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March 2-4th ... first -NAO anchored storm perhaps in years


Typhoon Tip

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21 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

I'm actually fairly optimistic about this one. I'm also in a decent spot on the east slopes near the pike too...but even for areas like Kevin and maybe Ginxy I'd be cautiously optimistic.

The thing to watch for is the phasing obviously, but also look out for subtle changes in the block and our big system coming ashore in the PAC NW behind this one too.

 

Yea, I like your area better, but I like where I sit, too.

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Just now, WinterWolf said:

Can’t we just go with -PNA..that makes more sense to me..then changing it to RNA(if RNA really just means -PNA)??

 

or did misunderstand the whole RNA explanation lmao??? 

I think the first time I saw the index PNA/RNA was used. This was years ago.

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No reason to make definitives one way or another until all the players are on the table.  For this area, I'd favor rain given the background conditions and climate but we've seen crazier scenarios in the past.  I do think we see a nudge north and stronger with the storm from current modeling.   It's been a trend we've seen this season and I expect it to continue.  

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