Hoth Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 This is one of those situations where the Kuchie maps are less fun to look at than a regular clown map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
correnjim1 Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 On 2/28/2018 at 4:39 PM, CT Rain said: Clown maps have 0" for Boston lol Expand its wrong? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 On 2/28/2018 at 4:36 PM, correnjim1 said: lots of rain and wind.....snow=0.0 Expand You might be right. Harvey doesn't make big jumps typically, so unless the Euro goes hog wild I think he might start to ramp up slowly starting tonight. We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 My perfect game was broken up by an infield dribbler this morning, but still on track for the "W"... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Good lord lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 On 2/28/2018 at 4:39 PM, CT Rain said: Clown maps have 0" for Boston lol Expand 1230 8h with -1 925 yea think somethings missing in them there maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 On 2/28/2018 at 4:44 PM, powderfreak said: Good lord lol. Expand That is a filthy firehose. Also, downsloping subby hole in sw CT? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 On 2/28/2018 at 4:44 PM, Ginx snewx said: 1230 8h with -1 925 yea think somethings missing in them there maps Expand There's gold in that thar stinger Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 GEM looks perfect for my area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 that looks faster to flip than other guidance no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 I find it hard to think it's not snow at -6C at 850 down to even -1 at 925. And 925 may be a hair warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Nice 130 mile shift in 12 hrs on the GEFS. Oye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 On 2/28/2018 at 4:48 PM, Hoth said: That is a filthy firehose. Also, downsloping subby hole in sw CT? Expand Thats not happening. I didnt even look at surface or qpf when i went into the boys bathroom at work for a quick celebration. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolMike Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 On 2/28/2018 at 4:51 PM, CoastalWx said: I find it hard to think it's not snow at -6C at 850 down to even -1 at 925. And 925 may be a hair warm. Expand I can't seem to get the soundings for the GEM. Simulated radar makes it look like all rain for eastern mass. Am I missing something here with regards to cold air aloft? 850mb plots seem warm until 18z Friday. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Holy ****e! Over 5" down in the GHG area on CMC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 On 2/28/2018 at 4:56 PM, CoolMike said: I can't seem to get the soundings for the GEM. Simulated radar makes it look like all rain for eastern mass. Am I missing something here with regards to cold air aloft? 850mb plots seem warm until 18z Friday. Thanks. Expand Sim radar works with vendor ptype algorithms or sometimes straight up raw model ptype. They tend to handle borderline events pretty bad, even those raw ptype files. So, some interpretation and pattern recognition is needed. I'm not saying the whole area is snow, but easily inland...the GGEM would be a paste job moreso than the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 What model comes up next? The Euro at 1pm local time? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 On 2/28/2018 at 4:55 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Thats not happening. I didnt even look at surface or qpf when i went into the boys bathroom at work for a quick celebration. Expand We are ALL a bunch of sickos in here aren't we, rounded up by a few sensible brains like Will. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Anything in Maine for snow or still all mass? Sorry...on phone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 On 2/28/2018 at 4:51 PM, CoastalWx said: I find it hard to think it's not snow at -6C at 850 down to even -1 at 925. And 925 may be a hair warm. Expand The latent cooling would be obscene with the thermal profile like that and precip rates that sick...925 would go to like -3C in an hour or two, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolMike Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 On 2/28/2018 at 4:59 PM, CoastalWx said: Sim radar works with vendor ptype algorithms or sometimes straight up raw model ptype. They tend to handle borderline events pretty bad, even those raw ptype files. So, some interpretation and pattern recognition is needed. I'm not saying the whole area is snow, but easily inland...the GGEM would be a paste job moreso than the GFS. Expand Hey Thanks - I'm watching and waiting carefully. I've got 30 people at my house on Saturday afternoon for a party so it should be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Ukie is impressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 On 2/28/2018 at 4:59 PM, moneypitmike said: Anything in Maine for snow or still all mass? Sorry...on phone. Expand GFS/GEM have snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 On 2/28/2018 at 5:02 PM, ORH_wxman said: Ukie is impressive Expand Wow. That is a crushing pasting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 gotta say...ukie looks like canada Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 On 2/28/2018 at 4:59 PM, TheSnowman said: We are ALL a bunch of sickos in here aren't we, rounded up by a few sensible brains like Will. Expand He’s a sicko too, just disguises it well. Plus he knows exactly where Taylor Swift lives. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Quick glance at 12z so far... expressed some of this last night 0z Euro chased the lead convection too far out east. You're looking at H5, all the shortwave energy and ULL exiting Pennsylvania, and you're thinking that's screaming for a surface low capture closer to coast. Yet 0z Euro somehow missed it. But that's exactly what 12z GFS/CMC are showing, with the ULL stalling near BM and drifting southeast. And that low capture... that's how you get a deep enough system to overcome silly thermals in lower levels. It's after halftime that this storm was always expected to go ballistic. I fully expect Euro either at 12z or 0z tonight, to step towards the closer capture idea on GFS/CMC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 On 2/28/2018 at 4:08 PM, dendrite said: He was arguing with me WRT that about something, but I thought we were supposedly on the same wavelength? I’m on mobile so couldn’t really get into a good disco with him, but he was saying something about that s/w cutting off the cold. That stronger s/w should yield better confluence and height suppression in its wake. Without it our region probably torches the midlevels to the Can border. Expand Yea, I'm not following the "cut-off" of the cold. Perhaps a miscommunication or something. UL heights falls on the back side produces CAD at the surface into NNE; we can all see that in the way guidance has been trending--the stronger that lead shortwave is, the more confluence and low level CAD comes in behind it. In terms of warmer/colder it's a bit more ambiguous than that, bc the lead shortwave is precluding an early cut-off, by dampening the primary. Net-Net, the lead shortwave being stronger is a positive moreso bc it forces the storm further east, before the final phasing. In this case, given the broad circulation and moisture feed of the Atl it's a VERY good thing to be west of this beast. I think the risk is now shifting towards a further east solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Well, that is going to be some serious damage to the coastline in eastern MA. That's pretty much going to shut down 3A in Plymouth. I still expect to be all rain. Anyone have an idea on what the wind gusts will be like? Manomet loses power from a sparrow fart. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Rock out with your COC out two Wednesdays in a row. These 12z runs so far are making me a hair nervous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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