StormSurge Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 On 2/27/2018 at 5:19 PM, Hoth said: Complete non sequitor, but if you've ever seen her house, it sits about 80 feet up on a bluff in Watch Hill. Apparently a few freak waves in '38 got so high that they knocked out the ground floor windows. Expand If you squint... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 On 2/27/2018 at 5:08 PM, ORH_wxman said: Nice low evolution on the GEFS....goes from Erie, PA to smack over Taylor Swift's house to smack over the benchmark in 12 hour intervals each time. Expand Looks further inland to me. More over Wingham/Willimantic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 On 2/27/2018 at 5:22 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: It’s rain, and a ton of it for most. Enjoy Expand Glad we don’t live there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 On 2/27/2018 at 5:20 PM, dryslot said: I have been to westerly before, Probably drove right by it. Expand My cousin once had a date with her brother at that house. Stole a guitar pick out of his car haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 3" on the GEFS Mean now over NE MA up into NHand S ME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 On 2/27/2018 at 5:25 PM, ORH_wxman said: GEFS still has spread to the north too...maybe low goes over dendrite's fanny? Expand Don’t say that, flooding potential would be yuge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 On 2/27/2018 at 5:27 PM, StormSurge said: If you squint... Expand Nice! Looks like shot roughly around the Jeffries' house? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 On 2/27/2018 at 5:29 PM, Hoth said: My cousin once had a date with her brother at that house. Stole a guitar pick out of his car haha. Expand Today with all the video surveillance they would have had him on the ground before the car door closed...................lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 On 2/27/2018 at 5:29 PM, jbenedet said: Don’t say that, flooding potential would be yuge. Expand Mostly tongue in cheek...it's hard to buy the GFS/GEFS suite (particularly the northern most ensemble members) given that all the other 12z guidance is way south of it. We'll see what the Euro says soon, but I'll bet it's more on the Ukie/GGEM train. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 Hoping euro goes weaker than 0z and toward bermuda Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 Who woulda thought the GFS would be the furthest north 3 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 gefs are useless now. they will follow the op wherever it goes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 On 2/27/2018 at 5:28 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Glad we don’t live there Expand Look again. Temps don't crash at 850 until just before 00z Saturday. By that time you've seen around 2" of rain on the mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 On 2/27/2018 at 5:33 PM, JC-CT said: gefs are useless now. they will follow the op wherever it goes. Expand It seems the case especially once you get closer in. 4-5 days out, they can still offer some ideas, though even then they do tend to mimic the OP more than you'd like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 On 2/27/2018 at 5:32 PM, ORH_wxman said: Who woulda thought the GFS would be the furthest north 3 days out. Expand Especially when 8 of those members were south of 35 N. Lat just 24 hours ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 On 2/27/2018 at 5:33 PM, JC-CT said: gefs are useless now. they will follow the op wherever it goes. Expand I’ve noticed that this year, agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 On 2/27/2018 at 5:34 PM, ORH_wxman said: It seems the case especially once you get closer in. 4-5 days out, they can still offer some ideas, though even then they do tend to mimic the OP more than you'd like. Expand Yeah, sorry I meant now that we are within 72 hours. Not, now as opposed to last year or something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormSurge Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 On 2/27/2018 at 5:30 PM, Hoth said: Nice! Looks like shot roughly around the Jeffries' house? Expand 5th tee Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 Mid levels are over Kevin's head and he's happy? Am I missing something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 On 2/27/2018 at 5:36 PM, sbos_wx said: Mid levels are over Kevin's head and he's happy? Am I missing something Expand nope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 Well there is a cut off to when you switch to the OP run, Where that is can be debatable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 I don't think we'll be hearing from our friend in MD today about the 40 inches from DC to ME, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 On 2/27/2018 at 5:36 PM, sbos_wx said: Mid levels are over Kevin's head and he's happy? Am I missing something Expand You? No. Him? Reality. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 On 2/27/2018 at 5:36 PM, sbos_wx said: Mid levels are over Kevin's head and he's happy? Am I missing something Expand If we factor in the warm bias in thermals, to be fair, it would be snowy west of the rivah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 On 2/27/2018 at 5:34 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: Look again. Temps don't crash at 850 until just before 00z Saturday. By that time you've seen around 2" of rain on the mean. Expand Are you saying a Rainer is happening? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 On 2/27/2018 at 5:36 PM, StormSurge said: 5th tee Expand Oh I see. I used to wind up in the sand on the right of the green all the freaking time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 On 2/27/2018 at 5:39 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Are you saying a Rainer is happening? Expand Are you saying there will be no rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 A lot of the GEFS members do actually give some decent CCB snows once the system sinks SE to the benchmark...so looking at the 72 hour panels can be a bit deceptive. This isn't over Ginxy on it's way to PWM...it goes SE and still has a ton of easterly flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 On 2/27/2018 at 5:36 PM, sbos_wx said: Mid levels are over Kevin's head and he's happy? Am I missing something Expand Guess you aren’t factoring in their bias? We do Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 You get the 850 low below you in a dynamic setup, and its snow...don’t care what the precip maps show. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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