Baroclinic Zone Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Just now, dryslot said: Your getting rocked, No way around it. Yeah, I'm also in Scott's camp that any snows on the backside will be an added bonus. The shear impacts of the winds/rain/erosion to the coast and potential tree damage/power outages will be incredible. Add wet snow to the mix will take it to the next one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 19 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Been nice seeing you all. I'm going to become part of the Atlantic if some of these runs verify. 3km NAM is over 6.25" of precip. It's ok, I have an inflatable kayak...ill pick you up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Whatever they did to tweak the model last night seems to have worked? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Just now, #NoPoles said: It's ok, I have an inflatable kayak...ill pick you up Your downstream so watch and wait for me as I float by. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 No, the GFS has a stupid T-TD spread. Or as Tony Maz would say...STOOOOOPID!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Well scituate is already flooding because of the lunar cycle, add in a storm surge and 25foot waves, and prolonged easterly winds...the coast is going to get annihilated Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: No, the GFS has a stupid T-TD spread. Or as Tony Maz would say...STOOOOOPID!! The NAM does too. The models never see evaporative cooling in this setup. The NAM has NYC 41/29 all day tomorrow after 14Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: No, the GFS has a stupid T-TD spread. Or as Tony Maz would say...STOOOOOPID!! It's also a furnace up to 925mb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Just now, CoastalWx said: Absolute smoke job after 21z. Yeah, wow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 if it is too warm, thats a borderline epic snowstorm for swc-dxr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ScituateWX Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 4 minutes ago, #NoPoles said: Well scituate is already flooding because of the lunar cycle, add in a storm surge and 25foot waves, and prolonged easterly winds...the coast is going to get annihilated Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burann Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Will be sure to post photos from my in-law's house in Humarock- if I can get there. Fortunately they're behind the barrier beach and South River, but between the long fetch, extended duration, and high wind velocities I'd bet we exceed storm surge models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 I think we're coming around to a solution of parachutes from about 21z to 06z and then a quick shutoff. Slushy 3-6'' for us in the east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 CMC wham bam thank you m’am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 I'm dying not being able to see models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Just now, weathafella said: CMC wham bam thank you m’am. Description? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Are the models back to stalling or still progressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Just now, sbos_wx said: Description? Quick hitter. Earlier flip but gone by late Friday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Can't even imagine what this would've been if it was like -3C colder throughout the column. Temps in the 20s and inches of QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 1 minute ago, sbos_wx said: Are the models back to stalling or still progressive Progressive. No more lingering past dawn Saturday. Looks like everything is more or less done by 06z Saturday for most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Like every event the past few years although if you count the total hours of qpf it is impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 3 minutes ago, sbos_wx said: I'm dying not being able to see models Girlfriend have a tight leash? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Just now, weathafella said: Like every event the past few years although if you count the total hours of qpf it is impressive. For sure. Looks like about .75'' verbatim on the GFS after the flip which is a lot over 8 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 5 minutes ago, DomNH said: I think we're coming around to a solution of parachutes from about 21z to 06z and then a quick shutoff. Slushy 3-6'' for us in the east. Good trends today. If I can't have a biggie I'm cheering on the lower QPF. 0.35" on the GFS would be a big win. Freshet cancel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 3 minutes ago, dendrite said: Good trends today. If I can't have a biggie I'm cheering on the lower QPF. 0.35" on the GFS would be a big win. Freshet cancel. This is going to be pure suckage in ASH. No elevation, sheltered from the winds, not enough snow to really care but enough to make a PITA mess. Jack of all trades, master of none. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 5 minutes ago, DomNH said: Progressive. No more lingering past dawn Saturday. Looks like everything is more or less done by 06z Saturday for most. That blows chunks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Just now, sbos_wx said: That blows chunks Hellacious parachutes for a little while though, and the GFS might have been a touch earlier on the flip than previously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 1 minute ago, DomNH said: This is going to be pure suckage in ASH. No elevation, sheltered from the winds, not enough snow to really care but enough to make a PITA mess. Jack of all trades, master of none. There will be some surprises with this. I haven't even given up all hope here. I just don't expect to see modeling bring me any encouragement up until go-time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Just now, dendrite said: There will be some surprises with this. I haven't even given up all hope here. I just don't expect to see modeling bring me any encouragement up until go-time. We're not gonna get our 30" run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 1 hour ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: lol yea....Not happening. ha, yeah I hope not.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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