purduewx80 Posted March 15, 2018 Share Posted March 15, 2018 7 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Stalls Epo is going negative along with a dip in the nao Good times the NAO dip comes with the cold shot this weekend, then it eases back towards neutral or positive when this storm is being modeled on the 20th/21st. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted March 15, 2018 Share Posted March 15, 2018 Storm looks to be very long duration, with a snow thump Tuesday, maybe some mixing, then a long duration light/moderate snow for days... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted March 15, 2018 Share Posted March 15, 2018 10 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Stalls Epo is going negative along with a dip in the nao Good times I agree!!! For those that already got slammed.... another storm that’s going rely on rates and night to get anything done in the city. We will need to thread the needle big time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 15, 2018 Share Posted March 15, 2018 4 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: I agree!!! For those that already got slammed.... another storm that’s going rely on rates and night to get anything done in the city. We will need to thread the needle big time Night time will be better here I think this storm will have enough cold air for everyone with the epo press. Of course it will depend on the track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JetsPens87 Posted March 15, 2018 Share Posted March 15, 2018 7 minutes ago, purduewx80 said: the NAO dip comes with the cold shot this weekend, then it eases back towards neutral or positive when this storm is being modeled on the 20th/21st. That’s okay though many of our big storms have come on the heels of dip in the NAO as it heads back towards neutral or positive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 15, 2018 Share Posted March 15, 2018 10 minutes ago, Zelocita Weather said: Storm looks to be very long duration, with a snow thump Tuesday, maybe some mixing, then a long duration light/moderate snow for days... Which would mean little stickage during the day, even though the gfs has like 12-18" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 15, 2018 Share Posted March 15, 2018 Anthony masiello ( HM on Americanwx ) mentioned how this storm coming up might be similiar to March 1958 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 15, 2018 Share Posted March 15, 2018 2 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Anthony masiello ( HM on Americanwx ) mentioned how this storm coming up might be similiar to March 1958 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 15, 2018 Share Posted March 15, 2018 Even the 12z GFS has a burst of snow early this evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 15, 2018 Share Posted March 15, 2018 The 12z UKMET has an extremely late transfer http://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/map-explorer.php?lang=en&map=na&run=12&mod=ukmet&stn=PNM&comp=1&run2=12&mod2=ukmet&stn2=PNM&hh2=000&fixhh=1&stn2_type=prog&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&hh=144 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbear5 Posted March 15, 2018 Share Posted March 15, 2018 6 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: The 12z UKMET has an extremely late transfer I may be mistaken, but that appears to be yesterday's 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 15, 2018 Share Posted March 15, 2018 3 minutes ago, weatherbear5 said: I may be mistaken, but that appears to be yesterday's 12z That's because of this stupid site, oh well. I will just post the link instead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tornadocane Posted March 15, 2018 Share Posted March 15, 2018 19 minutes ago, weatherbear5 said: I may be mistaken, but that appears to be yesterday's 12z It says Initialized Thursday Mar 15 at 12:00z. That's today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
romba Posted March 15, 2018 Share Posted March 15, 2018 At least we have more potential snow to track before cut off low season. Cant wait for the weekend so we can get the Mesos on this puppy. With all the models involved then the odds of at least one per cycle showing lots of snow goes up significantly. Of course that has no bearing on what we actually receive but my 4 year old son gets very excited when we’re under the very dark blue on a model lol....I personally don’t care either way...not at all.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cut Posted March 15, 2018 Share Posted March 15, 2018 1 minute ago, Tornadocane said: It says Initialized Thursday Mar 15 at 12:00z. That's today. That screen grab says Wednesday - but when you click the link it does say Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted March 15, 2018 Share Posted March 15, 2018 47 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Even the 12z GFS has a burst of snow early this evening It's pretty mild here, so I don't see it accumulating except up in the Poconos. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 15, 2018 Share Posted March 15, 2018 So far the Ukmet is the only 12z model with a late transfer rainy solution. Euro up to bat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted March 15, 2018 Author Share Posted March 15, 2018 At least we have something to track I'm really happy about that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 15, 2018 Share Posted March 15, 2018 DC gets a good snowstorm on the Euro Less phased Surface is below freezing here Barely anything up here on this run with the 1st low Some snow with the 2nd low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 15, 2018 Share Posted March 15, 2018 The 12z Euro is suppressed, the second storm coming in behind pretty much acts like a kicker in this sceario What would be best is if storm number one could just get completely out of the way because the setup is actually much better for storm number 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 15, 2018 Share Posted March 15, 2018 DC gets a LOT of snow on that run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 15, 2018 Share Posted March 15, 2018 3 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: DC gets a LOT of snow on that run. So we know it's wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 15, 2018 Share Posted March 15, 2018 Just now, Stormlover74 said: So we know it's wrong I hope they get one. I am snow drunk from the last 2 storms anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted March 15, 2018 Share Posted March 15, 2018 6 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: I hope they get one. I am snow drunk from the last 2 storms anyway. Agreed! I love a good snowstorm and that wish has been granted. They've been missing out, and I want my lawn back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Enigma Posted March 15, 2018 Share Posted March 15, 2018 Every storm has come NW. This will end up hitting Boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JetsPens87 Posted March 15, 2018 Share Posted March 15, 2018 2 hours ago, NJwx85 said: The 12z Euro is suppressed, the second storm coming in behind pretty much acts like a kicker in this sceario What would be best is if storm number one could just get completely out of the way because the setup is actually much better for storm number 2. This can easily be done with two lows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 15, 2018 Share Posted March 15, 2018 16 minutes ago, JetsPens87 said: This can easily be done with two lows. It can be done, but it complicates things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted March 15, 2018 Share Posted March 15, 2018 I'm sure we're far out enough that the globals will be providing quite differing solutions. Still wait and see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 15, 2018 Share Posted March 15, 2018 Wasn't December 05 2003 a double low? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted March 15, 2018 Share Posted March 15, 2018 8 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Wasn't December 05 2003 a double low? After looking at some of the 12Z guidance that storm I was remembering that one too -- http://www.raymondcmartinjr.com/weather/2004/05-Dec-03.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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