wxsniss Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 On 3/2/2018 at 6:37 AM, ajisai said: How does Boston look on euro? Slushy late? For Boston metro I'd say 4-8" heavy wet snow... but higher amounts, contingent on slightly faster cooling and more prolonged firehose, are very possible.HRRR trends tonight seem to support cooler thermals, but we'll watch upstream obs thru the morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Wind criteria? Check 3 hours of 1/4mile vis? Are we sure nowhere in SNE meets those criteria? Looks to me ORH has a shot in 18z-0z timeframe on that Euro run There was not enough support to consider before that Euro run, but let's see how things trend overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnno Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Man just to my west is going to get it good, whole route 8 area, the southbury weather center would approve for sure, Danbury delight there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 We’re planning snowboarding at Mohawk up in Northwest CT....all systems go it looks like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnno Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 On 3/2/2018 at 7:13 AM, ice1972 said: We’re planning snowboarding at Mohawk up in Northwest CT....all systems go it looks like Expand Yea I would think Goshen and Cornwall area will do well, Probably Goshen or Norfolk jack for CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 On 3/2/2018 at 7:16 AM, Johnno said: Yea I would think Goshen and Cornwall area will do well, Probably Goshen or Norfolk jack for CT Expand Ya....could be an epic day Sunday.....kiddos coming around nicely on the boards....it’s not Tahoe but it’s fine to learn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Insomnia after the night shift and no model runs. Bad combo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 I'll go 3-6" or 4-8" at BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Regular 06z NAM looks like a good thump too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 rgem 6z looks better imo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 AWT, weeeeeee. good morning weenies out west, enjoy.....this buds for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Oh boy oh boy oh boy She coming . Glad we didn’t waver last night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 That is a crazy euro look. Destroyed by the firehose for about 8 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 On 3/2/2018 at 11:02 AM, ORH_wxman said: That is a crazy euro look. Destroyed by the firehose for about 8 hours. Expand Compare that to the HRRR that has all precip done by like 8pm. lol... I mean we've seen some long range weird stuff from the HRRR but this takes the cake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 6z RGEM...still really likes SE MA. Even if the p-type algorithm is wrong, its signaling SE MA now for several runs in a row. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 On 3/2/2018 at 6:40 AM, sbos_wx said: Ray just showed off his forecast skill. That's what we call meteorology and not modelogy. He took the climatology and setup and knew that it would deliver. Now it's gonna pay off. Expand Remember that time when you told me this storm doesn't work like that? Maybe you should just wait and see what happens. It all comes down to precip intensity and well as some banding which will result in precip flipping between rain and snow and vice versa. https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Gfs also looked better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 On 3/2/2018 at 11:12 AM, powderfreak said: Compare that to the HRRR that has all precip done by like 8pm. lol... I mean we've seen some long range weird stuff from the HRRR but this takes the cake. Expand Its not alone either. The 09z RPM completely shuts things off after like 21-23z from north to south. High confidence forecasting today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 On 3/2/2018 at 11:19 AM, CoastalWx said: Gfs also looked better. Expand Yeah it did, surface temps aside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 This will prob get buries, it does anyone have a link to Ray’s November outlook? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 On 3/2/2018 at 11:16 AM, powderfreak said: 6z RGEM...still really likes SE MA. Even if the p-type algorithm is wrong, its signaling SE MA now for several runs in a row. Expand Hey remember that time everyone laughed at you for thinking this could be an elevation storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 On 3/2/2018 at 11:21 AM, HoarfrostHubb said: This will prob get buries, it does anyone have a link to Ray’s November outlook? Expand He usually has his own thread for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 On 3/2/2018 at 11:19 AM, CoastalWx said: Gfs also looked better. Expand Looks decent and still hangs onto precip longer this evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 1.4 inches so far here in W Norwich Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Even the warm GFS finally caught on. Drops 3-6" N CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Those models ending it early are going to be wrong. Slow moving LP..Can toss Will's rule of they always hang on 6-8 longer than modeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 On 3/2/2018 at 11:28 AM, Damage In Tolland said: Those models ending it early are going to be wrong. Slow moving LP..Can toss Will's rule of they always hang on 6-8 longer than modeled. Expand I am leaning that way as well. Find the HRRR and RPM hard to believe at this stage ending it so early Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 On 3/2/2018 at 11:36 AM, wx2fish said: I am leaning that way as well. Find the HRRR and RPM hard to believe at this stage ending it so early Expand Yeah there's absolutely no way this is out by 8-9pm tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Hard to find a model that doesn't gust all of Eastern CT over 50mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnno Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Just took dog outside and there is a light coating of sleet, must have flipped with the heavier precipitation, not much going on now just wind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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