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Morch Madness Negative NAO Long Range discussion


Ji

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  On 2/26/2018 at 10:46 PM, Ji said:
  On 2/26/2018 at 10:44 PM, WestminsterSnowCapitalMA said:
That low in cancun on gfs definitely gonna come up the coast  in 10 days
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Lol a low actually popped of the va coast

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I like the look on the GFS from the 6th through the 10th. A lot of moisture running along the golf coast during that time period. The ull near the great lakes is squashing everything but place that more north and east and something could amplify and run the coast.

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  On 2/26/2018 at 10:55 PM, BristowWx said:
That look on the later part of the op is the look I dread seeing.  High pressure moving off the coast as a wave of warmth heads east.  You know that high wants to become a SE ridge.  A big fat one.
Way different pattern but somehow we still have South East Ridge cutters and warmth
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  On 2/26/2018 at 11:15 PM, Ji said:
  On 2/26/2018 at 10:55 PM, BristowWx said:
That look on the later part of the op is the look I dread seeing.  High pressure moving off the coast as a wave of warmth heads east.  You know that high wants to become a SE ridge.  A big fat one.
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Way different pattern but somehow we still have South East Ridge cutters and warmth

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We live in the wrong part of the world! Time for a move to Garrett county!

 

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  On 2/26/2018 at 11:15 PM, Ji said:
  On 2/26/2018 at 10:55 PM, BristowWx said:
That look on the later part of the op is the look I dread seeing.  High pressure moving off the coast as a wave of warmth heads east.  You know that high wants to become a SE ridge.  A big fat one.
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Way different pattern but somehow we still have South East Ridge cutters and warmth

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Yeah....but maybe it’s wrong.  We might have just put too much emphasis on the NAO.  PAC just isn’t right.  Bad timing or whatever and we don’t have time for it to correct.  

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  On 2/26/2018 at 11:58 PM, BristowWx said:

Yeah....but maybe it’s wrong.  We might have just put too much emphasis on the NAO.  PAC just isn’t right.  Bad timing or whatever and we don’t have time for it to correct.  

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Didn't @psuhoffman mention the analogs of a few successful March storms where the PAC was hostile but the -NAO was great?

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  On 2/27/2018 at 12:22 AM, BristowWx said:

Yeah need to go north or up in elevation.  Still think something will break in our favor.  If not winter ended ended really early this year even by our standards.  

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This doesn't look half bad to me. I agree with you  Bristow. Something will break right for us believers in PWC and it looks to be around March 8th!!

 

gfs_z500aNorm_us_40.pngith you Bristow; something will break right for us this winter for us believers in PWC and it looks to be around March 8th!!

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  On 2/27/2018 at 12:40 AM, Wonderdog said:

This doesn't look half bad to me. I agree with you  Bristow. Something will break right for us believers in PWC and it looks to be around March 8th!!

 

gfs_z500aNorm_us_40.pngith you Bristow; something will break right for us this winter for us believers in PWC and it looks to be around March 8th!!

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Can it be March 9th or 10th?  That’s when I get home from my current boondoggle.  I’d like to land at IAD under a WSW.  

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