Climate175 Posted February 24, 2018 Share Posted February 24, 2018 It seems like the March 1st-2nd threat seems more like one to southern New-England and the March 6th-7th threat is more favorable for us in the Mid-Atlantic region. Wxrisk is saying the March 6th-7th threat will depend on how the first threat behaves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestminsterSnowCapitalMA Posted February 24, 2018 Share Posted February 24, 2018 at least theres something to track right? my strawberries will be here soon! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 24, 2018 Share Posted February 24, 2018 Verbatim, the Euro would be great next weekend for the mountains in Garrett County and Davis, WV. Upslope conditions FTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 24, 2018 Share Posted February 24, 2018 9 minutes ago, Climate175 said: It seems like the March 1st-2nd threat seems more like one to southern New-England and the March 6th-7th threat is more favorable for us in the Mid-Atlantic region. Wxrisk is saying the March 6th-7th threat will depend on how the first threat behaves. It will in that the March 2 system hanging around too long could wreck the setup for the next system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 24, 2018 Share Posted February 24, 2018 EPS crossed into weenie territory. Figures out more ways to snow on us with the first system (I continue to think this is very unlikely) but the next one in line is gaining steam. Good run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 24, 2018 Author Share Posted February 24, 2018 It will in that the March 2 system hanging around too long could wreck the setup for the next system. Just when u think we clear one obstacle...here is another. Its a wonder how its ever snowed here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 24, 2018 Share Posted February 24, 2018 1 hour ago, AfewUniversesBelowNormal said: All time record is about +700dm I assume you mean 600dm with no superfluous + symbol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 24, 2018 Share Posted February 24, 2018 Heh, there's a lot of far better progressions for the d6 deal on the EPS than what the op had. Seems that a dominant southern low and faster crash of the column is a legit consideration.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 24, 2018 Share Posted February 24, 2018 8 minutes ago, Ji said: 33 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: It will in that the March 2 system hanging around too long could wreck the setup for the next system. Just when u think we clear one obstacle...here is another. Its a wonder how its ever snowed here. I did LOL at that... and its why we go long stretches without warning criteria snows...thats our climo... big hits every so often with long droughts in between. But in this case I doubt the euro op evolution at day 7-9 so I also doubt its way to fail after. But that would be one way to fail...day 7 storm goes north but then slowly retrogrades down the coast blocking anything from the west from being able to amplfy. It would also open the door to ridging to pop just to our west and could even screw up the LONG LONG range. But again...I doubt it even has day 7 right so I am not worried about what it might do day 12. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted February 24, 2018 Share Posted February 24, 2018 EPS crossed into weenie territory. Figures out more ways to snow on us with the first system (I continue to think this is very unlikely) but the next one in line is gaining steam. Good run. The tiny maps please.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 24, 2018 Share Posted February 24, 2018 Not that it means much but there was very nice pickup on the 15 day snowfall means just north/west of the cities and even the cities saw a +1 inch increase. You would almost think the EPS is starting to sniff out the potential with the coming blocking. eta: Some really nice solutions starting to pop up in the mountains. Just don't look at the control run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted February 24, 2018 Share Posted February 24, 2018 Yea...the first weenie run of the eps. Many opportunities and lots of big hits...I'm a bit surprised at the uptick for the day 6-7 deal. Pretty dramatic imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 24, 2018 Share Posted February 24, 2018 8 minutes ago, showmethesnow said: Not that it means much but there was very nice pickup on the 15 day snowfall means just north/west of the cities and even the cities saw a +1 inch increase. You would almost think the EPS is starting to sniff out the potential with the coming blocking. eta: Some really nice solutions starting to pop up in the mountains. Just don't look at the control run. Lots of pinks and mint greens on the individual EPS member snow maps over the mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 24, 2018 Share Posted February 24, 2018 5 minutes ago, poolz1 said: Yea...the first weenie run of the eps. Many opportunities and lots of big hits...I'm a bit surprised at the uptick for the day 6-7 deal. Pretty dramatic imo. I scanned through them. Most are dynamically driven borderline temp solutions. Snow output is way way overstated on the panels. A couple in there are legit though but few and far between. This is one of those times where snow output is very misleading. There's a way to win I suppose but I'm mostly interested from the 6th onward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 24, 2018 Share Posted February 24, 2018 1 minute ago, nj2va said: Lots of pinks and mint greens on the individual EPS member snow maps over the mountains. About time someone starts planning a chase out to the mountains?@C.A.P.E.? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted February 24, 2018 Share Posted February 24, 2018 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: I scanned through them. Most are dynamically driven borderline temp solutions. Snow output is way way overstated on the panels. A couple in there are legit though but few and far between. This is one of those times where snow output is very misleading. There's a way to win I suppose but I'm mostly interested from the 6th onward. Yep, I agree. Took a look at them as well. Gonna have to be a dynamic bomb to overcome temps...all or nothing deal. Interesting to see that some of the members that smack us with the first one seem to setting up nicely for the one after. Wait and see but a good trend from what has been a stingy eps lately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 24, 2018 Share Posted February 24, 2018 8 minutes ago, nj2va said: Lots of pinks and mint greens on the individual EPS member snow maps over the mountains. You will be in a great spot out in Garret county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestminsterSnowCapitalMA Posted February 24, 2018 Share Posted February 24, 2018 imagine if those mountains weren't setup there. We might lose our CAD, but i think we would make up with it for all the snow that doesnt make it over the tops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 24, 2018 Share Posted February 24, 2018 48 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Heh, there's a lot of far better progressions for the d6 deal on the EPS than what the op had. Seems that a dominant southern low and faster crash of the column is a legit consideration.... We may be ignoring something in plain sight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 24, 2018 Share Posted February 24, 2018 1 hour ago, Bob Chill said: EPS crossed into weenie territory. Figures out more ways to snow on us with the first system (I continue to think this is very unlikely) but the next one in line is gaining steam. Good run. Good summary, describes where I stand also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestminsterSnowCapitalMA Posted February 24, 2018 Share Posted February 24, 2018 yeah me too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 24, 2018 Share Posted February 24, 2018 59 minutes ago, stormtracker said: We may be ignoring something in plain sight It's the tried and true inverse podiatry method. Storms will defy what is meteorlogically possible and hit us out of spite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 24, 2018 Share Posted February 24, 2018 2 hours ago, psuhoffman said: It will in that the March 2 system hanging around too long could wreck the setup for the next system. Now that WOULD be gut punch given how, at least right now, it appears we could have everything else together, smh So now I'm gonna watch the Friday storm more nervously...If that does nothing but rain on is and then messes up the what could be our biggest chance....sweet mercy above (but at least we'd know a few days in advance, right? Lol) Get that first storm outta here!! (Unless it pulls some kind of miracle...and even then I'm not sure I'd want it at the expense of the second system) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 24, 2018 Share Posted February 24, 2018 1 hour ago, showmethesnow said: About time someone starts planning a chase out to the mountains?@C.A.P.E.? I have been trying to get to Canaan since mid December. Hasn't worked out. I mean, I had to choose Rehoboth over WV in early January With my work schedule coming up, its doable, but only if it falls on a weekend. But if we are talking epic snow there, and the usual crap in the lower elevations, hell yeah I would make the effort. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 24, 2018 Share Posted February 24, 2018 42 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: It's the tried and true inverse podiatry method. Storms will defy what is meteorlogically possible and hit us out of spite. sounds like we have a possible plantar fasciitis storm on our hands...or feet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 24, 2018 Share Posted February 24, 2018 Just some slight differences on the 18z GFS at h5 and with the low position on the 6th. I will risk stating the obvious... we just cant know yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 24, 2018 Share Posted February 24, 2018 that is what I can say. Meh about this run. Good and Bad. Just fun we are still in the game and such a dynamic H5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 24, 2018 Author Share Posted February 24, 2018 Just some slight differences on the 18z GFS at h5 and with the low position on the 6th. I will risk stating the obvious... we just cant know yet.I doubt you will get the same solution 10 days out between runs lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 24, 2018 Share Posted February 24, 2018 1 minute ago, Ji said: 5 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: Just some slight differences on the 18z GFS at h5 and with the low position on the 6th. I will risk stating the obvious... we just cant know yet. I doubt you will get the same solution 10 days out between runs lol Lol I know. Its happy hour. At least we somehow manage some snow this run, even if it is weak sauce. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 24, 2018 Share Posted February 24, 2018 5 minutes ago, Ji said: 9 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: Just some slight differences on the 18z GFS at h5 and with the low position on the 6th. I will risk stating the obvious... we just cant know yet. I doubt you will get the same solution 10 days out between runs lol Not gonna lie..not liking the 18z..nope I don’t like it...none of it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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