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March 2-4th ... first -NAO anchored storm perhaps in years


Typhoon Tip

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interesting how eps/euro are liking east zones more for snow while other guidance says west is best. If its colder ala their output then the closer to the firehose makes sense but I think it may be a bit underdone out west where 850 cools earlier on Friday. 

Great system to track though, this one is testing rip n readers vs pros. clown maps vs experience. 

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So, I've read everything and I still have no idea except it's going to be windy with coastal flooding. The usual power outrages will happen. RT3A in Plymouth will be closed do to coastal flooding. I feel that elevations are going to get a lot of snow. I'm probably going to get 2inches of rain. But I have no idea what the heck to expect for the rest of new england

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16 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

interesting how eps/euro are liking east zones more for snow while other guidance says west is best. If its colder ala their output then the closer to the firehose makes sense but I think it may be a bit underdone out west where 850 cools earlier on Friday. 

Great system to track though, this one is testing rip n readers vs pros. clown maps vs experience. 

Euro likes forcing west CCB east

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ORH is one of the toughest forecasts because I think the ceiling is very high there...but they also have a lower floor than a place like the Berkshires. Would anyone be truly shocked if ORH pulled a 20-handle or 3-4" of glop?

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1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

You have been, you different, you changed. Just gonna take us a while to adjust. 

I liked the trends this afternoon. For us folks east... it was nice to see the snow wasn’t entirely elevation dependent. Obviously it doesn’t hurt, but still can get good snow if things line up

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1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

ORH is one of the toughest forecasts because I think the ceiling is very high there...but they also have a lower floor than a place like the Berkshires. Would anyone be truly shocked if ORH pulled a 20-handle or 3-4" of glop?

I'd be more shocked by the latter option personally. Thinking foot plus there comfortably.

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1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

ORH is one of the toughest forecasts because I think the ceiling is very high there...but they also have a lower floor than a place like the Berkshires. Would anyone be truly shocked if ORH pulled a 20-handle or 3-4" of glop?

Nope. But, reality says >12" higher likelihood than 3-4"

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2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

ORH is one of the toughest forecasts because I think the ceiling is very high there...but they also have a lower floor than a place like the Berkshires. Would anyone be truly shocked if ORH pulled a 20-handle or 3-4" of glop?

Should orh airport pull a 3", we've all wasted our time

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Just now, CoastalWx said:

Nope. But, reality says >12" higher likelihood than 3-4"

Yeah I'd def lean higher...but their range is still huge. Like even an 8-9 inch mashed potato cake would still be a pretty decent event there but you could also see the obs going KORH +SN 32F at like 14-15z Friday or something really early, and everyone is like "WTF...snow already?" and its game-on for Dec '92 redux.

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4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

ORH is one of the toughest forecasts because I think the ceiling is very high there...but they also have a lower floor than a place like the Berkshires. Would anyone be truly shocked if ORH pulled a 20-handle or 3-4" of glop?

It’s the same here. Maybe take off a couple inches .

i think most would be shocked if ORH got 3-4”

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