Ginx snewx Posted February 22, 2018 Author Share Posted February 22, 2018 ya know whats cool, people are snowing in NY with 5H at 5760, yea pretty colors will get ya everytime Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
backedgeapproaching Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 Nothing hitting the ground here-solid hour of virga so far. 34/19 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 Not a drop or a flake here so far, still a pretty bright cloud deck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 I'm right on the water in Everett and all sleet immediately. No rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 Where do people get aircraft profiles? Or other source of realtime soundings? I generally use Plymouth State Vortex RAP soundings (http://vortex.plymouth.edu/myo/fx/raobfx.html) and Bufkit data (http://www.meteor.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/bufkit/data/) but wondering if there are better sources. RAP washes out that 750-850 warm layer in the next hour or so. And then surface should wetbulb as heavier rates move in. Date: 1 hour valid 15Z THU 22 FEB 18 Station: 42.37,-71.02 Latitude: 42.37 Longitude: -71.02 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- LEV PRES HGHT TEMP DEWP RH DD WETB DIR SPD THETA THE-V THE-W THE-E W mb m C C % C C deg knt K K K K g/kg ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SFC 1034 31 6.0 -3.3 51 9.3 2.3 19 7 276.5 277.0 273.7 284.5 2.89 1 1000 304 2.2 -5.6 56 7.9 -0.7 18 10 275.4 275.8 272.5 282.3 2.50 2 950 712 -1.5 -7.5 64 6.0 -3.6 17 9 275.6 276.0 272.3 282.0 2.28 3 900 1142 -1.2 -13.6 38 12.4 -5.0 333 5 280.2 280.5 273.8 284.6 1.48 4 850 1598 0.2 -22.8 16 23.0 -5.6 296 12 286.4 286.5 275.9 288.6 0.72 5 800 2083 -0.1 -4.1 74 4.0 -1.8 277 18 291.1 291.7 281.9 301.4 3.52 6 750 2600 -0.1 -0.5 97 0.4 -0.3 252 33 296.4 297.3 285.7 310.9 4.91 7 700 3153 -0.6 -1.1 96 0.5 -0.9 243 47 301.8 302.7 287.8 317.0 5.04 8 650 3744 -2.8 -3.6 94 0.8 -3.1 243 53 305.8 306.7 288.6 319.7 4.52 9 600 4375 -5.7 -7.2 89 1.5 -6.4 245 56 309.5 310.2 289.1 321.1 3.70 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 32.9/19 11am. Radar shows lots of precip over C NH and W NH but from my vantage point its all high virga. I have the 40 mile view SW to Sunapee and virga level seems very high. Timelapse from 10-11am https://video.nest.com/clip/87d137926bbb44c7bba38602eb065331.mp4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 39.8 / 25 we ping Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 7 minutes ago, wxsniss said: Where do people get aircraft profiles? Or other source of realtime soundings? I generally use Plymouth State Vortex RAP soundings (http://vortex.plymouth.edu/myo/fx/raobfx.html) and Bufkit data (http://www.meteor.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/bufkit/data/) but wondering if there are better sources. RAP washes out that 750-850 warm layer in the next hour or so. And then surface should wetbulb as heavier rates move in. Date: 1 hour valid 15Z THU 22 FEB 18 Station: 42.37,-71.02 Latitude: 42.37 Longitude: -71.02 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- LEV PRES HGHT TEMP DEWP RH DD WETB DIR SPD THETA THE-V THE-W THE-E W mb m C C % C C deg knt K K K K g/kg ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SFC 1034 31 6.0 -3.3 51 9.3 2.3 19 7 276.5 277.0 273.7 284.5 2.89 1 1000 304 2.2 -5.6 56 7.9 -0.7 18 10 275.4 275.8 272.5 282.3 2.50 2 950 712 -1.5 -7.5 64 6.0 -3.6 17 9 275.6 276.0 272.3 282.0 2.28 3 900 1142 -1.2 -13.6 38 12.4 -5.0 333 5 280.2 280.5 273.8 284.6 1.48 4 850 1598 0.2 -22.8 16 23.0 -5.6 296 12 286.4 286.5 275.9 288.6 0.72 5 800 2083 -0.1 -4.1 74 4.0 -1.8 277 18 291.1 291.7 281.9 301.4 3.52 6 750 2600 -0.1 -0.5 97 0.4 -0.3 252 33 296.4 297.3 285.7 310.9 4.91 7 700 3153 -0.6 -1.1 96 0.5 -0.9 243 47 301.8 302.7 287.8 317.0 5.04 8 650 3744 -2.8 -3.6 94 0.8 -3.1 243 53 305.8 306.7 288.6 319.7 4.52 9 600 4375 -5.7 -7.2 89 1.5 -6.4 245 56 309.5 310.2 289.1 321.1 3.70 I don't know if they have it public. I have a UN and PW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 35 minutes ago, jbenedet said: I agree. All things considered a high temp anywhere in NE near 60 would be quite the victory for you and MOS, considering this latest nam guidance-- have to get to Northern Virginiia before you can find the 60's I think considering the points I outlined above...it's not that big of victory. There's no special insight being lobbied here - all those points are climo for our region, as well, take into consideration meteorology. I would suggest (again) that MOS numbers sticking out for that day so warm like a island amid colder days Friday and Sunday that prooobabbly is telling. They are sensing these synoptics... and is more likely that climate normalization in the MOS is the real reason why you are not seeing 60's - of course, I don't know what you mean by "considering the latest nam guidance" - that's a black box. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 Overcast here and 41F. Snowing at Mt Snow per webcams with the fanguns going. About 1/2" new at the summit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 It's all sleet in heavier bursts and very light rain otherwise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 Lot of pinging here the past 30 minutes. Goes in waves...we go from virga to pinging. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 Light snow sleet mix at work in ludlow just started changing over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 Light sleet now, no rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 22, 2018 Author Share Posted February 22, 2018 Pretty happy this is panning out as I envisioned several days back. Scooter highs are where its at. I hoped on this train alone and had to drag Kev on kicking and screaming. The flip is pretty damn rare. I mean 80s to snow inside 24, did we move to Denver? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Pretty happy this is panning out as I envisioned several days back. Scooter highs are where its at. I hoped on this train alone and had to drag Kev on kicking and screaming. The flip is pretty damn rare. I mean 80s to snow inside 24, did we move to Denver? Yes sir...nice call. Meteorology wins every time....You definitely schooled your friend from Tolland on this one. And I too was thinking this is like a Denver set up with near 80 one day, to snowing the next...remarkable for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Pretty happy this is panning out as I envisioned several days back. Scooter highs are where its at. I hoped on this train alone and had to drag Kev on kicking and screaming. The flip is pretty damn rare. I mean 80s to snow inside 24, did we move to Denver? It was a good call but you were in good company, if I don't say so myself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 Could someone post BOS sounding for this current time frame from gfs or nam? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 24 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I don't know if they have it public. I have a UN and PW. Thanks Yeah pretty cool 24hr flip in what's been a relatively meh February. At this point in most of SNE, column is <0C except for bottom 300 meters or so, so rates + elevation will be key. Radar returns over PA/NY looking healthy but we're racing against dry air as that high pushes down. HRRRs have been ticking more dry. But even a coating would be impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 Pike south may be best spot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 22, 2018 Author Share Posted February 22, 2018 6 minutes ago, jbenedet said: It was a good call but you were in good company, if I don't say so myself. Aspetia santus un Padre santus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 11 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Pretty happy this is panning out as I envisioned several days back. Scooter highs are where its at. I hoped on this train alone and had to drag Kev on kicking and screaming. The flip is pretty damn rare. I mean 80s to snow inside 24, did we move to Denver? Who wasn't on the train for some frozen other than kevin? It's just relatively meh compared to shattering monthly heat records so it didn't get a lot of talk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 Sounds like Kev caught a case of the modelogy with this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 22, 2018 Author Share Posted February 22, 2018 Just now, dendrite said: Who wasn't on the train for some frozen other than kevin? It's just relatively meh compared to shattering monthly heat records so it didn't get a lot of talk. On the 19th? Dude it was me and the Pope, no models had it, Bob and Kev thought I was nutz. everything was in PA. I posted a GEFS CAD look and said I could see that PA stuff bleeding east and then posted I wonder what day the media will pick up on this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 22, 2018 Author Share Posted February 22, 2018 I don't think the flip is Meh, wish those downplaying this would show examples the last time we went from ~80 to snow in 18 hrs in Feb . Its as rare as it gets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: On the 19th? Dude it was me and the Pope, no models had it, Bob and Kev thought I was nutz. everything was in PA. I posted a GEFS CAD look and said I could see that PA stuff bleeding east and then posted I wonder what day the media will pick up on this. Give yourself an attaboy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 The temp contrast is very impressive, but nothing else is. Been light sleet here in Lynn for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 Pretty good size sleet for whatever reason Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 It's rinkydink overrunning. I've been telling my mom for days she may see some snow. idk...it just wasn't a big deal to me considering we're in Feb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 Just now, dendrite said: It's rinkydink overrunning. I've been telling my mom for days she may see some snow. idk...it just wasn't a big deal to me considering we're in Feb. Yea, the frozen precip aspect is garbage...as threats go, it wasn't worth any mind imo. Just notable in that it came on the heels of such warmth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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