CoastalWx Posted February 18, 2018 Share Posted February 18, 2018 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Over aggressive models FTL. The euro was too amped and too cold. We rained here for a few hours. AWT with the 4-7” totals in SNE.... double digits were a pipe dream The euro did pretty good. Maybe a little too wet north of pike, but did well with thermal fields. Congrats on 6” though. Worked well with your 3-5 max two days ago s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 18, 2018 Share Posted February 18, 2018 38 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah if it’s cold and stays. Knowing Godzilla is going to come and blow flames on it makes me not waste my time. You think low 40s will melt the 6” on the driveway? unless your planning to be inside all day, I shoveled around and had my neighbor plow my 200ft driveway. Looks crisp. It’s like making your lawn nice in the spring. Maybe it’s an OCD thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 18, 2018 Share Posted February 18, 2018 When it’s 0c at 925 north of ewb that is a red flag for rain possible just north where it’s warmer at 950. Those algorithms that said all snow near the south coast probably don’t look at much low level stuff. That’s the vendor not model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 18, 2018 Share Posted February 18, 2018 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: You think low 40s will melt the 6” on the driveway? unless your planning to be inside all day, I shoveled around and had my neighbor plow my 200ft driveway. Looks crisp. It’s like making your lawn nice in the spring. Maybe it’s an OCD thing. I guess it depends how much sun exposure it gets? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 18, 2018 Share Posted February 18, 2018 Meh,... comes off as IMBY sour grapes... This thing overproduced and was quite chilly while doing so, all along the eastern end of the Mohawk Trail up here. 6-8" up down rt 2 is a solid warning event that was under-advised. If it was above achievement in some towns and below in anothers, that's a wash when grading models imho - Right now, we have slush with trailing powder thumping from the trees. The snow fell in essentially a calm wind overnight, and now that the sun is bright and relatively hotter per date, and it's passing 32 F already, the big negation commences. This is a geek interesting environmental change this week. This dawn's nadir to Wednesday's acme and experimentally how quickly we lose said nascent snow. I'm almost wondering if the shade sides have some granular vestige that survives. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted February 18, 2018 Share Posted February 18, 2018 I know I'm a bit late to the party - been busy with the flood of sap lately - but I had 5.6". Perfect timing too! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted February 18, 2018 Share Posted February 18, 2018 I shoveled just enough to get the car out....7am hockey....gonna let the rest just melt.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 18, 2018 Share Posted February 18, 2018 Nice little event. Even here on the water. Now we summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 18, 2018 Share Posted February 18, 2018 The 12z gfs crapped itself. I just looked both thermal and QPF. 12z NAM did well with both fields and even had the cstl Maine jack. 12z rgem did decent with QPF but too warm near BOS and on north. Did show sharp cutoff over Cstl SE MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 18, 2018 Share Posted February 18, 2018 1 hour ago, dendrite said: What didyou get up there? I had to laugh. Pope had the Cape jacking and yet it almost ended up in his backyard. Egg on my face from SE MA, but I also flagged highest amounts being from Portsmouth, North Coast down to BOS. Would have been a great storm down there LE wise. Other than that totals subforum wide were largely what I expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 18, 2018 Share Posted February 18, 2018 1 minute ago, jbenedet said: Egg on my face from SE MA, but I also flagged highest amounts being from Portsmouth, Nortcosdf down to BOS. Would have been a great storm down there LE wise. Other than that totals subforum wide were largely what I expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 18, 2018 Share Posted February 18, 2018 Its all in jest, But like most have said, Up this way anyways, Nobody could predict the high ratio fluff that fell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 18, 2018 Share Posted February 18, 2018 3 minutes ago, dryslot said: Its all in jest, But like most have said, Up this way anyways, Nobody could predict the high ratio fluff that fell. Didn’t the 12z euro have it? Seemed to me like guidance flagged the potential but nobody—including the NWS—bought it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 18, 2018 Share Posted February 18, 2018 NAM showed that. It almost showed a OES type enhancement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted February 18, 2018 Share Posted February 18, 2018 3.2 inches here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 18, 2018 Share Posted February 18, 2018 Snowed moderately for 10 hr here. Good storm. Fast mover but certainly not the quick hit and run many were fearing last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 18, 2018 Share Posted February 18, 2018 About 6.5 inches in Holliston. 6.0 on winter hill in ORH. Good solid storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted February 18, 2018 Share Posted February 18, 2018 I'm going to take a guess right now and say that the track of the H7 Ray was wanting to know about last night must have tracked somewhat favorably for our viewing area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 18, 2018 Share Posted February 18, 2018 Pete B with a good “maybe an inch for Boston,” forecast. If you took the opposite of what he says, I think you’d bat .700 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 18, 2018 Share Posted February 18, 2018 Just now, Greg said: I'm going to take a guess right now and say that the track of the H7 Ray was wanting to know about last night must have tracked somewhat favorably for our viewing area. The track was great for you and a large portion of the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted February 18, 2018 Share Posted February 18, 2018 I have to say 6.5-7" in ASH, little over achiever ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Briz600 Posted February 18, 2018 Share Posted February 18, 2018 6.5 of paste. Let the melting begin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 18, 2018 Share Posted February 18, 2018 It’s good to see the rip and readers bent over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 18, 2018 Share Posted February 18, 2018 Sounds like a solid 6 at home from my in laws, per their guess. Wish I could find out for real lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 18, 2018 Share Posted February 18, 2018 6" at 3000ft and 4.75" at 1,500ft. Sweet powder day up here! Those HRRR runs of 0.3" QPF feels about right with 20:1 ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 18, 2018 Share Posted February 18, 2018 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It’s good to see the rip and readers bent over. Models depicted fairly well the low level stuff down south (big heavy snows early in SW CT) and then the midlevel potential north of the pike. Ripping and reading qpf would def get you in trouble a bit up along the NH border. Esp further west where qpf was lower on guidance but they were still pulling 7 spots in Ashburnham, MA and those types of places. As a constructive criticism too, some in here were getting premature with their calls of not much (under 4 inches) north of the pike based on the radar early on in the event. But the midlevel enhanced potential was going to happen mostly after 11pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted February 18, 2018 Share Posted February 18, 2018 Close to 8" of snow in Dover. WTF. Magical to wake up to a completely white scene from this surprise event. We're now 59" for the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 18, 2018 Share Posted February 18, 2018 Just now, WxBlue said: Close to 8" of snow in Dover. WTF. Magical to wake up to a completely white scene from this surprise event. We're now 59" for the season. This will prob remind you of North Carolina when our snow gets vaporized in 36 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted February 18, 2018 Share Posted February 18, 2018 4.4” here in NYC. Some mets were way off and others right on the money Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 18, 2018 Share Posted February 18, 2018 47 minutes ago, wx2fish said: There were some very low forecasts (1-3") even last night floating around for SENH. I think the NWS had one of the more bullish forecasts from what I saw Yeah they were going 3-5'' I think. I'm a little surprised ratios were as good as they were at around 20:1. I wouldn't have been surprised at 4-5'', but I don't think anyone expected a solid warning event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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