Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,589
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    LopezElliana
    Newest Member
    LopezElliana
    Joined

March 2-4th ... first -NAO anchored storm perhaps in years


Typhoon Tip

Recommended Posts

How does Boston look on euro? Slushy late?


For Boston metro I'd say 4-8" heavy wet snow... but higher amounts, contingent on slightly faster cooling and more prolonged firehose, are very possible.

HRRR trends tonight seem to support cooler thermals, but we'll watch upstream obs thru the morning.
Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Replies 4.6k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Wind criteria? Check

3 hours of 1/4mile vis? Are we sure nowhere in SNE meets those criteria? Looks to me ORH has a shot in 18z-0z timeframe on that Euro run

There was not enough support to consider before that Euro run, but let's see how things trend overnight.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

8 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

That is a crazy euro look. Destroyed by the firehose for about 8 hours. 

Compare that to the HRRR that has all precip done by like 8pm.

lol... I mean we've seen some long range weird stuff from the HRRR but this takes the cake.

uszrzML.png

Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 hours ago, sbos_wx said:

Ray just showed off his forecast skill. That's what we call meteorology and not modelogy. He took the climatology and setup and knew that it would deliver. Now it's gonna pay off.

Remember that time when you told me this storm doesn't work like that? Maybe you should just wait and see what happens.

It all comes down to precip intensity and well as some banding which will result in precip flipping between rain and
snow and vice versa.

https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Compare that to the HRRR that has all precip done by like 8pm.

lol... I mean we've seen some long range weird stuff from the HRRR but this takes the cake.

Its not alone either. The 09z RPM completely shuts things off after like 21-23z from north to south. High confidence forecasting today

Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

6z RGEM...still really likes SE MA.  Even if the p-type algorithm is wrong, its signaling SE MA now for several runs in a row.

Hey remember that time everyone laughed at you for thinking this could be an elevation storm?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Those models ending it early are going to be wrong. Slow moving LP..Can toss

 

Will's rule of they always hang on 6-8 longer than modeled.

I am leaning that way as well. Find the HRRR and RPM hard to believe at this stage ending it so early

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...