ORH_wxman Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 Man, so close to a blue nuke on the euro...get that good omega/lift just a shade further northeast into SNE, and we're parachuting. Instead, we get mostly very light rain on very gusty ENE winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 51 minutes ago, StormSurge said: If you squint... that buoy to the right is loaded with blue fish and bass. Euro meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 So have the s/w been fully injested into the models as of 12z today? They are both fully onshore now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 Euro gets its feet stuck in the SW with the southern stream. Look for better organization over the Midwest over the next several runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 Euro actually has light ZR over the interior Fri morning. It's cold at the sfc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 Just a hunch but I think this will be an epic phail by the GFS/GEFS at a day 3 lead time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Euro actually has light ZR over the interior Fri morning. It's cold at the sfc. Something to look forward to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 27, 2018 Author Share Posted February 27, 2018 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Euro actually has light ZR over the interior Fri morning. It's cold at the sfc. I wonder what the GFS would look like if you took the Euro's BL and stuck it in .. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 3 minutes ago, WeatherFeen2000 said: I meant to say Gfs is like almost the worst global model. Cmc is the best than I would go with ukmet, euro, gfs and last hitler Dude, That CMC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Euro actually has light ZR over the interior Fri morning. It's cold at the sfc. Riveting Ray just signed off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 Congrats NYC and points W on Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said: I wonder what the GFS would look like if you took the Euro's BL and stuck it in .. Firehose of ZR? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Euro actually has light ZR over the interior Fri morning. It's cold at the sfc. Is a Gfs/Euro blend a feasible expectation? And would that yield a desirable result for SNE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 2 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Just a hunch but I think this will be an epic phail by the GFS/GEFS at a day 3 lead time. Gotta lean that way at this juncture Hoping EPS bit N so a compromise holds out a shot at parachutes A Weaker N stream and ya less phase and boom, ensembles meaningless again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Something to look forward to. Grid crippling freezing drizzle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Is a Gfs/Euro blend a feasible expectation? And would that yield a desirable result for SNE? Nobody uses the GFS anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 So now NYC gets pummeled on the Euro and everyone else nothing? Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 That convective blob on the Euro at 15z friday off of the delmarva is kind of troubling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 6 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: So have the s/w been fully injested into the models as of 12z today? They are both fully onshore now. More or less, maybe the trailing portion of the southern shortwave has yet to be fully sampled. Could still be some convective curveballs though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 I went to find Gene but there is nobody on the ledge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 1 minute ago, dryslot said: That convective blob on the Euro at 15z friday off of the delmarva is kind of troubling. dryslot throwing his weenie into feedback issues? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 As a "coastie" I'm rapidly losing interest. Does anything show a warning storm for this area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 1 minute ago, dryslot said: That convective blob on the Euro at 15z friday off of the delmarva is kind of troubling. Meaning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 Call me crazy but if the 18z NAM is a dud I'd start closing the shades. NAM and Euro lockstep is a tough combo to bet against. If the GFS scores a coup I'll tip my cap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: Meaning He's afraid the annual fishies' picnic will be rained out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 Just now, 8611Blizz said: As a "coastie" I'm rapidly losing interest. Does anything show a warning storm for this area? Flood Warnings perhaps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 Go with Euro over GFS but not out to sea GFS ensembles have been kind of ridiculous with this Low in the northeast Atlantic, something to do with reverse DJF, and bias at model range in pattern. Less amplification here, and more under the NAO block on the East coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 27, 2018 Author Share Posted February 27, 2018 1 minute ago, 8611Blizz said: As a "coastie" I'm rapidly losing interest. Does anything show a warning storm for this area? well... 'on the coast' there is still a warning potential for CF/tide concerns... is that what you meant Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 1 minute ago, DomNH said: Call me crazy but if the 18z NAM is a dud I'd start closing the shades. NAM and Euro lockstep is a tough combo to bet against. If the GFS scores a coup I'll tip my cap. They don't have the same evolution though. Just the same end result. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 1 minute ago, DomNH said: Call me crazy but if the 18z NAM is a dud I'd start closing the shades. NAM and Euro lockstep is a tough combo to bet against. If the GFS scores a coup I'll tip my cap. My only hesitation is that all the spread remains north, and the Euro op is close to being THE outlier solution within its own ensemble. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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