Bob Chill Posted February 24, 2018 Share Posted February 24, 2018 Heh, cmc is on the same page.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 24, 2018 Share Posted February 24, 2018 We need the Euro to come in here and regulate this situation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 24, 2018 Share Posted February 24, 2018 Hmmm... CMC h5 at 240 looks familar... And Bob beat me to it lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 24, 2018 Share Posted February 24, 2018 5 minutes ago, Amped said: 500MB low going due east off HSE? What could go wrong? IDK but my memory only last 4 years and 11 months. I learned a lot from that storm. Would much rather have the upper level low moving from southwest to northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 24, 2018 Share Posted February 24, 2018 1 minute ago, BristowWx said: We need the Euro to come in here and regulate this situation. Eps had some big hits during the same time frame.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 24, 2018 Share Posted February 24, 2018 2 minutes ago, BristowWx said: We need the Euro to come in here and regulate this situation. Euro would stop at 240 though... we need a Day 11 Euro lol But there were a couple massive EPS hits at 12z for this timeframe that the 00z GFS is hinting on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 24, 2018 Share Posted February 24, 2018 1 minute ago, Chris78 said: I learned a lot from that storm. Would much rather have the upper level low moving from southwest to northeast. I'd take my chances with the same setup. It's not like the storm didn't happen like some of the other gut punches. It just broke the wrong way at game time. Closed upper level lows often do unexpected things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 24, 2018 Share Posted February 24, 2018 00z GEFS should be fun to see if it follows the OP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 24, 2018 Share Posted February 24, 2018 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: I'd take my chances with the same setup. It's not like the storm didn't happen like some of the other gut punches. It just broke the wrong way at game time. Closed upper level lows often do unexpected things. I agree 100%. More often than not we would end up doing well . When Richmond was getting thunder snow i knew we were in trouble. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 24, 2018 Share Posted February 24, 2018 Well then maybe this is the one. I knew it. Out of town and headed to a sunny warm place. Damn it. No other choice but to just quit my job. Jobs are plentiful but closed contour ULL are rare. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thanatos_I_Am Posted February 24, 2018 Share Posted February 24, 2018 14 minutes ago, Amped said: Looks identical to a forecast map from the storm I'm not naming. Which one was that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted February 24, 2018 Share Posted February 24, 2018 1 minute ago, Thanatos_I_Am said: Which one was that? On 3/6/2013 at 9:57 AM, RTutton said: Hello from RVA! 2 inches in the Fan, 1 mile west of VCU. And this is for the DC/Balt crowd thinking that the MA forums are exclusively for them. This was taken 30 minutes ago when we were just starting to accumulate. On 3/6/2013 at 10:00 AM, mattmfm said: so, 4am concerns were warranted. what a disaster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 24, 2018 Share Posted February 24, 2018 Oh man, gefs looks pretty sweet. This one might be real....for someone on the east coast... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MountainGeek Posted February 24, 2018 Share Posted February 24, 2018 17 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Oh man, gefs looks pretty sweet. This one might be real....for someone on the east coast... Don't make me stay up for the Euro...... Chill are you gonna do PBP? Should at least be able to extrapolate... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 24, 2018 Share Posted February 24, 2018 Wow! GEFS loves that time period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 24, 2018 Share Posted February 24, 2018 10 minutes ago, Cobalt said: Yup.. not panicking though, cause it's still in fantasy land. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 24, 2018 Share Posted February 24, 2018 We can work inside of this spread. 0z has been kind so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted February 24, 2018 Share Posted February 24, 2018 Pretty crazy consensus 11 days out. Of course it's 11 days out but it was worth noting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 24, 2018 Share Posted February 24, 2018 This is a good visual of what the 12z EPS was thinking about for the 6th-8th. If 0z jumps like the gefs then this is going to get interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 24, 2018 Share Posted February 24, 2018 26 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: I'd take my chances with the same setup. It's not like the storm didn't happen like some of the other gut punches. It just broke the wrong way at game time. Closed upper level lows often do unexpected things. So what should we think if the setup were to verify this way? After 2013, seems like even if it looks good 24 hours before, you still wouldn't be able to trust it since those kind of lows do unexpected things...(I wasn't really model watching back in 2013--and hadn't even discovered this forum...but I do remember the bust painfully well). I .ean, I know we're in fantasy range still, but you'd hate to see a repeat... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 24, 2018 Share Posted February 24, 2018 7 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: So what should we think if the setup were to verify this way? After 2013, seems like even if it looks good 24 hours before, you still wouldn't be able to trust it since those kind of lows do unexpected things...(I wasn't really model watching back in 2013--and hadn't even discovered this forum...but I do remember the bust painfully well). I .ean, I know we're in fantasy range still, but you'd hate to see a repeat... 2013 just broke the wrong way. It was very close to a solid hit but as with all storms, you have to bite your nails until it starts snowing. I wouldn't worry about a repeat or the discussion of a repeat until at least 8 days from now. That's an eternity. Only thing we should worry about is the storm surviving the transition from the long to the medium range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 24, 2018 Share Posted February 24, 2018 00z Euro snow map at 192 is the lulz... NE MD gets close to 10 inches... DC sneaks toward 1 to 2 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thanatos_I_Am Posted February 24, 2018 Share Posted February 24, 2018 5 minutes ago, yoda said: 00z Euro snow map at 192 is the lulz... NE MD gets close to 10 inches... DC sneaks toward 1 to 2 inches This has got to be the weirdest evolution I have ever seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted February 24, 2018 Share Posted February 24, 2018 Just now, Thanatos_I_Am said: This has got to be the weirdest evolution I have ever seen. Reminds me a lot of Feb 23-28 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted February 24, 2018 Share Posted February 24, 2018 3 hours ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: ...boom! If this verifies, I will run streaking down Dale Blvd at 3am and I will get it on video. In the snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 24, 2018 Share Posted February 24, 2018 7 hours ago, Sigmo_45 said: You think it's over for us down here for the winter? I don't know why they are messing with you. It can snow in Roanoke in March (2.1" average) and a severe block is what you want. In march 1960 Roanoke had 30.3". 1958 14.8" and 1969 13.8". Those were blocking events. That doesn't mean snow is a lock or likely but when is it ever? Your not totally out of it. History says your not and I'm not using a day 11 model run to determine much of anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 24, 2018 Share Posted February 24, 2018 7 hours ago, Cobalt said: I'd be fine with calling it a half decade if that verifies. Lol I wish but people said the same in 2016 then a year later were complaining constantly about 2017. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 24, 2018 Share Posted February 24, 2018 7 hours ago, Amped said: 500MB low going due east off HSE? What could go wrong? IDK but my memory only last 4 years and 11 months. Yea lots can go wrong. Or next time in that setup the h5 tracks 100 miles north and we get a foot. But we're in the game too early to worry about how we're going to fail. Don't worry I'll do that plenty once it's inside 100 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeathermanB Posted February 24, 2018 Share Posted February 24, 2018 Great strawberry milkshake colors on 00z Euro for 192 hours out. But could be underperforming on the NAO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 24, 2018 Share Posted February 24, 2018 I’ll take the Euro and run. Double digit snow up this way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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