ORH_wxman Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 4 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: lol...thread was moving too fast, didn;t see you post that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 I definitely think we can close the shades on the 12z NAM dream of a progressive shunt with sun by 21z Friday and a beautiful weekend. Crap weekend incoming whether we shovel, build an ark, or drizzle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 3 minutes ago, dryslot said: I wouldn't lock down that solution, It drives a tongue of warm air up here which i'm not buying with the way that low is cranking. Lol I don't think anyone in their right mind is locking anything down, we discuss output and marvel at what is possible, that is all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 Just now, Ginx snewx said: No I was referring to 2013 which had 4 inch qpf bombs in various places in various runs, ended up in CCT My road wasn't plowed for two days after that one! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 3 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: really need other models before I jump in to the NAM pool Understandable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I’m sure the 18z gfs will be over MHT Probably....gonna be a fun 24 hours trying to pin this down. You gotta figure we start honing in really soon. By 00z tonight all the players should be on the field. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 Just now, ORH_wxman said: lol...thread was moving too fast, didn;t see you post that. Send some rafts down this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It’s a joke. no really? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: Send some rafts down this way. See, this is like 1997, except with 20 extra years of global warming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I’m sure the 18z gfs will be over MHT I bet it trends towards the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 Have a feeling 18 z ICON will seal the deal with this one lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Probably....gonna be a fun 24 hours trying to pin this down. You gotta figure we start honing in really soon. By 00z tonight all the players should be on the field. Yeah it’s been a hoot so far. I think we discussed the players on the field well, so it’s nice to see what happens when you tweak this or that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tunafish Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Lol I don't think anyone in their right mind is locking anything down, we discuss output and marvel at what is possible, that is all No doubt. I'm not even comfortable locking anything down until the event is completely over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: I bet it trends towards the NAM. Should be in a good spot over in on weenietown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 Thats 1888 right there...Bring it!! Only without the cold air. O course, <32 would do, we don't need the singles and teens that came with that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 Just now, CoastalWx said: Should be in a good spot over in on weenietown. Weenietown? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 where is weenietown? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncforecaster89 Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 Personally, my confidence will increase exponentially if the 00z runs come in anywhere close to that 18z Nam run. Really want to see the movement on the models once the SW gets better sampled. At that point, we're also getting inside 72 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 1 minute ago, Bostonseminole said: where is weenietown? Think he meant Wilmington Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 1 minute ago, ncforecaster89 said: Personally, my confidence will increase exponentially if the 00z runs come in anywhere close to that 18z Nam run. Really want to see the movement on the models once the SW gets better sampled. At that point, we're are also getting inside 72 hours. We are already inside 72 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 1 minute ago, ncforecaster89 said: Personally, my confidence will increase exponentially if the 00z runs come in anywhere close to that 18z Nam run. Really want to see the movement on the models once the SW gets better sampled. At that point, we're are also getting inside 72 hours. Start booking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 2 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: where is weenietown? Lunenburg? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 2 minutes ago, ncforecaster89 said: Personally, my confidence will increase exponentially if the 00z runs come in anywhere close to that 18z Nam run. Really want to see the movement on the models once the SW gets better sampled. At that point, we're also getting inside 72 hours. Will you chase if it does? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncforecaster89 Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 1 minute ago, JC-CT said: We are already inside 72 hours Very true. Was thinking about the peak conditions likely to be early afternoon on Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 16 minutes ago, powderfreak said: You've been steadfast since Day 9 for sure. Since November, truth be told- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 Icon not as amplified as NAM but tracking good. Touch faster than the NAM. Thru 15z Thurs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 2 minutes ago, ncforecaster89 said: Very true. Was thinking about the peak conditions likely to be early afternoon on Friday. Camp out at ORH airport....Just sprawl out on the tarmac, with planes rerouted around your sack Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncforecaster89 Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Start booking. Lol, Ray! You know me too well...already rearranging work schedule just in case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 Kind of a big difference 12z gfs vs. 18z nam.. Of course I'm supposed to travel on Friday, so that should put this one over the top, book it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncforecaster89 Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 2 minutes ago, Hoth said: Will you chase if it does? Absolutely, Hoth! Would plan to depart Wilmington, NC around 10 pm tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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