CT Rain Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 On 3/1/2018 at 2:30 AM, ORH_wxman said: Really weird how thin the warm nose is on the NAM...for a while, it has areas in the interior of like +2C at 850 but below 0C at 900mb and 800mb. Expand I actually like that look (not that it's going to verify) but I really do like how the boundary layer is nice and chilly. We can work with a +1c warm nose. And hell, it's like +9C at the surface like the GFS lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Slopfest? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Nam gets even here good holy**** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 On 3/1/2018 at 2:30 AM, ORH_wxman said: Really weird how thin the warm nose is on the NAM...for a while, it has areas in the interior of like +2C at 850 but below 0C at 900mb and 800mb. Expand My sounding at 45hr...lol Date: 45 hour NAM valid 21Z FRI 2 MAR 18 Station: 43.43,-71.62 Latitude: 43.43 Longitude: -71.62 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- LEV PRES HGHT TEMP DEWP RH DD WETB DIR SPD THETA THE-V THE-W THE-E W mb m C C % C C deg knt K K K K g/kg ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 950 401 -0.2 -1.3 92 1.1 -0.7 23 34 277.0 277.6 275.1 287.0 3.65 2 900 832 -0.7 -1.1 97 0.5 -0.9 41 60 280.8 281.5 277.5 291.7 3.91 3 850 1292 2.2 1.3 93 1.0 1.8 66 68 288.5 289.3 282.4 302.6 4.93 4 800 1778 -1.4 -1.9 96 0.5 -1.6 59 62 289.7 290.4 282.1 301.7 4.17 5 750 2290 -4.6 -5.5 94 0.9 -5.0 61 62 291.5 292.1 282.0 301.4 3.37 6 700 2830 -7.5 -8.6 92 1.0 -7.9 69 64 294.1 294.6 282.4 302.7 2.85 7 650 3403 -10.8 -12.1 90 1.3 -11.2 77 62 296.7 297.2 283.0 303.9 2.33 8 600 4016 -13.1 -14.5 90 1.3 -13.6 90 61 300.9 301.3 284.3 307.4 2.07 9 550 4677 -14.9 -16.2 90 1.2 -15.3 102 57 306.4 306.7 286.2 312.6 1.97 10 500 5393 -18.4 -19.9 88 1.5 -18.8 100 45 310.6 310.8 287.3 315.7 1.57 11 450 6173 -23.2 -25.1 85 1.9 -23.6 86 42 314.1 314.3 288.1 317.8 1.11 12 400 7022 -30.1 -33.0 76 2.8 -30.5 73 41 315.9 316.0 288.1 318.0 0.60 13 350 7956 -38.1 -41.5 70 3.4 -38.4 77 42 317.4 317.4 288.2 318.4 0.29 14 300 8999 -46.8 -50.2 68 3.4 -47.0 98 46 319.3 319.4 288.7 319.8 0.13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Jeez...24” here by 48 on The Tidbits Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 We fire hose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 On 3/1/2018 at 2:30 AM, ORH_wxman said: Really weird how thin the warm nose is on the NAM...for a while, it has areas in the interior of like +2C at 850 but below 0C at 900mb and 800mb. Expand As the NAM turns... Just another day in the life of the world's most interesting model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Still snowing hard at 51 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 That low just shoots SE once it got up to the eastern tip of LI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Snow Date: 45 hour NAM valid 21Z FRI 2 MAR 18 Station: KORH Latitude: 42.27 Longitude: -71.88 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- LEV PRES HGHT TEMP DEWP RH DD WETB DIR SPD THETA THE-V THE-W THE-E W mb m C C % C C deg knt K K K K g/kg ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 950 327 -0.0 -0.4 98 0.3 -0.2 17 39 277.2 277.8 275.6 287.9 3.92 2 900 759 -0.7 -1.0 97 0.4 -0.8 31 69 280.8 281.5 277.6 291.8 3.93 3 850 1218 0.4 0.1 98 0.3 0.3 50 83 286.6 287.4 281.1 299.5 4.53 4 800 1704 -0.2 -0.5 98 0.3 -0.3 62 84 291.0 291.8 283.1 304.4 4.63 5 750 2220 -1.4 -1.8 97 0.4 -1.6 71 83 295.1 295.9 284.7 308.2 4.47 6 700 2767 -4.0 -4.6 95 0.6 -4.3 76 78 298.1 298.8 285.2 309.7 3.88 7 650 3349 -6.8 -7.7 93 0.9 -7.2 82 72 301.3 301.9 285.8 311.4 3.29 8 600 3970 -10.2 -11.4 90 1.3 -10.6 87 57 304.4 304.9 286.3 312.7 2.66 9 550 4635 -14.3 -16.0 87 1.7 -14.8 83 39 307.1 307.5 286.6 313.5 2.00 10 500 5351 -18.9 -20.9 84 2.1 -19.4 69 32 310.1 310.3 287.0 314.8 1.44 11 450 6128 -23.9 -26.4 80 2.5 -24.4 58 38 313.1 313.3 287.6 316.5 0.98 12 400 6978 -29.2 -32.1 76 2.9 -29.6 70 52 317.0 317.2 288.5 319.3 0.65 13 350 7916 -37.0 -40.4 71 3.3 -37.3 77 65 318.8 318.9 288.7 320.0 0.32 14 300 8961 -46.2 -50.3 63 4.1 -46.4 88 60 320.2 320.3 289.0 320.7 0.13 15 250 10150 -52.0 111 37 328.8 16 200 11602 -49.0 196 5 355.2 17 150 13497 -48.8 274 21 385.9 18 100 16130 -53.4 278 22 424.6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 0z Sat BOS starts getting crushed. Like I said, even on the warmest model runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 On 3/1/2018 at 2:31 AM, CT Rain said: I actually like that look (not that it's going to verify) but I really do like how the boundary layer is nice and chilly. We can work with a +1c warm nose. And hell, it's like +9C at the surface like the GFS lol Expand I agree...it's kind of a "Red flag"...I do like how the antecedent airmass is cooling each run it seems. Pretty soon, we might be able to wipe oiut most of that warm layer by the time we get another 2 or 3 runs in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 On 3/1/2018 at 2:28 AM, dendrite said: 45hr has most of VT above 0C at 850. Expand As Ryan stated it looks like the 850 level is the warmest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 On 3/1/2018 at 2:31 AM, dendrite said: My sounding at 45hr...lol Date: 45 hour NAM valid 21Z FRI 2 MAR 18 Station: 43.43,-71.62 Latitude: 43.43 Longitude: -71.62 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- LEV PRES HGHT TEMP DEWP RH DD WETB DIR SPD THETA THE-V THE-W THE-E W mb m C C % C C deg knt K K K K g/kg ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 950 401 -0.2 -1.3 92 1.1 -0.7 23 34 277.0 277.6 275.1 287.0 3.65 2 900 832 -0.7 -1.1 97 0.5 -0.9 41 60 280.8 281.5 277.5 291.7 3.91 3 850 1292 2.2 1.3 93 1.0 1.8 66 68 288.5 289.3 282.4 302.6 4.93 4 800 1778 -1.4 -1.9 96 0.5 -1.6 59 62 289.7 290.4 282.1 301.7 4.17 5 750 2290 -4.6 -5.5 94 0.9 -5.0 61 62 291.5 292.1 282.0 301.4 3.37 6 700 2830 -7.5 -8.6 92 1.0 -7.9 69 64 294.1 294.6 282.4 302.7 2.85 7 650 3403 -10.8 -12.1 90 1.3 -11.2 77 62 296.7 297.2 283.0 303.9 2.33 8 600 4016 -13.1 -14.5 90 1.3 -13.6 90 61 300.9 301.3 284.3 307.4 2.07 9 550 4677 -14.9 -16.2 90 1.2 -15.3 102 57 306.4 306.7 286.2 312.6 1.97 10 500 5393 -18.4 -19.9 88 1.5 -18.8 100 45 310.6 310.8 287.3 315.7 1.57 11 450 6173 -23.2 -25.1 85 1.9 -23.6 86 42 314.1 314.3 288.1 317.8 1.11 12 400 7022 -30.1 -33.0 76 2.8 -30.5 73 41 315.9 316.0 288.1 318.0 0.60 13 350 7956 -38.1 -41.5 70 3.4 -38.4 77 42 317.4 317.4 288.2 318.4 0.29 14 300 8999 -46.8 -50.2 68 3.4 -47.0 98 46 319.3 319.4 288.7 319.8 0.13 Expand Not bad until you get to H85.......lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 On 3/1/2018 at 2:33 AM, sbos_wx said: 0z Sat BOS starts getting crushed. Like I said, even on the warmest model runs. Expand For what, 3hrs? I want this to stop shooting se Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 BOS and surrounding area 4inches+ qpf and still wailing! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowHole413 Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 I’m going to savoy on Saturday, Berks are due for one like this! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 On 3/1/2018 at 2:28 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: The snow maps dont do us justice, thats a big blow west of river. Expand 10-15" for many of us outliers. Albany slam-o-rama. Where is SnowGeek? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Holy smokes, that is an absolute walloping between 00z and 6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 On 3/1/2018 at 2:34 AM, ORH_wxman said: I agree...it's kind of a "Red flag"...I do like how the antecedent airmass is cooling each run it seems. Pretty soon, we might be able to wipe oiut most of that warm layer by the time we get another 2 or 3 runs in. Expand The rip and readers are going to go down in flames. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 On 3/1/2018 at 2:34 AM, Baroclinic Zone said: As Ryan stated it looks like the 850 level is the warmest. Expand How does that not really hurt snow amounts? Won’t flakes melt as they go though it and not have time to reform? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 1, 2018 Author Share Posted March 1, 2018 On 3/1/2018 at 2:28 AM, CoastalWx said: It's not bad, it's just slower. Looks like snow starts near 00z and it pounds. Expand Fwiw Harv was thinking bottom 1/2 is snow. Tend to agree obviously tailored from northwest to southeast accordingly but… this is probably gonna die a slow death maybe light wind whipped snow trying to go to light rain here Saturday night and Sunday morning even. Was even a chance of a pulse or like a spoke could flash West later Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 On 3/1/2018 at 2:31 AM, CT Rain said: I actually like that look (not that it's going to verify) but I really do like how the boundary layer is nice and chilly. We can work with a +1c warm nose. And hell, it's like +9C at the surface like the GFS lol Expand I agree. It's not that bad. I see Will agrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 What a man paste bomb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 5"+ qpf on the coast in eastern ma. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 On 3/1/2018 at 2:35 AM, HoarfrostHubb said: How does that not really hurt snow amounts? Won’t flakes melt as they go though it and not have time to reform? Expand You overcome it with insane lift. A paper thin warm layer like that in this system is probably faux or shortlived. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Good Lord . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Starting to feel this one even in the valley now!! Nam gives me around a foot... Not all in until the rest of the models come out though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizz Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Why Kuchera? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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