Ginx snewx Posted February 18, 2018 Share Posted February 18, 2018 9 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Don’t get these posts. What are they doing? Bethlehem township NJ 9 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 18, 2018 Share Posted February 18, 2018 4 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: When the thing starts to deepen a little faster as it's exiting south of Long Island there may be a band or two that blossoms over Easter mass and Rhode Island exit style due to lower troposphere surfaces closing off It definitely looks like there will "try" to be a late surge in intensity right before it exits...some guidance almost looks a bit IVT-ish with the upper air support coming in and trying to prolong the snow and yank the isobars back west....it wouldn't shock me if there's some intense snows near the end in eastenr areas and up into southern Maine. Some guidance forms this enhancement too late too. Nowcast deal is if often the case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 18, 2018 Share Posted February 18, 2018 I think there is a possibility someone in eastern CT pops a 9 or 10'' total. Perhaps with some help from an angled stick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 18, 2018 Share Posted February 18, 2018 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Why is anyone looking at models now ? HRRR and Rap trends are perfectly valid to watch during a storm. Key is to not put much creedance into a particular run, but more so the trend of multiple runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 18, 2018 Share Posted February 18, 2018 11 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: 1” in Hubbardston Better snow growth at elevation, .5" of baking powder here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 18, 2018 Share Posted February 18, 2018 49 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Interesting Now cast. Looks like this is going to be right along the South Shore flurries north if rad tells the lead in see how it unfolds Yeah, no way.... That's already wrong. Unless you're trolling. I could see this busting for Maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted February 18, 2018 Share Posted February 18, 2018 7 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: If anything it appears to be a bit earlier so hard to tell if north/south. Jusding on it though I think it's a tad NE. There was never with this but it looked like 850 would never develop until it was like around Block Island or something. But given it's development now, this could really enhance some higher amounts possible across like NE CT/RI and interior SE MA depending on track and how strong it gets Gotcha... closing in on 3" here by eye... will go out at 10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 18, 2018 Share Posted February 18, 2018 some pretty decent lapse rates too with the main s/w Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 18, 2018 Share Posted February 18, 2018 18 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: I'm skeptical of the high totals. 5-7" looks to be about it. Agree. But there will be somewhere in RI or SE MA that Jack's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted February 18, 2018 Share Posted February 18, 2018 Just light snow, coating on grass and cars. Wet pavement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 18, 2018 Share Posted February 18, 2018 12 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: When the thing starts to deepen a little faster as it's exiting south of Long Island there may be a band or two that blossoms over Easter mass and Rhode Island exit style due to lower troposphere surfaces closing off It's literally already doing that now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 18, 2018 Share Posted February 18, 2018 1 minute ago, sbos_wx said: Yeah, no way.... That's already wrong. Unless you're trolling. I could see this busting for Maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 18, 2018 Share Posted February 18, 2018 1 minute ago, sbos_wx said: HRRR and Rap trends are perfectly valid to watch during a storm. Key is to not put much creedance into a particular run, but more so the trend of multiple runs. Don't cloud the thread with unbiased model interpretation! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 18, 2018 Share Posted February 18, 2018 Seymour CT 30 degrees - 4.8” total - 1.6” last hour.. Another great band moving in.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 18, 2018 Share Posted February 18, 2018 Parts of NYC have 5 (Bronx) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 18, 2018 Share Posted February 18, 2018 1 minute ago, tavwtby said: Gotcha... closing in on 3" here by eye... will go out at 10. I think there might have been one run of the NAM a few days back that like was suggesting an earlier development/closing off but other than that it, along with other models were consistent on this happening much later on and further east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 18, 2018 Share Posted February 18, 2018 Just now, OceanStWx said: Trust me. Maine has it's pros and cons. Missed a lot of storms south in my year at Bridgton. Seems like this might be a general 1-3 for a large swath of that 3-6 zone if look doesn't change in next hour or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 18, 2018 Share Posted February 18, 2018 Just now, JGNYK03 said: Seymour CT 30 degrees - 4.8” total - 1.6” last hour.. Another great band moving in.. Wow, nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 18, 2018 Share Posted February 18, 2018 Heavy snow. 0.8" last 30 minutes. 1.4" last 60 minutes. 3.6" total snow as of 8:37. 1.5-2"/hr rates currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnno Posted February 18, 2018 Share Posted February 18, 2018 Just got home man is it slick, accidents galore out there on rt 44, closing in on 3” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 18, 2018 Share Posted February 18, 2018 My earlier call about SW CT panning out nicely. Solid fronto banding there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 18, 2018 Share Posted February 18, 2018 Just now, sbos_wx said: Trust me. Maine has it's pros and cons. Missed a lot of storms south in my year at Bridgton. Seems like this might be a general 1-3 for a large swath of that 3-6 zone if look doesn't change in next hour or two. I think the southern section could be in trouble, but the forcing farther east may actually get a bump late tonight when the low really matures (like Will was saying for eastern parts of SNE). At least it's an advisory and not a warning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 18, 2018 Share Posted February 18, 2018 The rt 44 stretch west to Providence and rt 6 to CT near Ginx looks really good in my eyes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 18, 2018 Share Posted February 18, 2018 Just now, OceanStWx said: I think the southern section could be in trouble, but the forcing farther east may actually get a bump late tonight when the low really matures (like Will was saying for eastern parts of SNE). At least it's an advisory and not a warning. Exactly my thought. Sort of in between the initial thump and maturation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 18, 2018 Share Posted February 18, 2018 We dump 1.5 new , HRRR getting a clue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 18, 2018 Share Posted February 18, 2018 Wachusett Mountain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 18, 2018 Share Posted February 18, 2018 4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: We dump 1.5 new , HRRR getting a clue make sure to wipe well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 18, 2018 Share Posted February 18, 2018 Guarantee Bridgeport reports a bogus 2 inches or something. They always under report. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 18, 2018 Share Posted February 18, 2018 Radar returns look poor overhead but it’s moderate to heavy here in Portsmouth NH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 18, 2018 Share Posted February 18, 2018 There is an awfully lot of dry air though out ahead of the main ULL. I wonder if as the ULL moves east if we'll see a re-blossoming of the precipitation shield once it interacts further with the sfc low? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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