40/70 Benchmark Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Final call http://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2018/03/short-term-blizzard-friday-night-final.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: Yup. Algorithms FTL. IDK Bob this is like this in my hood for 6 hrs. 10 inches in 6 hrs, crazy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Even ACY gets almost a foot on that run, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: IDK Bob this is like this in my hood for 6 hrs. 10 inches in 6 hrs, crazy That is sexy...that's a paste job beyond belief Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Final call http://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2018/03/short-term-blizzard-friday-night-final.html pretty bullish, GL on the FX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: IDK Bob this is like this in my hood for 6 hrs. 10 inches in 6 hrs, crazy I'm hoping for a flip around 8-9pm tomorrow night than 6-8hrs of fun. I think the TT totals are low here but the Pivotal ones are a bit weenie-ish. Think 4-6" is realistic with potential upside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Final call http://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2018/03/short-term-blizzard-friday-night-final.html Balls out. I like it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 5 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: Even ACY gets almost a foot on that run, lol. Its definitely possible somewhere between NYC and PHL that major snows will occur. Its so unusual to see that sort of setup where due west of the 850/700 lows in that position there is not significant snow. Even in a marginal air mass like this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 I would feel better about underachieving winds where Ryan lives but being in far ECT puts me near that EMA core. Think gust to 50 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 11 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Final call http://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2018/03/short-term-blizzard-friday-night-final.html I'd take 3-6 and run here. Gonna need that firehose to stay put with the cold air in place long enough. Good Luck. Hope you're right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 So much is dependent on the northern extent of the upper low's dominant easterly flow. The more robust solutions are snowier as they really firehose SNE for a good 8-12 hours with legit heavy precip after the flip to snow. The weaker solutions are further south and they shut things down after maybe only 3-5 hours of meaningful heavy snow. NAM at 00z was weaker and south. We want something that is closer to the 12z NAM and 18z rgem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Just now, ORH_wxman said: So much is dependent on the northern extent of the upper low's dominant easterly flow. The more robust solutions are snowier as they really firehose SNE for a good 8-12 hours with legit heavy precip after the flip to snow. The weaker solutions are further south and they shut things down after maybe only 3-5 hours of meaningful heavy snow. NAM at 00z was weaker and south. We want something that is closer to the 12z NAM and 18z rgem. Guess it's a location thing but that was pretty crazy down here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: So much is dependent on the northern extent of the upper low's dominant easterly flow. The more robust solutions are snowier as they really firehose SNE for a good 8-12 hours with legit heavy precip after the flip to snow. The weaker solutions are further south and they shut things down after maybe only 3-5 hours of meaningful heavy snow. NAM at 00z was weaker and south. We want something that is closer to the 12z NAM and 18z rgem. does that have the have to do with the strength of the upper low...in terms of the dominance of the easterly flow? What dictates the strength of the upper low and how it weakens? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 9 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: I would feel better about underachieving winds where Ryan lives but being in far ECT puts me near that EMA core. Think gust to 50 here. Oh yeah... 50 mph is reasonable. That's generally not enough for big issues around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Guess it's a location thing but that was pretty crazy down here They are all pretty crazy but it wasn't as good as 18z for your backyard either. I guess you wouldn't want 12z run since that one had a wonky dryslot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Noticed media throwin out “Bomb Cyclone” again.....lolz.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Starting to flurry and 34. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 9 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Oh yeah... 50 mph is reasonable. That's generally not enough for big issues around here. As long as there is no wet snow. Jan 2011 was probably the highest winds I have had in a winter storm ENE winds wise. March 13 was pretty incredible too with rolling waves of high gusts . Imagine this will be similar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 1 minute ago, Logan11 said: Starting to flurry and 34. Crush job coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JKEisMan Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Rgem seems colder extreme western CT. Flips to snow early afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Definitely a cut back on the HREF from 12z to 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 15 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: So much is dependent on the northern extent of the upper low's dominant easterly flow. The more robust solutions are snowier as they really firehose SNE for a good 8-12 hours with legit heavy precip after the flip to snow. The weaker solutions are further south and they shut things down after maybe only 3-5 hours of meaningful heavy snow. NAM at 00z was weaker and south. We want something that is closer to the 12z NAM and 18z rgem. I’m okay with the NAM... it all is a crap shoot in the end I think. Pick a model and you get a different solution. I don’t hate my location for this. Seems like once it gets cold enough we should have some heavy precip left. How long is the big question. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 I’m really not expecting more than a couple wet inches in the end in the north shore area, at this point I’m just hoping that the CF and wind aspects manage to remain impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 22 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: So much is dependent on the northern extent of the upper low's dominant easterly flow. The more robust solutions are snowier as they really firehose SNE for a good 8-12 hours with legit heavy precip after the flip to snow. The weaker solutions are further south and they shut things down after maybe only 3-5 hours of meaningful heavy snow. NAM at 00z was weaker and south. We want something that is closer to the 12z NAM and 18z rgem. I'm hedging that it sneaks more northward relative to guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 I still feel like anything is possible here. My gut is thinking 5-8”. 2-3” is prob like a 10% chance. 12-15” also a 10% chance 39F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 I don't think i have heard the nam mentioned this many times without a 4 letter word in front of it or after it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 The rgem sucks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 3 minutes ago, sbos_wx said: The rgem sucks I'm so done with this f&*king event. Don't care at this point...get it over with so we don't have to endure any more $hitty runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Maybe the real HECS was the friendships we made along the way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'm so done with this f&*king winter Don't care at this point...get it over with so we don't have to endure any more $hitty storms Bwahahahahahaha......FYP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.