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March 2-4th ... first -NAO anchored storm perhaps in years


Typhoon Tip

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1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Yeah.. just kinda seems like we need to wait until early morning and see where the storm bombs out. Is it off AC or is it just off LI .. it’s an impossible forecast . Other than NW Hills up to Berks who may be close to jack.. the rest of us in SNE can get 2” or 18”

Nowcasting at its best.

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8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

The meso lows are alarming. Look at the wind core with those. If that is timed after 4-5z Saturday it will coincide with high tide and maximize surge and waves.  What a crazy scenario about to unfold. Lots of unknowns.

That's what happenned in Feb 10 with Eck Phil Messenger up all night tracking an offshore Meso that cut the Cape then offshore to land in NH causing all the damage up there. EEK had a great surge video too. Very very similar at a higher tide.

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5 minutes ago, kdxken said:

Are you off of Highland?  I am at 385' at my place in Sherborn.

Yeah basically on Ashland line.

 

Are you near Hunter/Green in Sherborn? That's a good weenie spot. There's actually several good weenie spots in Sherborn with the hills and also they seem to get good CAD there.

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5 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

If you believe the clown maps, its a dumping for some and a toaster bath for others.

5a989ef4489a6_hires18zrgemsnow.JPG.89545981dbe3c3eff8d5892d1c4774d2.JPG

That's about as bad as it gets here.  I'm not expecting much here but a shutout with RI, Se mass getting dumped on would be a gut blow.  I can handle the 1k + elevations out here cleaning up alot easier than that map.  

 

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7 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Saw that

Its a fooking Torch in the berks now

We are getting down near freezing up here now but solid gradient across New England. 

Something I noticed today was what looked like an inversion around 5,000ft with clouds trapped under that.  It was sort of raw and surprisingly cold in the 2,000-4,000ft layer today (highs in the mid-20s).  Wondered if that was a good sign with some decent cold at 925mb sneaking under some warmth above that.

What a pit IJD is... 55F this evening.  Ooof. 

LiXSK1l.jpg

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6 minutes ago, CTValleySnowMan said:

That's about as bad as it gets here.  I'm not expecting much here but a shutout with RI, Se mass getting dumped on would be a gut blow.  I can handle the 1k + elevations out here cleaning up alot easier than that map.  

 

Me and Spanky’s fears are there on that map. dxr with a foot and like 2” just 5 miles east? holy moly. I call BS.

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31 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

I have a hard time not seeing you with 6+ but I also dont know your micro climate like you do.

The Valley really tightens up N of Northampton/Amherst latitude so there are lots of interesting micro-climates to deal with. The NW side of Greenfield is 400'-600', we will definitely need favorable dynamics to rip here. Nowcast. 

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39 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

KBOX with a man TAF for Logan.

 

KBOS 012331Z 0200/0306 10006KT P6SM BKN140 
  FM020300 04010KT P6SM OVC050 
  FM020700 04015G24KT 4SM -RA BR OVC012 
  FM021000 04020G30KT 2SM -RA BR OVC008 WS020/05055KT 
  FM021400 03026G40KT 2SM +RA BR OVC008 WS020/04065KT 
  FM021800 03028G54KT 2SM +RA BR OVC008 WS020/04075KT 
  FM022300 03030G58KT 1 1/2SM -RA BR OVC020 WS020/04060KT 
  FM030400 01025G49KT 1SM -RASN BR OVC020 WS020/03055KT

Shutem down. Probably higher than I'd comfortably go for that long but it does look wild. Not really LLWS when your ripping off 55KT sfc gusts 

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