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March 2-4th ... first -NAO anchored storm perhaps in years


Typhoon Tip

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  On 2/28/2018 at 1:54 AM, HoarfrostHubb said:

Every 6 hours a totally different look...

I would not be shook if it went from 30” to 3” for my hood

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I would be shocked if  it went back to a non event....I think over night guidance will be immense and the magnitude of this event will begin to come into focus.

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  On 2/28/2018 at 1:50 AM, powderfreak said:

But I agree with him that those are the "most likely" spots and also from a purely climo standpoint it makes sense.  The mix of possible QPF and slightly colder thermal profiles.  

It's just a first stab and hard to argue with "most likely."

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His area at lower coastal elevation isn’t likely to see more snow than say NW CT imo 

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  On 2/28/2018 at 1:33 AM, Ginx snewx said:

Have you noticed every one of your posts for the last month has included your itinerary 

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LOL--my new job has me traveling a lot.  And, I've gone 3 of 4 with weather-related flight cancelations the last month or so. 

  On 2/28/2018 at 1:39 AM, Damage In Tolland said:

Needs to be brought into NE and NW CT . Possibly NW RI. 

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I'm shocked that you would say that.  :)

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  On 2/28/2018 at 2:00 AM, CoastalWx said:

Its not showing for some reason.  

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I put it In his quote

Its basically a snow storm from 3am fri am to Well after the model ends.

Does try to wrap milder air into essex County and se nh as friday evening winds on as the e wind outlasts the drain

3-4" qpf and still going

Tad more se areas

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  On 2/28/2018 at 2:13 AM, sbos_wx said:

The interaction is delayed as I suspected. Remains to be seen whether or not this is delayed but not denied, or a bad run.

Generally more early interaction has been better

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My initial reaction is that the earlier the better as it can gain some latitude out in the Midwest before getting pushed ESE as it hits the block over New England.  

But if it still bombs under Long Island it won't matter for SNE.

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