apm Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Precip ends by 12z. But such a beast at 964mb as it heads SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 What some of the previous posters fail to mention is that it still drops a lot of paste for SE MA and the south shore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 9 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I call bull$hit. I guess hard to dismiss totally... the faster slink southeast scenario was always possible... but I'm not worried. How guidance handles these bouncing lows interacting with the ULL and all the various vortmaxes is gonna fluctuate in the next 24 hours. UK and CMC did tick southeast too. NAM was a huge hit. And I think we have buffer and good shot at last minute north corrections with a 960s low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 That run wouldn't be biblical flooding for E MA. The one positive. But it's only one run. Unfortunately one run of the euro. On to tomorrow. The volatility run-to-run gives me no reason to think this one is over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Just now, sbos_wx said: What some of the previous posters fail to mention is that it still drops a lot of paste for SE MA and the south shore. I mentioned it. Don't buy that solution. Maybe I'll go down in flames. We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 This was thread the needle set up Very few runs showed much snow for SNE, and when they did they couldn't duplicate it next run Still potential and perhaps the euro latched on to Wrong low? Trends at 0z , undeniably progressive. Disgustingly so. I was growing confident i could bump up my conservative numbers but seems like we need a 4'th and 25 conversion to thread this needle now. Or as PF would say.....we had a 7 run lead going into 0z data (8'th inning of game to "protect warning snows for Orh hills" and after retiring first batter with three heaters that glasses wearing joe dude that throws 103mph gave up a infield single, sandoval booted one a infield hit and now a granny and we brought Kimbrell in and he's down 3-0 (in count). Thats where we sit. 7-4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 2 minutes ago, wxsniss said: I guess hard to dismiss totally... the faster slink southeast scenario was always possible... How guidance handles these bouncing lows interacting with the ULL and all the various vortmaxes is gonna fluctuate in the next 24 hours. UK and CMC did tick southeast too. NAM was a huge hit. And I think we have buffer and good shot at last minute north corrections with a 960s low. Sure, maybe it sinks and isn't April 1997, but that solution? Nope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 At least my favorite me so model is most juiced out of any of its runs. Keep precip N of ma pike going to 5z , se mass maybe 12z. Btv wrf Tucked low and milder 850's e of ct river. West it was a bomb snowfall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 2 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: At least my favorite me so model is most juiced out of any of its runs. Keep precip N of ma pike going to 5z , se mass maybe 12z. Btv wrf I just can't bring myself to panic yet with the frequency of change in these runs. We'll know by next Euro run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 12 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: This was thread the needle set up Very few runs showed much snow for SNE, and when they did they couldn't duplicate it next run Still potential and perhaps the euro latched on to Wrong low? Trends at 0z , undeniably progressive. Disgustingly so. I was growing confident i could bump up my conservative numbers but seems like we need a 4'th and 25 conversion to thread this needle now. Or as PF would say.....we had a 7 run lead going into 0z data (8'th inning of game to "protect warning snows for Orh hills" and after retiring first batter with three heaters that glasses wearing joe dude that throws 103mph gave up a infield single, sandoval booted one a infield hit and now a granny and we brought Kimbrell in and he's down 3-0 (in count). Thats where we sit. 7-4 4th and 16, pass to Amendola, first down. I like our chances. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 3 minutes ago, sbos_wx said: I just can't bring myself to panic yet with the frequency of change in these runs. We'll know by next Euro run. Had about 3' on berks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 3 minutes ago, sbos_wx said: I just can't bring myself to panic yet with the frequency of change in these runs. We'll know by next Euro run. The Euro ain’t what she used to be PERIOD! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 The euro has been....sad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Lol maybe that’s why BOX has no snow forecast...would be something if they end up being right all along...???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: The euro has been....sad. They ruined a great model...don’t care what anybody says...it ain’t even close to what it used to be..sad is right! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Agree about not worrying at the moment, for several reasons (1) synoptically guidance is dealing with multiple low centers during the capture, and the timing and which centers dominate will fluctuate in the next 24 hours, (2) north corrections with such intense systems seem more frequent than not. There are also other factors we can verify tomorrow including position of the streams in the Plains and Scooter s*** streak. Lots of guidance to digest yet tomorrow. Will chose a good night to call it early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 The sicko in me is close to booking the beckett motel. East slope Berks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 16 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Lol maybe that’s why BOX has no snow forecast...would be something if they end up being right all along...???? That's pretty much my angle for CT right now, except the NW hills i would have more snow, if i had a map out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 21 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Lol maybe that’s why BOX has no snow forecast...would be something if they end up being right all along...???? They would be dead wrong if that euro verified. It would drop several inches. What do you consider 'right'? Because they've pretty much punted until they get a better idea like the other mets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 WSW for Northern Worcester, Western Franklin and Western Hamden. Looks like Berkshire East could get 10" of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizz Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 3KM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Box going about an inch here now.. 10 percent chance of 8.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 23 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Box going about an inch here now.. 10 percent chance of 8.. I admire your enthusiasm and glass half full attitude but this is gonna be a snoozer here , I am not sold on a huge e ma crush job either this time....west/northwest will by far be best Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 4 hours ago, RedSky said: Euro came in as eventful as a led balloon on a neutron star Sucks to see the gfs and now the Euro barely anything for the coast and SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 I never expected snow here on the coast, but I sure hope we pull off a Ray miracle for you inland folks. I’ll just enjoy my 80 mph gusts, flooding rains, and storm surge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 one used to be able to forecast an EC snowstorm strictly off the euro.....not anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 The progressive southward sink is definitely a real theme of last night. We're gonna wanna see that relax a little at 12z. The one positive trend was the colder antecedent airmass, 06z GFS was even colder on that front so we will see if we can trend that too some more. If we don't on either front then we're prob looking at mostly nuisance snows. Maybe advisory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Welcome to met spring. Today is lovely-may it be a weather breeder! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Lol it’s amazing how many times this has changed and continues to do so..historic-nothing, historic-nothing, Epic-pedestrian, long duration-progressive. Rug gets pulled out with every other run. Sure sign it’s a flop snow wise. What a cluster f**k. Ill take my heavy rain and high wind watch and be done...maybe it’ll be like a mini cane, one can hope. But Winds always underperform here so not expecting the 40-60mph gusts here in any way....Shoreline sure. Enjoy the snow in NY state and the Berks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Man not sure the last time I saw 40" amounts spit out like they are over the Catskills on the 3km run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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