TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 4 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: The Hi-res RGEM went from 8-12" in 2 consecutive cycles over SE MA to nada. Pretty much the signature of this event. Some models improve and some get worse, and by the end of the cycle it’s basically a wash. Im done trying to figure out what is going to happen. Maybe as the flip ( if it happens) closes in.. things will become clearer. This storm has been brutal though. Feels like it was a waste of time regardless of the outcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Yea I'm done tracking this. At least the snow aspect..its really pointless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: At this point, who cares. If a model is that unstable 24 hours out, wipe your a$$ with it first and ask questions later. The problem is the model may have changed a layer by like 0.5c and the snow algorithm wipes out 6” of snow due to a very subtle shift. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 5 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Pretty much the signature of this event. Some models improve and some get worse, and by the end of the cycle it’s basically a wash. Im done trying to figure out what is going to happen. Maybe as the flip ( if it happens) closes in.. things will become clearer. This storm has been brutal though. Feels like it was a waste of time regardless of the outcome. Yup.. really wanted the models to get an idea with this long before now, instead of watching it swing wildly from run to run or suite to suite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 3 minutes ago, CT Rain said: The problem is the model may have changed a layer by like 0.5c and the snow algorithm wipes out 6” of snow due to a very subtle shift. Regardless....who cares. We know its that marginal, so the changes lose significance because its within the realm of noise. Personally, I'd rather sit on an oozie and rotate, than scan the assortment of meso guidance for every .3* change that will reverse next hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 I'm just so done with this event....it went from 1997, to 1,997 ways to disappoint in a 36 hour span. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 I only want the 6-12" to verify my call, otherwise I'd just assume wash it all down the drain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 12 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: The Hi-res RGEM went from 8-12" in 2 consecutive cycles over SE MA to nada. That just shows how close we are to something meaningful. This is one of those rare cases I would love to see all the models bust because of ~1 degree C difference at the mid levels, flipping us over hours sooner. But it probably isn't happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bigfoot Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: Here's another good one for our own entertainment....what are the odds that ORH gets more snow than ITH? You'd think ITH should finally win this time...but the NE wind at ITH makes me cringe over the next 9 hours...when it finally turns north where they do well, they dont have much time left in the good precip. Worcester NY on I-88 FTW I think. I 100%agee with Wills call,at the bottom ,Worcester NY 1- 88 for the win....all open area on that stretch of 1-88 and the snow drifts there are like mountains!...although speaking of mountains ,Hunter Mountain May approache 4feet is the latest word around here...so they could beat Worcester ny by a foot! Coating here 30 min east of Worcester at 12:15 am,,,,so it begins...Good luck and stay safe out there,,,winds,floods,rains,mix,snows...hold on men! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Bold but achievable forecast map Ray At the rates we see tomorrow afternoon, just 1 hour faster cooling will make a huge difference. Also still think we are 24 hours away from the "overtime" firehouse period... those meso-lows slinging into eastern SNE could bring surprises. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Regardless....who cares. We know its that marginal, so the changes lose significance because its within the realm of noise. Personally, I'd rather sit on an oozie and rotate, than scan the assortment of meso guidance for every .3* change that will reverse next hour. It really has become nauseating. If you told me on Sunday this is where we’d be at this point, i would have paid very little attention. The models did just enough to keep people interested, but never consistently delivered anything really good. This is prob the most mind numbing event I’ve been a part of since I joined the board five years ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: It really has become nauseating. If you told me on Sunday this is where we’d be at this point, i would have paid very little attention. The models did just enough to keep people interested, but never consistently delivered anything really good. This is prob the most mind numbing event I’ve been a part of since I joined the board five years ago. You’re exhausting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 1 minute ago, CT Rain said: You’re exhausting. I think a lot of people feel the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 NWS BostonVerified account @NWSBoston 6m6 minutes ago More NWS Boston Retweeted Jay Kenney Pretty much everyone expect the immediate south coast will likely see at least some modest snow accumulations before it fully ends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 10 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I only want the 6-12" to verify my call, otherwise I'd just assume wash it all down the drain. It is what it is at this point man. Don't stress about it. I wouldn't be up, but I'm on the digital desk until 2am.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 HRRR seems to be trending cooler. Don't quote me. Like we've said before, you want to see that model trend cooler for several runs. Can't just jump on one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 15 minutes ago, Bigfoot said: I 100%agee with Wills call,at the bottom ,Worcester NY 1- 88 for the win....all open area on that stretch of 1-88 and the snow drifts there are like mountains!...although speaking of mountains ,Hunter Mountain May approache 4feet is the latest word around here...so they could beat Worcester ny by a foot! Coating here 30 min east of Worcester at 12:15 am,,,,so it begins...Good luck and stay safe out there,,,winds,floods,rains,mix,snows...hold on men! 16 miles northeast of Middleburgh here. Town of Knox, but just south of Delanson. 31 and snowing. Almost an inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bigfoot Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 4 minutes ago, Logan11 said: 16 miles northeast of Middleburgh here. Town of Knox, but just south of Delanson. 31 and snowing. Almost an inch. Knox,sweet,you should cash in as well at your elevation...am at a sad 640elevation but near the schoharie creek so that may help a bit... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 9 minutes ago, Logan11 said: 16 miles northeast of Middleburgh here. Town of Knox, but just south of Delanson. 31 and snowing. Almost an inch. I am enjoying power here, hoping this goes from 32 to say 30 in a cpl hrs bc its Beginning to pound Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 The euro should be interesting. Hopefully it has mid level magic linger over e ma. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 7 minutes ago, Bigfoot said: Knox,sweet,you should cash in as well at your elevation...am at a sad 640elevation but near the schoharie creek so that may help a bit... Whats ur temp, 34-35? Power will be an issue Near u- First plow here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 2 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: I am enjoying power here, hoping this goes from 32 to say 30 in a cpl hrs bc its Beginning to pound I'm down to 30, moderate snow here. I guess I'm 45-50 miles straight north of Hunter....though rather circuitous to get down there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Meanwhile on the other side of the continent we have this.......lol KRNO....I wish I was there now...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Wtfook!!! no joke Euro is coming north bigtime thru 18 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 2 minutes ago, wxsniss said: Wtfook!!! no joke Euro is coming north bigtime thru 18 hours Means **** here I'm sure..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 I had to check timestamps cache etc... I thought this was some old run: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 6 minutes ago, wxsniss said: I had to check timestamps cache etc... I thought this was some old run: Thats a hell of a look..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderblizzard Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Hell of a valley screwzone on the clown map. Places like Danbury went from 2" to 12" that run though, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Ray Guessed it AGAIN. Said the firehose would go North. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Omg. Euro NUKES. MY GOD!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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