said rain turning to heavy wet snow. They said the tv guys said all rain. I thought oh.. they must have watched 3 or 8. They said it was channel 30. It was pretty embarrassing since I always sing your praises. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Were they shocked it was no longer shunted? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: I was shocked when I looked down at the potty and my weenie was shunted? Is there anything you can do? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: 3 different people at 3 different times asked me my forecast and were shocked when I said rain turning to heavy wet snow. They said the tv guys said all rain. I thought oh.. they must have watched 3 or 8. They said it was channel 30. It was pretty embarrassing since I always sing your praises. Not everyone lives at 970' 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: Were they shocked it was no longer shunted? I lol'd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 1 minute ago, JC-CT said: Not everyone lives at 970' I lol'd Dark humor? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Is there anything you can do? I must admit it’s going to hurt watching SNE getting pulverized after I’ve been waiting for my personal firehose up here for decades. Outties will probably become innies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 2 hours ago, CoastalWx said: You can see the differences at H5 from hr 48 at 12z and hr 42 at 18z. It appears the Greenland block is forcing a little more confluence (more notable after hr 42 at 18z) and a cleaner phase causes the s/w to actually dig more ESE...a good thing. AKA the northern bounds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 4 minutes ago, dendrite said: Were they shocked it was no longer shunted? My God the shunting was days ago, it was reverse psychology and it worked...its a new day! The clients understand... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ScituateWX Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 5 minutes ago, jbenedet said: What does the coastal flooding situation look like for a storm like this? You guys have any good analogs? Boston looks like ground zero from a coastal flooding standpoint imo. Looks like strong east wind with enormous fetch would just pile water up into Boston Harbor. Every storm is different with tides wind direction, timing etc... personally February of 2013 was pretty ugly around here. It has been a while since we have had a true multi cycle beast. As you mention it sounds like this one could have an enourmous fetch with it. Wave heights also if seas have had a chance to build upwards offshore could be ugly. The past few deals have not had more then one cycle effected and seas had not really built to north of 20 feet before the storm was moving on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 5 minutes ago, dendrite said: It’s a good thing your clients have you. What's your thought Brian? I just have never had a good feeling this storm will be much of anything up here. I still don't. The plow guys that call me before each storm are all calling me and asking what is going to happen. I just keep telling them I feel this will stay south for the most part. Just don't have a good feeling much will happen north of Concord NH. Still time for a shift north but that screws all the guys in SNE any chance of heavy snow.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 sounds like it will be very stormy...already canceled going to casino...hate driving in any wind driven precip be it rain or snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 1 minute ago, wxeyeNH said: What's your thought Brian? I just have never had a good feeling this storm will be much of anything up here. I still don't. The plow guys that call me before each storm are all calling me and asking what is going to happen. I just keep telling them I feel this will stay south for the most part. Just don't have a good feeling much will happen north of Concord NH. Still time for a shift north but that screws all the guys in SNE any chance of heavy snow.... I think you're screwed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 6 minutes ago, dendrite said: I must admit it’s going to hurt watching SNE getting pulverized after I’ve been waiting for my personal firehose up here for decades. Outties will probably become innies. I think you guys get good snows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 5 minutes ago, dendrite said: I must admit it’s going to hurt watching SNE getting pulverized after I’ve been waiting for my personal firehose up here for decades. Outties will probably become innies. Jeez, just got a text from the owner of Tenney mountain in Plymouth. They have been trying to reopen for years. They finally got the okay to open (I think today). They don't have enough snow on the slopes and need a replenishment to open this weekend if they can open this year. He wanted to know my thoughts for a 12+ plus storm. I have not responded yet. My gut as I have been posted, its not going to happen. First downslope from the Whites in a big system. Then does the heavy qpf get up here and third is temperature as the dynamics stay south. I think I would give the chance of a 12" storm about 25% for the Southern Whites. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 10 minutes ago, dendrite said: I must admit it’s going to hurt watching SNE getting pulverized after I’ve been waiting for my personal firehose up here for decades. Outties will probably become innies. Hey, But that blocking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 10 minutes ago, dendrite said: I must admit it’s going to hurt watching SNE getting pulverized after I’ve been waiting for my personal firehose up here for decades. Outties will probably become innies. Coop not crushed at least. You can have my snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Hey, But that blocking. Congrats dendrite Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 1 minute ago, JC-CT said: Congrats dendrite Sucks the Euro is being a little B**ch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 33 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: not to carp on anyone. People will obviously focus on snowfall potential, inland, from these sort of things, but the biggest threat assessment is in the CF and has been all along. I would even think your southern zones close to the western end of LI Sound are not out of the woods ... I'm not fully convinced they get cut a break by a temporary west flow such as the N biased GFS. IF you guys get consecutive tide cycles like .. my god with this. Lunar spring tide is scheduled in there (I think?) ... or close enough that it's not helping Mirror carp? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 The NNE reverse psychology tonight. Congrats all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 3 minutes ago, JC-CT said: Congrats dendrite Lol. 40/70 says, "I think your screwed". JT CT says, "congrats Dendrite". That narrows it right down!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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