HoarfrostHubb Posted February 23, 2018 Share Posted February 23, 2018 While it won’t effect a ton of folks on the board, it could be a messy to decent event for some on here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 23, 2018 Author Share Posted February 23, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 23, 2018 Author Share Posted February 23, 2018 Not buying the TT GFS snowmap. A lot of sleet maybe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted February 23, 2018 Share Posted February 23, 2018 4 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Not buying the TT GFS snowmap. A lot of sleet maybe? Definitely alot of sleet in there south of Con, but the warm nose aloft was less pronounced on the gfs than the nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted February 23, 2018 Share Posted February 23, 2018 looks like quite the scalping for many of us Sunday morning .. wouldn't surprise me if the surface to 900 mb layer continued to tick colder leading up this. High pressure is initially in an ok spot but slips to the east pretty quick. Still a solid CAD signal - especially CNE / NNE. Too bad the antecedent airmass is garbage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 23, 2018 Share Posted February 23, 2018 Going to be another case where we get another over-performer of a cold tuck.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted February 23, 2018 Share Posted February 23, 2018 Will be a nice little event to track for many, wintery appeal at least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 23, 2018 Share Posted February 23, 2018 You can see pretty pronounced kinks in the Isobars running right down the spine of the northern apps--even on the GFS Sunday morning into Sunday afternoon. It's a pretty telling sign to me we'll have a significant CAD drain overnight Saturday into Sunday morning. This event is also timed with the teleconnection flip of the AO and NAO so there could be larger error (to the warm side) in the CAD as a result. Mesolow is also showing up now on all guidance, around 0z Monday. Will want to see if we can get that feature to pop a little sooner to preclude any warm air intrusion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 23, 2018 Share Posted February 23, 2018 Probably flip to some DRZ at the end here, But should see 3-5" of snow beforehand. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 23, 2018 Share Posted February 23, 2018 After the number of mixed bag events this winter I would almost prefer plane rain to accumulating sleet that needs to be cleared. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tunafish Posted February 23, 2018 Share Posted February 23, 2018 I'm going to ride the hot hand of the pope for this when. When you're on, you're on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 23, 2018 Share Posted February 23, 2018 15 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: After the number of mixed bag events this winter I would almost prefer plane rain to accumulating sleet that needs to be cleared. Any frozen is good frozen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 23, 2018 Author Share Posted February 23, 2018 18 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: After the number of mixed bag events this winter I would almost prefer plane rain to accumulating sleet that needs to be cleared. I would prefer sleet to freezing rain... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted February 23, 2018 Share Posted February 23, 2018 Euro looks like it starts as snow/sleet down into N MA. Tough to tell in between levels, but its pretty chilly. Im guessing theres a warm layer between 700-850, but it seems to put on the brakes atleast for a while somewhere in S NH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 23, 2018 Share Posted February 23, 2018 Lakes region of NH over to SW ME looked to jack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 23, 2018 Share Posted February 23, 2018 1 hour ago, dryslot said: Any frozen is good frozen. Not true in my driveway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 23, 2018 Share Posted February 23, 2018 12z euro was slightly colder versus 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 23, 2018 Share Posted February 23, 2018 Has anyone looked into prospect of OES from this? Looks like a prolonged easterly fetch... Euro appears to be hinting at some enhancement along the immediate coast, with much higher qpf amounts from Portland ME down to South Coast of MA, which makes me think that's related to ocean enhancement... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 23, 2018 Share Posted February 23, 2018 12z Euro says Central NH getting 8-12" from this... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 23, 2018 Share Posted February 23, 2018 24 minutes ago, jbenedet said: 12z Euro says Central NH getting 8-12" from this... Lake region jack on the 12z Euro, Looks like 1.1" plus qpf but .4" of that falls tonight into tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 23, 2018 Share Posted February 23, 2018 1 hour ago, dryslot said: Lakes region of NH over to SW ME looked to jack. Shades of 07-08. A 5-8” thump and ending as DZ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted February 23, 2018 Share Posted February 23, 2018 Beautiful day in the neighborhood, 36F and raining. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 23, 2018 Share Posted February 23, 2018 1 minute ago, dendrite said: Shades of 07-08. A 5-8” thump and ending as DZ. Congrats dendrite! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 23, 2018 Share Posted February 23, 2018 18z Nam couple tics colder this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 23, 2018 Share Posted February 23, 2018 14 minutes ago, dryslot said: 18z Nam couple tics colder this run. Big hit here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 23, 2018 Share Posted February 23, 2018 That would be a fun 6hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 23, 2018 Share Posted February 23, 2018 3 minutes ago, dendrite said: Big hit here. Backing out tonight's qpf is about 0.70" for Sunday-Monday here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 23, 2018 Share Posted February 23, 2018 Looks like garbage for most of SNE. Could see some brief sleet/snow in N MA and maybe need to watch for some marginal prolonged ice in N ORH county over to N Berks. But yeah, this could have been a good event for a huge chunk of the forum if the antecedent airmass didn't suck. It does look promising for NH up into ME Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 23, 2018 Share Posted February 23, 2018 Looks like a nice setup for the Lakes Region of NH over to ME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted February 23, 2018 Share Posted February 23, 2018 timing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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